Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61fb…8fe9c2
bot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$149
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
87.4%
Resolved (90d)
93
Trades (90d)
163
9,530 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$3.87K
$89.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$224
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 10-30 22:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Crypto
64% 76% +$177
Other
27% 61% -$28
Politics
7% 74% -$69
Sports
1% 79% +$30
Tech
1% 89% -$10
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -20 -$15 86¢ $-17 -$2 07-30 12:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No -15 -$14 99¢ $-15 -$1 05-19 02:09
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -14 -$13 98¢ $-13 $0 08-01 13:02
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -13 -$12 99¢ $-13 -$1 05-25 15:26
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -13 -$12 96¢ $-12 $0 07-30 12:37
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No -12 -$11 97¢ $-12 -$1 07-30 12:40
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -12 -$12 97¢ $-12 $0 07-30 12:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -12 -$10 97¢ $-12 -$2 05-08 15:41
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -11 -$11 98¢ $-11 $0 07-30 12:41
Trump out as President before 2027? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 $0 08-16 16:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -10 -$8 94¢ $-9 -$1 08-16 15:48
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -9 -$9 96¢ $-9 +$0 08-16 15:48
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -9 -$8 93¢ $-8 $0 05-10 16:59
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -7 -$7 99¢ $-7 $0 08-16 16:10
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -7 -$6 97¢ $-7 -$1 08-17 03:06
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -5 -$4 98¢ $-5 -$1 07-30 12:50
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 +$0 08-17 03:39
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? No -5 -$3 96¢ $-5 -$1 05-10 15:52
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No -5 -$5 96¢ $-5 $0 08-17 03:32
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -5 -$4 94¢ $-5 -$1 07-30 12:48
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? No -5 -$4 94¢ $-5 $0 07-30 12:48
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -5 -$4 94¢ $-5 -$1 08-16 16:12
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -5 -$4 94¢ $-5 $0 07-30 12:51
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$4 93¢ $-5 -$1 07-30 12:48
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$5 93¢ $-5 +$0 08-16 16:03
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -5 -$2 56¢ $-3 $0 08-17 03:12
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -9 -$5 28¢ $-2 +$3 08-17 03:19
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -5 -$3 44¢ $-2 +$1 08-17 03:19
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$1 91¢ $-1 $0 07-30 12:49
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -7 -$5 19¢ $-1 +$3 05-10 16:58