Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$99

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

189

Trades

6,859

lifetime

Volume

$65.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 08-11 21:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 76% +$110

Other

20% 57% +$10

Politics

8% 64% $-17

Sports

1% 50% $-4

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$97	100	0	+100	open	—	03-24 16:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	3	$83	68	32	+36	open	—	05-28 04:40
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	3	$74	65	33	+32	open	—	05-23 19:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	3	$73	70	36	+34	open	—	06-01 02:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	4	$67	68	32	+36	open	—	05-28 01:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	3	$66	69	34	+35	No	$-7	05-09 17:42
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?	3	$66	71	36	+35	open	—	05-29 17:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?	10	$63	62	32	+31	No	$-6	05-08 03:05
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 21?	2	$62	32	32	+0	open	—	05-21 16:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 21?	3	$62	72	36	+36	open	—	05-21 12:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 19?	2	$61	33	33	+0	open	—	05-19 17:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on April 25?	5	$60	57	29	+29	open	—	04-25 15:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	3	$60	71	35	+36	No	+$18	05-12 16:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	4	$59	64	32	+32	open	—	05-18 00:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?	3	$59	72	36	+36	open	—	05-27 13:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 13?	2	$59	36	36	+0	Yes	$-9	05-13 13:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	11	$59	65	30	+35	open	—	05-19 19:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 10?	7	$58	92	0	+92	No	$-2	05-10 20:50
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	3	$58	33	33	+0	open	—	05-20 17:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	4	$58	67	35	+32	open	—	05-22 15:55
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 14?	2	$58	32	32	+0	open	—	05-14 16:16
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 26?	3	$57	70	35	+35	open	—	05-26 11:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	4	$57	66	34	+32	open	—	05-23 18:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	3	$57	66	32	+35	open	—	05-26 10:20
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 13?	3	$56	36	36	+0	No	$-1	05-13 04:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	3	$56	79	0	+79	open	—	04-27 16:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 19?	4	$55	35	35	+0	open	—	05-13 09:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	4	$55	61	31	+30	open	—	05-15 19:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?	2	$55	33	33	+0	open	—	05-20 11:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	05-15 10:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 21:51:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0xe7f588…
08-11 20:13:09	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x09d8b7…
08-11 20:07:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0xbadbd8…
08-10 23:19:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	14	83¢	$12	0xa7b153…
08-10 22:23:46	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x1fa3f7…
08-10 17:21:42	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x519aba…
08-10 05:48:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x80e4a7…
08-09 23:48:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0xbf37f2…
08-09 18:14:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	14	61¢	$8	0x503672…
08-09 16:59:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xc9364d…
08-08 21:09:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xd45f74…
08-08 21:06:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x3d4869…
08-08 13:13:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0xd049c7…
08-08 10:58:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x7911c4…
08-08 02:05:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	14	81¢	$12	0x0dc5f4…
08-06 20:02:53	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xd0ae60…
08-06 16:37:26	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	14	89¢	$13	0xdc3f99…
08-06 15:54:47	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x5faf96…
08-06 13:57:12	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x65bcc7…
08-05 02:49:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x4eeab7…
08-05 02:48:20	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xbec78f…
08-05 02:16:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	14	60¢	$9	0xcd953f…
08-05 02:07:32	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x789070…
08-05 02:03:09	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0xf96eeb…
08-05 01:35:33	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	14	53¢	$8	0x09b772…
08-04 14:57:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0x03a626…
08-04 02:18:35	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x99e0bb…
08-04 01:51:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x39598f…
08-04 01:41:02	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0x944738…
08-04 00:57:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	14	41¢	$6	0xc0ee10…
08-04 00:12:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x1cf8c6…
08-04 00:07:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x769b08…
08-03 23:10:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x9ed5df…
08-03 23:10:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0x050c3c…
08-03 12:33:50	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x03a56e…
08-03 02:12:21	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0x362d4b…
08-03 00:55:57	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0x7e9854…
08-01 14:55:09	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0xbfed83…
08-01 13:19:20	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0xb8da48…
08-01 13:04:12	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x1b0bdb…
08-01 13:02:12	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$13	0x880ed7…
08-01 12:36:45	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x7c9d8a…
08-01 12:30:15	bitcoin above 64k on august 4 2026	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x0f602d…
08-01 12:28:12	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x0708ec…
08-01 11:46:53	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	15	77¢	$11	0xef592d…
08-01 10:14:42	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x27b26f…
08-01 02:04:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x9a2291…
08-01 01:43:45	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0xe9f49b…
07-31 21:55:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xe09246…
07-31 21:46:09	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	15	77¢	$11	0x97e687…
07-31 21:36:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x064811…
07-31 21:03:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xff4018…
07-31 21:02:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x0d7690…
07-31 18:13:59	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0xc37a5d…
07-31 13:40:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x3586b2…
07-31 13:40:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x4ff5d5…
07-31 13:18:29	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x18e652…
07-31 06:46:12	bitcoin above 60k on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x481487…
07-31 03:01:38	will solana dip to 70 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xbeb0d1…
07-31 02:19:00	ethereum above 1900 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0x543b67…
07-31 01:39:51	bitcoin above 64k on july 31 2026	No	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x17d84e…
07-31 01:15:42	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 30	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xd34bf5…
07-31 01:13:41	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 30	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2564bd…
07-31 01:01:09	xrp above 1pt1 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9699ab…
07-31 00:56:05	xrp above 1pt1 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x6ecaa6…
07-31 00:09:21	ethereum up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xf26275…
07-31 00:05:59	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x0faf3e…
07-30 22:41:41	will solana dip to 70 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xcac01b…
07-30 22:31:24	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x9fc4d6…
07-30 22:25:44	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x0bc26b…
07-30 21:45:03	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 30	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x0405c2…
07-30 18:42:14	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 30	No	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0xe2521d…
07-30 18:17:17	bitcoin above 66k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xd77d3a…
07-30 16:44:50	bitcoin above 68k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xec0ef7…
07-30 16:23:14	will ethereum dip to 1800 july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x049a42…
07-30 16:02:33	bitcoin up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x79690e…
07-30 15:53:35	bitcoin above 62k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xfa4e5e…
07-30 15:43:36	will solana dip to 70 july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xee2457…
07-30 15:21:39	ethereum above 2000 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xd5c19e…
07-30 13:46:09	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 30	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xe8af27…
07-30 12:51:21	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xf8df26…
07-30 12:50:33	Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xa9a227…
07-30 12:50:21	Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x21c37c…
07-30 12:49:38	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xfc02f7…
07-30 12:48:59	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xd27fb0…
07-30 12:48:32	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x9c154c…
07-30 12:48:17	Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xa78a15…
07-30 12:48:03	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x485b64…
07-30 12:47:20	Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdeafc0…
07-30 12:46:51	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x7e04ba…
07-30 12:46:08	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd4948f…
07-30 12:45:51	will xrp reach 2pt6 in july 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1ff6ef…
07-30 12:45:41	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5b79e7…
07-30 12:45:23	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8d938b…
07-30 12:45:08	will ethereum dip to 1300 in july 2026 715	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x79d479…
07-30 12:44:56	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcfbbf1…
07-30 12:44:20	will solana dip to 40 in july 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x1408d3…
07-30 12:43:53	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf3a444…
07-30 12:43:35	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x32ba96…
07-30 12:43:21	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x03f9e2…