Realized P&L
-$3.35K
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
18,374
Trades
30,851
lifetime
Volume
$236.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$43
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 08-06 18:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 145 days
Categories
Other
94% 58% -$2,792
Crypto
3% 45% -$613
Sports
2% 54% +$47
Politics
0% 48% +$7
Tech
0% 47% +$4
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +5 $2 99¢ $5 +$3 07-10 03:47
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +4 $3 92¢ $4 +$1 07-23 02:31
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +3 $2 97¢ $3 +$1 07-30 08:25
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +6 $2 52¢ $3 +$1 07-22 16:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$1 07-25 19:12
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31 No +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$1 07-10 02:35
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +5 $1 28¢ $1 +$0 07-18 10:36
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +2 $1 58¢ $1 +$0 07-17 10:48
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-23 13:02
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 07-08 02:14
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 36¢ $1 +$0 07-22 12:43
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 07-30 16:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 07-30 21:30
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-28 04:34
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-20 14:21
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 07-12 07:56
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +3 $1 43¢ $1 +$0 07-29 10:27
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 07-20 06:42
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 07-23 18:38
will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31 No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-07 14:31
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 07-06 02:50
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-18 11:06
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +1 $1 81¢ $1 $0 07-27 03:19
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +10 $1 10¢ $1 $0 07-20 06:42
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 Yes +5 $2 17¢ $1 -$1 07-10 01:25
will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232 Yes +2 $1 44¢ $1 $0 07-06 14:48
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +1 $1 48¢ $1 $0 07-22 16:06
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? No +4 $1 16¢ $1 $0 07-15 22:53
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? Yes +4 $1 16¢ $1 $0 07-20 08:18
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +7 $1 9¢ $1 $0 07-22 16:06