Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 11?
open
Total volume
$104
$1,015 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$995
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 05:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $56 | $39 | +$17 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $7 | $9 | $2 |
| Median | 3 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $4 | $21 | $17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| unranked | 4 | $27 | — | +$27 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Repulsive-Compress 0x2510…b91b | Yes | +85 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-10 05:43 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +49 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-10 04:04 |
| Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | Yes | +47 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 03:24 |
| Broken-Need 0xbf43…66f5 | Yes | +31 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 03:24 |
| Eager-Sink 0x31af…5c86 | Yes | +24 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 13:43 |
| Defenseless-First 0x6d25…c617 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 18:20 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | +14 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-10 03:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a54…c38e | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 03:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xa820…2dce | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 05:43 |
| Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 00:05 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 04:04 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-09 09:54 |
| Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf94e…4ffb | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:04 |
| Official-Hyena 0x8e37…9a37 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 03:24 |
| Charming-Shingle 0xa71d…29f0 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 04:05 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 09:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 05:43:36 | Repulsive-Compress 0x2510…b91b | Yes | BUY | 43 | 24¢ | $10 | 0x521fb9… |
| 05-10 05:43:09 | (anonymous) 0xa820…2dce | No | BUY | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0x318755… |
| 05-10 05:41:28 | Repulsive-Compress 0x2510…b91b | Yes | BUY | 43 | 24¢ | $10 | 0x943af4… |
| 05-10 04:10:49 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x009ff1… |
| 05-10 04:05:20 | Charming-Shingle 0xa71d…29f0 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xf82f65… |
| 05-10 04:04:55 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 23 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x24060a… |
| 05-10 04:04:54 | (anonymous) 0xf94e…4ffb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xc303f1… |
| 05-10 04:04:54 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x7e189d… |
| 05-10 04:04:54 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x58beb8… |
| 05-10 03:26:52 | (anonymous) 0x4c75…d40b | Yes | SELL | 13 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xb3e55b… |
| 05-10 03:26:52 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x73ec13… |
| 05-10 03:25:01 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xbcddc3… |
| 05-10 03:24:49 | Official-Hyena 0x8e37…9a37 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x32f1de… |
| 05-10 03:24:46 | (anonymous) 0x7a54…c38e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x4ac06d… |
| 05-10 03:24:46 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 26 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x72bfee… |
| 05-10 03:24:44 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | BUY | 14 | 85¢ | $12 | 0xccf54c… |
| 05-10 03:24:44 | (anonymous) 0x4c75…d40b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x96490e… |
| 05-10 03:24:30 | Broken-Need 0xbf43…66f5 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x8aee87… |
| 05-10 03:24:14 | Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 16¢ | $7 | 0x8917ec… |
| 05-10 00:05:33 | Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc8ed80… |
| 05-09 18:20:55 | Defenseless-First 0x6d25…c617 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x33d811… |
| 05-09 13:43:22 | Eager-Sink 0x31af…5c86 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x986dde… |
| 05-09 09:54:49 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x505071… |
| 05-09 09:14:46 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xf7931f… |