Realized P&L (30d)
-$28
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
86.0%
Resolved (30d)
124
Trades (30d)
83
2,937 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$397
$4.59K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$13
24 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 10-12 03:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Other
66% 49% -$764
Politics
15% 37% -$18
Sports
14% 93% +$189
Crypto
5% 33% -$147
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 07-01 19:11
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 07-01 19:11
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2 $2 73¢ $2 $0 08-01 08:31
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 05-31 00:01
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 05-31 00:01
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 05-31 00:01
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? Yes +460 $1 0¢ $1 $0 09-06 14:49
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +197 $1 0¢ $0 $0 07-01 22:32
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +125 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-06 00:01
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +200 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-01 00:04
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +113 $1 0¢ $0 $0 07-02 11:21
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? Yes +165 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-29 01:05
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? Yes +154 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-26 10:48
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +143 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-05 16:18
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +143 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-05 16:18
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +143 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-05 16:18
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes — +143 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-05 16:18
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +143 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-05 16:18
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +143 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-05 16:18
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +125 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-06 00:01
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +125 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-06 00:01
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +125 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-06 00:01
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +125 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-06 00:01
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +25 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-21 10:42