Realized P&L
+$3.06K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.07K
Hit rate
76.1%
Resolved
261
Trades
1,567
lifetime
Volume
$110.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$70
Open exposure
$9.61K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-31
last 10-30 20:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Other
42% 40% +$155
Sports
31% 45% +$833
Politics
18% 71% +$1,454
Tech
6% 67% +$618
Crypto
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,104 $1,039 98¢ $1.1K +$43 09-18 00:47
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,001 $926 94¢ $946 +$20 10-23 09:46
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +986 $706 84¢ $833 +$127 10-30 20:55
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +2,997 $613 25¢ $746 +$133 10-19 16:44
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +669 $343 90¢ $606 +$262 10-25 13:53
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +554 $516 95¢ $527 +$11 10-08 23:30
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +503 $348 94¢ $473 +$125 10-02 13:49
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +490 $405 94¢ $461 +$56 09-13 22:18
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +490 $368 76¢ $375 +$7 10-23 08:15
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +490 $323 70¢ $345 +$22 10-22 15:30
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +490 $328 70¢ $345 +$17 10-23 09:16
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +305 $217 82¢ $249 +$32 10-14 00:51
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +266 $201 90¢ $241 +$40 10-02 07:03
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +286 $175 80¢ $230 +$55 10-09 05:49
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +1,179 $224 18¢ $218 -$6 10-26 22:46
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +208 $168 98¢ $203 +$35 10-28 04:29
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +636 $148 26¢ $169 +$21 10-26 22:39
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? Yes +206 $127 78¢ $160 +$33 09-28 02:59
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +166 $149 92¢ $153 +$4 10-21 05:23
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +158 $123 82¢ $130 +$7 10-22 01:00
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +137 $113 94¢ $129 +$16 09-24 11:01
will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027 No — +135 $65 93¢ $126 +$61 10-26 05:11
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +392 $154 32¢ $123 -$31 10-21 10:02
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +446 $147 28¢ $123 -$25 10-21 17:55
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +134 $110 89¢ $119 +$9 10-27 17:03
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +149 $88 74¢ $111 +$22 10-23 18:11
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +494 $148 22¢ $106 -$42 07-27 23:06
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +333 $94 30¢ $98 +$4 10-15 21:39
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +92 $83 100¢ $92 +$9 09-03 09:06
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +92 $81 94¢ $86 +$5 10-26 07:46