Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$538
$106 in 24h
Trades
19
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$375
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 06:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $257 | $257 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $0 | $250 | $250 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $225 | $225 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $191 | $191 |
| Median | 8 | $0 | $55 | $55 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fussy-Expedition 0x594e…1c11 | No | +229 | $225 | $225 | 1 | 05-10 06:38 |
| Smart-Booking 0x062a…56ff | No | +85 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 05-10 06:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f51…8b09 | No | +57 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 05-10 06:38 |
| Confused-Reciprocity 0xc1b8…c4ba | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-10 06:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x47ed…e351 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-10 06:38 |
| Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-09 14:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd70…1d06 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 06:38 |
| Realistic-Switch-Bunch 0xdfb1…baff | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 04:02 |
| Avaricious-Feeling 0x824b…fb8c | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 06:38 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 05:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xf403…d522 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 06:38 |
| Upright-Hazel 0x92f7…4629 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 06:38 |
| Shabby-Pocket 0x3874…4cf1 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 06:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x1545…3d97 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x16b6…72c9 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 05:27 |
| White-Coinsurance 0x4f9e…9aa0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 06:47:14 | (anonymous) 0xe5ab…8b8d | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc169ca… |
| 05-10 06:38:50 | Upright-Hazel 0x92f7…4629 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0878b2… |
| 05-10 06:38:36 | (anonymous) 0xdd70…1d06 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xffbc21… |
| 05-10 06:38:36 | Smart-Booking 0x062a…56ff | No | BUY | 85 | 100¢ | $85 | 0x4ffee7… |
| 05-10 06:38:34 | Avaricious-Feeling 0x824b…fb8c | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x9fddd0… |
| 05-10 06:38:34 | White-Coinsurance 0x4f9e…9aa0 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xbeddd6… |
| 05-10 06:38:34 | (anonymous) 0x8f51…8b09 | No | BUY | 57 | 100¢ | $56 | 0xef2acb… |
| 05-10 06:38:34 | Shabby-Pocket 0x3874…4cf1 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xb09ea7… |
| 05-10 06:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x1545…3d97 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xddad46… |
| 05-10 06:38:33 | (anonymous) 0xf403…d522 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x760187… |
| 05-10 06:38:33 | Confused-Reciprocity 0xc1b8…c4ba | No | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0xbfa731… |
| 05-10 06:38:33 | Fussy-Expedition 0x594e…1c11 | No | BUY | 229 | 99¢ | $225 | 0xe7e449… |
| 05-10 06:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x47ed…e351 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x36f711… |
| 05-10 05:33:00 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xe2e374… |
| 05-10 05:27:24 | (anonymous) 0x16b6…72c9 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x3445b7… |
| 05-10 05:21:34 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | SELL | 32 | 98¢ | $32 | 0x56f6a2… |
| 05-10 04:02:07 | Realistic-Switch-Bunch 0xdfb1…baff | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x6c738d… |
| 05-10 02:13:36 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0x6f4b73… |
| 05-09 14:43:55 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xa72fcf… |