Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?
open
Total volume
$129
Trades
33
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$386
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-21 05:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $27 | $27 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $8 | $43 | $36 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $2 | $24 | $22 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| Median | 2 | — | $9 | $9 |
| Below median | 4 | $0 | $18 | $17 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| unranked | 5 | $3 | $54 | $51 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 07-06 15:03 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +27 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-01 02:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-21 12:36 |
| Adolescent-Caterpillar 0xb5c1…c3a7 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-01 07:12 |
| Speedy-Interpretation 0xc291…30ab | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-31 16:47 |
| Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | +18 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 06-07 09:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 07:21 |
| Odd-Relish 0xe2b4…3c5a | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 06:58 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 02:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $3 | 4 | 06-21 07:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 05:48:36 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | SELL | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x78db0d… |
| 07-21 05:48:36 | (anonymous) 0xc537…88a2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x78db0d… |
| 07-06 15:03:22 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xcf10ea… |
| 07-06 15:03:22 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xcf10ea… |
| 07-06 13:02:32 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x386632… |
| 07-06 13:02:32 | (anonymous) 0x16b4…168f | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x386632… |
| 06-21 12:36:46 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xa4b8ec… |
| 06-21 12:36:46 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xa4b8ec… |
| 06-21 07:21:34 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa4492b… |
| 06-21 07:21:34 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa4492b… |
| 06-10 06:58:55 | Odd-Relish 0xe2b4…3c5a | No | BUY | 12 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x87d172… |
| 06-10 06:58:55 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x87d172… |
| 06-07 09:20:04 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x30ee78… |
| 06-07 09:20:04 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 2 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x30ee78… |
| 06-07 09:18:39 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xda782d… |
| 06-07 09:18:39 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xda782d… |
| 06-06 19:32:12 | Weak-Meridian 0x3a1e…5bb5 | No | SELL | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x0968e2… |
| 06-06 19:32:12 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x0968e2… |
| 06-05 06:10:42 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x7d06b8… |
| 06-05 06:10:42 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x7d06b8… |
| 06-05 06:07:28 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x894719… |
| 06-05 06:07:28 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x894719… |
| 06-03 07:16:02 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x91f7c8… |
| 06-03 07:16:02 | Bogus-Anxiety 0x8f60…a419 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x91f7c8… |
| 06-03 07:14:50 | Bogus-Anxiety 0x8f60…a419 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xcab725… |
| 06-03 07:14:50 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xcab725… |
| 06-01 07:12:03 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xbefa2e… |
| 06-01 07:12:03 | Adolescent-Caterpillar 0xb5c1…c3a7 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xbefa2e… |
| 06-01 02:05:22 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xfbe17c… |
| 06-01 02:05:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xfbe17c… |
| 06-01 02:05:22 | Weak-Meridian 0x3a1e…5bb5 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xfbe17c… |
| 05-31 16:47:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x3bb76b… |
| 05-31 16:47:39 | Speedy-Interpretation 0xc291…30ab | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x3bb76b… |