Charming-Shingle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$399

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.7%

Resolved

3,529

Trades

4,944

lifetime

Volume

$27.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 09-02 07:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 79% -$68

Other

12% 24% -$341

Politics

1% 100% +$14

Sports

0% 25% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	7	$132	122	122	+0	Yes	+$2	07-10 22:07
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	2	$111	91	91	+0	Yes	+$71	07-05 22:18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 11?	2	$104	70	70	+0	No	+$35	08-12 03:15
cs2 m80 aur1 2026 03 31	5	$77	154	154	+0	M80	+$68	03-31 20:33
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 12?	2	$68	70	70	+0	Yes	-$2	08-12 03:16
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova	8	$61	185	0	+185	cancelled	+$31	06-14 10:00
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 74 75f	2	$51	47	47	+0	Yes	+$41	03-27 17:54
highest temperature in chicago on april 1 2026 40 41f	6	$51	45	45	+0	Yes	+$39	04-02 03:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 23:05 UTC	5	$47	28	28	+0	Down	$0	02-13 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:50 UTC	9	$45	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	02-14 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 10:55 UTC	4	$44	76	0	+76	Up	-$44	04-05 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 5?	1	$41	83	0	+83	No	+$41	08-04 11:52
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 02:20 UTC	4	$41	115	0	+115	Down	-$41	02-28 02:25
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 7?	1	$41	83	0	+83	Yes	-$41	08-06 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4?	1	$41	86	0	+86	Yes	-$41	08-03 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6?	1	$41	91	0	+91	Yes	-$41	08-05 17:53
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5?	1	$41	84	0	+84	Yes	-$41	08-04 10:50
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5?	1	$41	84	0	+84	Yes	-$41	08-04 16:54
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 1?	1	$41	86	0	+86	Yes	-$41	07-31 03:18
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4?	1	$41	88	0	+88	No	+$47	08-03 14:16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 9?	2	$41	38	38	+0	Yes	+$34	05-09 22:08
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$40	298	267	+31	No	-$4	07-02 03:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 09:25 UTC	8	$39	61	0	+61	Up	+$23	04-05 09:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 07:20 UTC	1	$37	42	0	+42	Up	+$5	02-14 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 07:25 UTC	1	$37	41	0	+41	Up	+$4	02-14 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 08:40 UTC	1	$37	41	0	+41	Down	+$4	02-14 08:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?	4	$36	60	60	+0	Yes	+$23	05-10 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 08:25 UTC	2	$35	38	0	+38	Down	+$3	02-14 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 23?	1	$35	68	0	+68	Yes	-$35	07-22 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 04:55 UTC	3	$35	41	0	+41	Down	+$6	02-14 04:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 07:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 4?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x0dd159…
09-01 17:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x918820…
09-01 13:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 3?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x7fc3b3…
08-31 18:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 2?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x8dfd76…
08-31 18:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc9d47a…
08-28 17:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 30?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe50739…
08-27 01:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 28?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x61f75f…
08-23 15:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe35cda…
08-20 20:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 21?	No	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0xdecb6c…
08-20 20:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5c9d8c…
08-20 20:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 20?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x28b9a7…
08-20 20:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 21?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x8104ed…
08-20 20:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 20?	No	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xfcb623…
08-20 20:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 21?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xd0070d…
08-20 10:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 21?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xf03246…
08-20 05:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 21?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x469edd…
08-19 12:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 20?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x80ec41…
08-19 05:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 20?	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xc253a9…
08-17 22:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 18?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x585ec6…
08-13 23:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 14?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x0fe990…
08-13 23:16:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 14?	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x0e469b…
08-12 21:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 13?	No	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x56c63a…
08-12 03:16:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 12?	No	SELL	70	47¢	$33	0xba1115…
08-12 03:15:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 11?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x06c4ad…
08-11 19:23:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 12?	No	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x09f4fd…
08-11 05:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 12?	No	BUY	68	51¢	$35	0x36575c…
08-11 01:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 12?	No	BUY	68	50¢	$34	0x6cddb4…
08-10 22:07:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 11?	No	BUY	70	49¢	$34	0xa91edd…
08-10 13:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 11?	No	BUY	70	49¢	$34	0x03a790…
08-10 01:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 11?	No	BUY	74	46¢	$34	0x5fb7ce…
08-09 01:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 10?	No	BUY	70	49¢	$34	0x9a95a1…
08-08 04:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 9?	No	BUY	68	50¢	$34	0x5ce253…
08-07 13:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 8?	No	BUY	68	50¢	$34	0x8e638f…
08-06 16:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 7?	No	BUY	83	50¢	$41	0xd50d1a…
08-05 17:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6?	No	BUY	91	45¢	$41	0xba4d3c…
08-04 16:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5?	No	BUY	84	49¢	$41	0x213e28…
08-04 11:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 5?	No	BUY	83	50¢	$41	0xc01597…
08-04 10:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5?	No	BUY	84	49¢	$41	0xa1173c…
08-03 14:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4?	No	BUY	88	47¢	$41	0xd6291c…
08-03 07:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4?	No	BUY	86	48¢	$41	0x1cb0cd…
07-31 19:41:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 1?	No	BUY	55	50¢	$27	0xcce1d1…
07-31 03:18:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 1?	No	BUY	86	48¢	$41	0xbd5489…
07-30 03:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	54	47¢	$25	0x24612b…
07-29 05:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 30?	No	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0xcf4776…
07-28 10:29:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 29?	No	BUY	49	50¢	$25	0xc1400f…
07-27 03:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 28?	No	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0x54ac37…
07-26 15:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 27?	No	BUY	61	50¢	$30	0x1414d6…
07-22 22:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 23?	No	BUY	68	52¢	$35	0x85a087…
07-20 16:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 21?	No	BUY	53	50¢	$27	0x2d8d66…
07-20 01:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 21?	No	BUY	48	49¢	$24	0x477fa9…
07-19 01:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 20?	No	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0xa2c252…
07-18 10:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 19?	No	BUY	58	50¢	$29	0xe515a6…
07-16 18:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xc38c33…
07-15 16:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 16?	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x9e869b…
07-15 16:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 16?	No	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0xc99cc3…
07-14 05:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 15?	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x0e6158…
07-14 02:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 15?	No	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xf083c0…
07-13 22:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 14?	No	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xff7651…
07-12 22:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xf22638…
07-12 01:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 13?	No	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0xdbdbb1…
07-11 16:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 12?	No	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xc0db1b…
07-10 22:07:10	Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	111	57¢	$63	0x1f35a4…
07-09 22:23:05	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb97023…
07-05 22:26:02	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb753a1…
07-05 22:25:58	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9dbabe…
07-05 22:25:50	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xc97096…
07-05 22:25:43	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xb46154…
07-05 22:25:35	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x26d19b…
07-05 22:25:25	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x789037…
07-05 22:18:32	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x7ddab1…
07-05 22:17:23	Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0xa4e765…
07-04 09:23:07	Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x02d55f…
07-02 03:02:46	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x1f87bb…
07-02 03:00:04	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x99c593…
07-01 01:58:07	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb542c7…
06-30 20:45:20	Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe6518c…
06-30 20:44:47	Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9db992…
06-28 23:23:23	Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x4b8a87…
06-26 15:12:44	Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x316667…
06-26 01:02:40	cs2 the9 cyb 2026 06 26	The Huns Esports	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x522c6b…
06-25 01:29:02	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x82bd8b…
06-25 01:28:59	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc5577e…
06-25 01:24:49	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x1e90ec…
06-23 22:50:13	cs2 ice shk 2026 06 24	Sharks	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2276b7…
06-22 14:49:08	cs2 cls1 mil 2026 06 23	Millennium Esports	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x582335…
06-19 21:03:41	Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	21	59¢	$13	0x6f58e2…
06-19 14:52:56	val mdr qe 2026 06 23	AlQadsiah Esports	SELL	18	36¢	$7	0x7dbd05…
06-18 17:09:52	val mdr qe 2026 06 23	AlQadsiah Esports	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xbfd163…
06-17 23:26:56	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	267	7¢	$18	0x183290…
06-17 23:26:53	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	98	8¢	$8	0xf233b0…
06-17 23:26:49	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0xd1b5d5…
06-17 03:02:18	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	149	7¢	$10	0x352c46…
06-15 14:52:19	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x57d498…
06-14 11:36:01	wta kuderme kraus 2026 06 13	Sinja Kraus	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x0f2f20…
06-14 10:00:42	wta montgom krejcik 2026 06 14	Robin Montgomery	BUY	24	36¢	$8	0x99c7e5…
06-14 10:00:34	wta montgom krejcik 2026 06 14	Robin Montgomery	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x80ba0d…
06-14 10:00:09	wta montgom krejcik 2026 06 14	Robin Montgomery	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0x5c170c…
06-14 09:59:51	wta montgom krejcik 2026 06 14	Robin Montgomery	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x4afa8c…
06-14 09:59:40	wta montgom krejcik 2026 06 14	Robin Montgomery	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xf7ddef…
06-14 09:59:34	wta montgom krejcik 2026 06 14	Robin Montgomery	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xe16970…