Realized P&L
+$101
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
68.8%
Resolved
5,628
Trades
9,521
lifetime
Volume
$89.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$237
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 10-25 16:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Crypto
64% 76% +$180
Other
27% 61% -$28
Politics
7% 74% -$70
Sports
1% 79% +$30
Tech
1% 89% -$10
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -20 -$15 86¢ $-17 -$2 07-30 12:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No -15 -$14 99¢ $-15 -$1 05-19 02:09
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -14 -$13 99¢ $-13 $0 08-01 13:02
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -13 -$12 99¢ $-13 -$1 05-25 15:26
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -13 -$12 95¢ $-12 $0 07-30 12:37
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No -12 -$11 98¢ $-12 -$1 07-30 12:40
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -12 -$12 97¢ $-12 $0 07-30 12:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -12 -$10 96¢ $-12 -$2 05-08 15:41
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -11 -$11 98¢ $-11 $0 07-30 12:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 10-18 03:07
Trump out as President before 2027? No -10 -$9 95¢ $-10 $0 08-16 16:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -10 -$8 92¢ $-9 $0 08-16 15:48
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -9 -$9 95¢ $-9 +$0 08-16 15:48
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -9 -$8 94¢ $-8 $0 05-10 16:59
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -7 -$7 99¢ $-7 $0 08-16 16:10
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -7 -$6 97¢ $-7 -$1 08-17 03:06
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -5 -$4 98¢ $-5 -$1 07-30 12:50
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 +$0 08-17 03:39
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 $0 08-17 03:32
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? No -5 -$3 96¢ $-5 -$1 05-10 15:52
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$4 96¢ $-5 -$1 07-30 12:48
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -5 -$4 95¢ $-5 -$1 08-16 16:12
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026 Yes +22 $14 22¢ $5 -$9 10-15 13:57
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -5 -$4 93¢ $-5 $0 07-30 12:51
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? No -5 -$4 93¢ $-5 $0 07-30 12:48
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -5 -$4 92¢ $-5 $0 07-30 12:48
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$5 87¢ $-4 +$0 08-16 16:03
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? Yes +22 $14 18¢ $4 -$10 10-15 15:39
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -5 -$2 60¢ $-3 $0 08-17 03:12
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -9 -$5 28¢ $-2 +$3 08-17 03:19