Realized P&L
+$99
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
71.0%
Resolved
189
Trades
5,432
lifetime
Volume
$54.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$407
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 06-30 06:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Crypto
68% 76% +$110
Other
22% 57% +$10
Politics
9% 64% $-17
Tech
1%
Sports
1% 50% $-4
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +23 $21 92¢ $21 $-0 06-01 17:48
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +23 $18 86¢ $19 +$1 06-01 17:50
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -14 $-14 100¢ $-14 $-0 05-29 22:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +14 $11 100¢ $14 +$3 06-12 19:34
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 +$0 06-10 09:00
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +14 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 06-10 19:15
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +13 $12 100¢ $13 +$1 06-20 15:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 06-10 18:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 06-09 13:59
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 06-11 17:03
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +14 $13 98¢ $13 +$0 06-12 16:58
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -15 $-12 91¢ $-13 $-1 06-02 22:19
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 06-11 01:32
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -14 $-13 95¢ $-13 $-0 06-08 21:47
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 06-20 16:59
Over $80M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 $-0 06-20 16:26
Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +13 $13 99¢ $13 +$0 06-20 17:02
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -15 $-13 86¢ $-13 $-0 06-16 14:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +13 $5 100¢ $13 +$8 06-19 01:41
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +14 $11 95¢ $13 +$2 06-28 22:04
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 06-06 18:13
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 06-07 03:10
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 06-06 15:51
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +13 $13 96¢ $13 +$0 06-11 15:55
Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +13 $13 99¢ $13 +$0 06-17 02:53
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -14 $-13 94¢ $-13 $-0 06-19 08:06
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +13 $12 94¢ $13 +$0 06-09 06:52
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 05-30 03:22
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +13 $12 96¢ $12 +$0 06-13 20:14
Tucker Carlson federally charged? No +13 $12 99¢ $12 +$0 05-29 06:45