Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,469

lifetime

Volume

$35.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 08-05 09:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

50% 40% $-14

Politics

30% — —

Sports

12% — —

Crypto

6% 25% $-3

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp cerundo darderi 2026 02 15	106	$744	1,634	1,678	-44	open	—	02-15 20:39
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?	15	$690	491	491	+0	open	—	04-16 14:19
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	33	$565	706	426	+280	open	—	04-15 14:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	7	$494	509	309	+200	open	—	04-07 22:35
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	34	$475	302	302	+0	open	—	04-15 05:10
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?	7	$423	352	93	+259	open	—	04-27 17:12
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	13	$419	327	306	+21	open	—	04-16 10:42
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	30	$409	417	416	+1	open	—	04-09 07:46
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	3	$390	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 21:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$372	321	320	+1	open	—	04-07 22:39
israel military action against fordow nuclear facility by april 15	7	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	04-04 05:13
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	14	$369	279	194	+85	open	—	04-13 17:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	13	$357	264	163	+101	open	—	03-30 16:15
Iran leadership change by May 31?	8	$346	269	269	+0	open	—	04-12 13:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	8	$337	584	200	+384	open	—	04-16 10:42
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	14	$335	254	223	+31	open	—	03-12 13:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	10	$331	218	218	+0	open	—	04-27 12:49
nflx above 150 on march 20 2026	9	$313	164	164	+0	open	—	03-18 13:21
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	6	$304	168	168	+0	open	—	05-14 14:46
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $43,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	16	$298	190	154	+36	open	—	04-27 12:36
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	9	$290	427	427	+0	open	—	04-16 14:19
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	6	$289	281	80	+201	open	—	04-11 03:04
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$286	200	200	+0	open	—	04-27 12:34
military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	6	$286	151	151	+0	open	—	04-11 08:13
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 50 by April 30?	2	$283	152	152	+0	open	—	04-04 03:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	13	$261	603	346	+257	open	—	04-07 23:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 10	5	$260	242	185	+57	open	—	04-07 23:08
will iran strike the united kingdom by march 31	4	$246	305	0	+305	open	—	03-27 02:04
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	23	$243	340	327	+12	open	—	03-12 13:23
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	12	$230	238	236	+2	open	—	03-10 12:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 09:32:50	Relay FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x2a813f…
08-05 08:57:06	Aligned FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xef7eaf…
07-31 10:40:39	Aligned FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x81cbba…
07-31 03:12:08	Aligned FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x7bbd12…
07-28 11:04:11	Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	118	72¢	$85	0xf24b7f…
07-17 04:12:13	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	45	13¢	$6	0x6e6d5d…
07-16 17:36:04	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xe0a95e…
07-16 14:00:44	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x116f2e…
07-10 15:56:41	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	85	13¢	$11	0x204e91…
07-10 03:08:20	Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x027d80…
07-10 03:08:04	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xe655ef…
07-10 03:06:58	Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x8fa4a5…
07-10 03:06:38	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	33	40¢	$13	0xbcc328…
07-10 03:06:07	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?	No	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0xeea6ce…
07-10 02:58:02	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	86¢	$28	0xde6770…
07-06 13:02:55	Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	18	80¢	$14	0x5545a3…
07-06 13:02:32	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x386632…
07-06 13:02:01	Relay FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	162	17¢	$28	0x3fb9c5…
07-06 13:00:56	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?	No	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0x880902…
07-06 13:00:41	Perena FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	49	89¢	$44	0x3bd4a3…
07-05 22:27:35	Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	90¢	$23	0xdfd1c5…
07-05 22:27:05	Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	106	93¢	$99	0x958a56…
07-05 22:26:49	Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	162	89¢	$145	0x580783…
07-05 22:26:34	Will Ethena reach $1.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	94¢	$46	0xfeaf5f…
07-05 22:26:22	Cambria FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x9708f5…
07-05 22:26:10	Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	78	94¢	$73	0x170f0c…
07-05 22:25:56	Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x892fb2…
07-05 22:25:26	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x0939ea…
07-05 22:24:34	Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x2a3880…
07-05 22:24:17	Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	111	96¢	$106	0xe49499…
07-05 22:23:58	Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	152	97¢	$147	0xcb6e60…
07-05 22:23:14	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xf6d957…
07-04 13:01:13	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots soufiane rahimi gte4	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xb4bc82…
07-04 13:01:13	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots soufiane rahimi gte4	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x640a1d…
07-04 13:01:11	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots soufiane rahimi gte4	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xe91c97…
07-04 13:01:11	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots soufiane rahimi gte4	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xaea702…
07-04 13:01:11	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots soufiane rahimi gte4	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xac7689…
07-04 13:01:11	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots soufiane rahimi gte4	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xa9d82a…
07-04 13:01:11	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots soufiane rahimi gte4	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x4bbc70…
07-04 13:01:11	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots soufiane rahimi gte4	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x482e23…
07-04 13:01:11	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots soufiane rahimi gte4	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x33cd07…
07-04 13:01:10	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots soufiane rahimi gte4	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xdf4f2c…
07-04 13:01:10	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots soufiane rahimi gte4	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xbf5369…
07-04 13:01:10	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots soufiane rahimi gte4	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xb1740e…
07-04 13:01:10	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots soufiane rahimi gte4	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x8e61c0…
07-04 13:01:10	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots soufiane rahimi gte4	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x8665d5…
07-04 13:01:10	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots soufiane rahimi gte4	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x85801c…
07-04 12:58:40	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots soufiane rahimi gte4	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xf0853b…
07-04 12:58:40	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots soufiane rahimi gte4	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xde4a44…
06-27 15:27:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0xc92fd5…
06-27 09:54:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $63 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x572b63…
06-25 22:12:41	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x3c82c9…
06-25 01:47:58	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x51695a…
06-24 13:54:10	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x8c0619…
06-24 13:54:01	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?	No	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x0e292f…
06-22 23:44:53	Will Dogecoin reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	90¢	$48	0x98543e…
06-22 09:24:05	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x1cb49a…
06-22 07:24:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd1bfcb…
06-21 16:21:07	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x937552…
06-15 13:57:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1d628b…
06-14 14:51:10	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?	No	SELL	24	80¢	$19	0xf3b02d…
06-12 02:05:04	Will Dogecoin reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3a238e…
06-08 09:41:18	Aligned FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	24	33¢	$8	0xe6d27c…
06-07 09:28:46	Will Dogecoin reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x6e90a2…
06-05 15:31:34	Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x9da390…
06-05 06:17:24	Will Dogecoin reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x9ccd28…
06-05 01:20:36	Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0xf4425b…
06-05 01:20:15	Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	90¢	$32	0x19a1bc…
06-02 07:40:03	Perena FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x97e794…
06-01 08:20:27	Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x4b0ef1…
05-31 12:03:23	Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x645e9e…
05-30 08:24:04	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x60c68f…
05-29 15:51:03	Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	48	15¢	$7	0xddd267…
05-28 20:53:07	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,532	6¢	$98	0xa1c975…
05-28 20:53:02	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	8¢	$34	0xac0f19…
05-28 20:42:49	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	911	10¢	$94	0xf11627…
05-14 14:46:10	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x96ce8a…
05-14 14:44:18	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x2ba2f3…
05-13 19:14:16	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xc39aff…
05-13 18:06:21	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	37	14¢	$5	0xe658ae…
05-13 12:45:53	Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x75fb44…
04-27 17:12:12	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x5378fc…
04-27 12:50:16	Pharos FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	43	90¢	$39	0x68a457…
04-27 12:50:14	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x90cdbf…
04-27 12:49:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	153	88¢	$135	0xce8394…
04-27 12:37:38	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,550 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0xc29d2a…
04-27 12:37:24	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	No	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x9726ee…
04-27 12:37:00	Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $44,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xf0babe…
04-27 12:36:10	Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $43,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x70d465…
04-27 12:35:58	Will Portugal be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0xe71e3f…
04-27 12:35:32	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in April?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x8f6ed5…
04-27 12:35:20	Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by September 30?	Yes	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x90d666…
04-27 12:35:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	82	99¢	$82	0xfcc285…
04-27 12:35:04	Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x7e8b0c…
04-27 12:34:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0xf2d043…
04-17 13:09:36	will googl reach 345 by april 13 2026	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x50ca13…
04-17 12:26:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x59e253…
04-17 12:07:26	wti closes above 90 on april 17 2026	No	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xb387f6…
04-17 12:07:26	wti closes above 88 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0xa7109a…
04-17 11:22:46	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x62d668…