Will Ethena reach $1.00 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$137
Trades
20
Unique wallets
10
Liquidity
$689
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-01-01
First seen
2026-06-02
last 08-04 08:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $51 | $51 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $1 | $34 | $33 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $50 | $50 |
| unranked | 3 | $0 | $29 | $29 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +54 | $50 | $50 | 9 | 07-21 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xe649…589e | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-22 12:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x39a2…96e2 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-04 08:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xdfb5…7c25 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 08-04 08:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:40:48 | (anonymous) 0xdfb5…7c25 | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xa76576… |
| 08-04 08:40:48 | (anonymous) 0x39a2…96e2 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa76576… |
| 07-21 22:39:09 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x39f872… |
| 07-21 22:39:09 | Sweaty-Squash 0xf960…ba50 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x39f872… |
| 07-05 22:26:34 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xfeaf5f… |
| 07-05 22:26:34 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfeaf5f… |
| 07-05 22:26:34 | (anonymous) 0x16b4…168f | No | SELL | 49 | 94¢ | $46 | 0xfeaf5f… |
| 06-22 12:45:22 | (anonymous) 0xe649…589e | No | BUY | 18 | 96¢ | $17 | 0x85a813… |
| 06-22 12:45:22 | (anonymous) 0x87fa…7464 | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x85a813… |
| 06-22 12:45:22 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x85a813… |
| 06-13 22:07:58 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x939143… |
| 06-13 22:07:58 | Buzzing-Tachometer 0xfd62…9c7d | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x939143… |
| 06-07 09:30:19 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xa06d5a… |
| 06-07 09:30:19 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xa06d5a… |
| 06-07 09:29:01 | (anonymous) 0x87fa…7464 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x628ae6… |
| 06-07 09:29:01 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x628ae6… |
| 06-05 15:31:34 | Sweaty-Squash 0xf960…ba50 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x1a594f… |
| 06-05 15:31:34 | (anonymous) 0x87fa…7464 | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x1a594f… |
| 06-02 08:57:27 | Buzzing-Tachometer 0xfd62…9c7d | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2c18d2… |
| 06-02 08:57:27 | (anonymous) 0x87fa…7464 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2c18d2… |