Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61fb…8fe9c2
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$99
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
71.0%
Resolved
189
Trades
6,393
lifetime
Volume
$60.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$253
22 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 07-21 09:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Crypto
71% 76% +$110
Other
20% 57% +$10
Politics
8% 64% $-17
Tech
1% — —
Sports
1% 50% $-4
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +23 $21 94¢ $21 +$0 06-01 17:48
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +23 $18 92¢ $21 +$3 06-01 17:50
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -14 $-14 100¢ $-14 $-0 05-29 22:45
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -15 $-12 94¢ $-14 $-2 06-02 22:19
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -14 $-13 97¢ $-13 $-0 06-08 21:47
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +13 $12 100¢ $13 +$1 06-20 15:09
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +13 $13 97¢ $13 +$0 06-11 15:55
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -15 $-13 86¢ $-13 $-0 06-16 14:20
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +13 $12 94¢ $13 +$0 06-09 06:52
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -14 $-13 94¢ $-13 $-0 06-19 08:06
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 05-30 03:22
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +13 $12 96¢ $12 +$0 06-13 20:14
USDE depeg by December 31? No +13 $12 94¢ $12 +$0 06-14 00:41
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +13 $12 97¢ $12 +$0 06-01 03:20
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +21 $7 56¢ $12 +$5 06-03 19:55
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 06-11 19:41
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +13 $12 64¢ $8 $-3 06-23 20:59
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +13 $11 65¢ $8 $-3 05-30 12:21
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes -12 $-6 50¢ $-6 $-0 06-01 19:00
Trump out as President before GTA VI? Yes -12 $-6 50¢ $-6 +$0 06-18 13:29
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +13 $3 28¢ $4 +$1 06-04 21:56
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No -14 $-3 12¢ $-2 +$1 06-22 15:42