Realized P&L
-$17
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
22.1%
Resolved
9
Trades
2,464
lifetime
Volume
$35.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$1.13K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 07-17 04:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
50% 40% $-14
Politics
30%
Sports
12%
Crypto
5% 25% $-3
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -152 $-147 98¢ $-149 $-1 07-05 22:23
Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -162 $-145 83¢ $-134 +$10 07-05 22:26
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -111 $-106 92¢ $-102 +$4 07-05 22:24
Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -106 $-99 95¢ $-101 $-2 07-05 22:27
Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? No -78 $-73 94¢ $-74 $-0 07-05 22:26
Will Dogecoin reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026? No -57 $-51 94¢ $-54 $-2 06-22 23:44
Will Ethena reach $1.00 by December 31, 2026? No -49 $-46 97¢ $-48 $-2 07-05 22:26
Perena FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -52 $-46 82¢ $-43 +$4 07-06 13:00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? No -40 $-34 92¢ $-37 $-3 06-25 22:12
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026? No -35 $-32 95¢ $-33 $-2 06-05 01:20
Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026? No -34 $-32 97¢ $-33 $-1 06-05 01:20
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No -32 $-31 97¢ $-31 $-0 07-05 22:25
Relay FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes -162 $-28 18¢ $-30 $-2 07-06 13:02
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? No -29 $-28 97¢ $-28 $-0 07-05 22:25
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -33 $-28 83¢ $-27 +$1 07-10 02:58
Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026? No -25 $-23 92¢ $-23 $-0 07-05 22:27
Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -23 $-23 98¢ $-23 $-0 07-05 22:23
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? No -24 $-19 85¢ $-20 $-1 06-22 09:24
Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No -21 $-20 98¢ $-20 $-0 07-05 22:24
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026? No -18 $-17 93¢ $-17 $-0 07-06 13:00
Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -18 $-14 94¢ $-17 $-2 07-06 13:02
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026? No -17 $-14 88¢ $-15 $-1 07-10 03:06
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? No -33 $-13 44¢ $-14 $-1 07-10 03:06
Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch? Yes -28 $-10 40¢ $-11 $-1 07-10 03:06
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -200 $-26 $-10 +$16 07-17 04:12
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -10 $-8 90¢ $-9 $-1 07-10 03:08
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B? No -10 $-8 88¢ $-9 $-1 07-10 03:08
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -48 $-7 15¢ $-7 +$0 05-29 15:51
Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? No -7 $-7 94¢ $-7 $-0 05-31 12:03
Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 +$0 06-05 15:31