Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 6?
open
Total volume
$62
$446 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$1,082
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 20:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $23 | $20 | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| unranked | 12 | $19 | $20 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaricious-Subject 0xfba0…a083 | Yes | +33 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 04:55 |
| Dull-Handrail 0x86c1…9615 | Yes | +24 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 19:33 |
| Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-05 01:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7ec…588c | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 20:39 |
| Uniform-Wrench 0xe196…b2b8 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 14:10 |
| Overcooked-Plot 0x2298…9f33 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 06:59 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 20:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 20:39:54 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xb70b45… |
| 05-05 20:39:50 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…588c | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x57a71a… |
| 05-05 19:54:54 | (anonymous) 0xf5d7…d5b2 | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xef9dd4… |
| 05-05 19:54:48 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | SELL | 18 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x4eb3c6… |
| 05-05 19:43:02 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x7b6563… |
| 05-05 19:33:08 | Dull-Handrail 0x86c1…9615 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x0d6ae6… |
| 05-05 19:28:00 | (anonymous) 0xf5d7…d5b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x8a4721… |
| 05-05 19:28:00 | (anonymous) 0xf5d7…d5b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x2bbcc6… |
| 05-05 19:27:52 | (anonymous) 0xf5d7…d5b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x4bf103… |
| 05-05 19:27:52 | (anonymous) 0x9dec…2e06 | No | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x8491f9… |
| 05-05 19:27:46 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | SELL | 17 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x10ece2… |
| 05-05 19:24:46 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | SELL | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x8d81ab… |
| 05-05 18:52:50 | Uneven-Boutique 0x7b47…f1f5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x4f378b… |
| 05-05 14:10:40 | Uniform-Wrench 0xe196…b2b8 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xc2e9c2… |
| 05-05 12:32:02 | Whopping-Larch 0xf740…d999 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x664ee4… |
| 05-05 09:30:06 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x299d03… |
| 05-05 08:15:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xe50909… |
| 05-05 07:30:54 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x0d299a… |
| 05-05 06:59:56 | Overcooked-Plot 0x2298…9f33 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x3c9d57… |
| 05-05 04:55:44 | Avaricious-Subject 0xfba0…a083 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 31¢ | $10 | 0x2d398d… |
| 05-05 03:25:22 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x97b08d… |
| 05-05 03:25:02 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xca6f75… |
| 05-05 02:39:30 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x595010… |
| 05-05 01:15:10 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x0f6aef… |
| 05-04 22:24:58 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xd1c4a1… |