Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$742

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

775

Trades

2,937

lifetime

Volume

$4.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

24 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-12 03:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Other

66% 49% -$764

Politics

15% 37% -$18

Sports

14% 93% +$189

Crypto

5% 33% -$147

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (24) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	No		+2	$2	96¢	$2	+$0	07-01 19:11
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No		+2	$2	93¢	$2	+$0	07-01 19:11
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No		+2	$2	75¢	$2	$0	08-01 08:31
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		+500	$1	0¢	$1	$0	05-31 00:01
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		+500	$1	0¢	$1	$0	05-31 00:01
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		+500	$1	0¢	$1	$0	05-31 00:01
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	—	+500	$1	0¢	$1	$0	05-31 00:01
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026?	Yes		+460	$1	0¢	$1	$0	09-06 14:49
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes		+197	$1	0¢	$0	$0	07-01 22:32
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+125	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-06 00:01
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+143	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-05 16:18
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+200	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-01 00:04
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes		+113	$1	0¢	$0	$0	07-02 11:21
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	Yes		+165	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	08-29 01:05
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?	Yes		+154	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	07-26 10:48
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+143	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-05 16:18
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+143	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-05 16:18
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+143	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-05 16:18
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+143	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-05 16:18
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+125	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-06 00:01
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+125	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-06 00:01
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+125	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-06 00:01
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+125	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-06 00:01
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+25	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	07-21 10:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$523	800	800	+0	No	+$15	07-04 07:43
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	6	$407	679	121	+559	No	+$7	06-08 06:48
bitcoin above 72k on april 8	7	$50	122	0	+122	No	-$50	04-08 05:43
bitcoin above 74k on april 8	8	$45	858	0	+858	No	-$45	04-08 05:41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 10?	46	$40	5,000	1,851	+3,149	No	-$3	05-10 11:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	5	$34	211	0	+211	Yes	+$178	04-27 17:45
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 8?	21	$34	376	0	+376	No	-$34	05-08 03:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$29	360	0	+360	No	-$29	04-21 02:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	2	$29	129	120	+8	No	+$0	04-23 04:28
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 13?	10	$26	4,500	0	+4,500	No	-$26	05-13 01:44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 11?	4	$22	70	70	+0	No	+$5	05-10 03:29
Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on May 12?	5	$20	6,750	0	+6,750	No	-$20	05-12 02:32
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$20	200	0	+200	Yes	+$180	07-06 19:40
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 16?	50	$20	2,500	1,456	+1,044	No	+$10	05-16 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 13?	50	$18	9,250	0	+9,250	No	-$18	05-13 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 1?	10	$18	523	0	+523	No	-$18	04-30 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 21?	7	$18	634	0	+634	No	-$18	05-21 02:51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 3?	4	$18	335	0	+335	No	-$18	05-03 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 14?	9	$18	9,000	0	+9,000	No	-$18	05-14 00:44
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 11?	34	$18	9,000	0	+9,000	No	-$18	05-11 21:05
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	9	$18	169	167	+2	Yes	+$12	08-04 02:19
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 21?	14	$16	7,973	0	+7,973	No	-$16	05-21 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 12?	4	$15	118	118	+0	No	-$8	05-12 08:19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 3?	2	$15	102	0	+102	No	-$15	05-03 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	8	$15	220	0	+220	No	-$15	04-27 21:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?	2	$15	42	42	+0	Yes	+$9	05-07 23:39
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 11?	9	$14	2,732	106	+2,626	No	-$12	05-10 13:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 1?	1	$14	90	0	+90	No	-$14	04-30 00:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 12?	4	$14	1,024	264	+760	No	-$8	05-10 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?	9	$14	105	105	+0	No	+$1	05-07 22:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 03:08:02	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa93ae7…
10-10 20:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on October 12?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfc2e48…
10-10 16:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on October 12?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x31da2c…
10-10 14:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x091939…
10-10 11:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 12?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x28b22b…
10-10 11:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x03de73…
10-10 09:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on October 12?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdc7f6c…
10-10 08:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xac258f…
10-10 07:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf5f693…
10-10 06:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 12?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x731684…
10-10 05:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 11?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8612e9…
10-10 04:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on October 11?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfe7d7d…
10-10 00:18:20	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 11?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x435fd6…
10-09 22:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 11?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd9282d…
10-09 14:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 11?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbab7ca…
10-09 08:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on October 11?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x483bf8…
10-09 06:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 11?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x68e66f…
10-09 06:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 11?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x25af3a…
10-09 06:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 11?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x70a29f…
10-09 06:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 11?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6b3d4e…
10-09 06:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 11?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x27eb5e…
10-09 01:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 10?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0596e6…
10-09 00:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0cf21b…
10-08 22:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc3d681…
10-08 22:18:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 10?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x32f3ec…
10-08 16:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x48b619…
10-08 11:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 10?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0451d3…
10-08 11:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 10?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7437ae…
10-08 10:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdc0779…
10-08 09:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc20689…
10-08 06:18:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbe437a…
10-08 01:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc662e8…
10-08 00:58:32	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8a3ad1…
10-08 00:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on October 9?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xee6d39…
10-07 18:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 9?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x087a33…
10-07 17:25:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x899764…
10-07 13:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4d201a…
10-07 13:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x23f9fd…
10-07 11:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8b72af…
10-07 11:14:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 9?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5f3d1e…
10-07 10:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x127212…
10-07 08:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3e6032…
10-07 06:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 9?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x035d45…
10-07 06:28:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 8?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5b7037…
10-06 23:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4213f6…
10-06 21:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc04412…
10-06 17:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x9ea02f…
10-06 17:18:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 8?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x220797…
10-06 17:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x443841…
10-06 16:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 8?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb15583…
10-06 14:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfe1765…
10-06 13:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 8?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x299360…
10-06 04:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfbbd7e…
10-05 23:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x257c41…
10-05 21:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on October 7?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x34ce4d…
10-05 18:08:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 7?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xbb4b4e…
10-05 17:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6c67d9…
10-05 16:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 7?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9e1ded…
10-05 12:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3aa334…
10-05 12:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8af3f0…
10-05 06:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x63b592…
10-05 03:17:35	mlb atl lad 2026 10 04	Atlanta Braves	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6eca07…
10-05 01:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x48b071…
10-04 23:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x760ade…
10-04 23:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 6?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb0a154…
10-04 19:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb2555a…
10-04 19:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x52c1f5…
10-04 18:38:14	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 6?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd40750…
10-04 16:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf37358…
10-04 15:37:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xebbd42…
10-04 14:56:56	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 5?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x76ffda…
10-04 14:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2988f1…
10-04 06:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xce3dd3…
10-04 05:56:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 5?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x995215…
10-04 05:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbe9847…
10-04 05:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9e19cc…
10-04 03:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 5?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x695444…
10-03 23:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8b0516…
10-03 22:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x85aab2…
10-03 17:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 5?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x84c769…
10-03 16:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 5?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0f7ccb…
10-03 11:03:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdfdb5d…
10-03 09:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 5?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x488e8e…
10-02 18:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xde993f…
10-02 09:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x307fdc…
10-02 07:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfaa182…
10-02 06:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 4?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x4353d5…
10-01 22:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 3?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9e6925…
10-01 14:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x461e7b…
10-01 12:48:56	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 3?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2a6721…
10-01 08:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 3?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe078b5…
10-01 05:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 3?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xcab4c0…
09-30 16:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 2?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x52ed84…
09-30 04:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 1?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x850ccc…
09-29 22:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 1?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf927c7…
09-29 22:18:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 1?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4465b0…
09-29 17:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 1?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x14eee0…
09-29 08:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 1?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4c8183…
09-29 07:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 1?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x79c901…
09-29 01:25:59	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 30?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6bd297…