Realized P&L
+$99
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
71.0%
Resolved
189
Trades
4,639
lifetime
Volume
$47.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$261
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 06-10 00:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Crypto
67% 76% +$110
Other
24% 57% +$10
Politics
8% 64% $-17
Tech
1%
Sports
1% 50% $-4
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 211 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +23 $21 92¢ $21 $-0 06-01 17:48
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +23 $18 86¢ $19 +$1 06-01 17:50
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -14 $-14 100¢ $-14 $-0 05-29 22:45
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? Yes +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 06-09 23:58
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -14 $-13 95¢ $-13 $-0 06-08 21:47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +13 $13 98¢ $13 $-0 06-09 13:59
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +13 $13 99¢ $13 +$0 06-06 18:13
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? SpaceX +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 06-07 08:52
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? No +13 $13 99¢ $13 +$0 06-06 15:51
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No +13 $13 98¢ $13 +$0 06-07 03:10
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -15 $-12 86¢ $-13 $-0 06-02 22:19
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 05-30 03:22
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2026? Yes +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 05-30 08:52
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +13 $12 92¢ $12 +$0 06-09 06:52
Tucker Carlson federally charged? No +13 $12 97¢ $12 $-0 05-29 06:45
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +13 $12 94¢ $12 +$0 06-01 03:20
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +13 $11 91¢ $11 +$1 05-30 12:21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-10 01:08
XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 06-08 11:21
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes -12 $-6 49¢ $-6 $-0 06-01 19:00
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +13 $3 24¢ $3 +$1 06-04 21:56
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +21 $7 14¢ $3 $-4 06-03 19:55
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +13 $4 18¢ $2 $-2 06-02 21:19