White-Coinsurance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$109

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,834

lifetime

Volume

$307.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-09 09:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

97% 100% +$6

Other

2% 65% +$75

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 57% +$29

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	31	$121.4K	130,835	21,936	+108,899	open	—	06-18 00:20
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	27	$108.8K	56,724	56,730	-6	open	—	06-07 15:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	11	$54.0K	39,127	38,408	+719	open	—	06-14 19:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	25	$9.1K	12,808	73	+12,735	open	—	05-29 17:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	29	$2.9K	3,289	118	+3,171	open	—	05-25 22:23
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	3	$1000	3,135	0	+3,135	open	—	06-10 23:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	31	$402	327	234	+93	open	—	05-25 21:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$308	155	155	+0	open	—	05-25 21:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	3	$283	144	144	+0	open	—	05-25 21:30
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	15	$234	321	321	+0	open	—	05-25 21:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$222	114	114	+0	open	—	05-25 21:30
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	24	$197	98	101	-3	open	—	05-25 21:31
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	58	$192	98	98	+0	open	—	05-25 21:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	59	$188	116	104	+12	open	—	05-25 21:32
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves	1	$184	512	0	+512	open	—	05-22 22:34
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$183	221	0	+221	Thunder	+$38	05-12 02:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	93	$170	130	56	+74	open	—	05-18 15:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	11	$164	83	83	+0	open	—	05-25 21:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	88	$163	134	30	+104	open	—	05-19 12:11
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in May?	3	$153	78	78	+0	open	—	05-25 21:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$150	81	81	+0	open	—	05-25 21:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	11	$145	73	91	-18	open	—	05-25 21:34
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	13	$143	144	0	+144	open	—	05-23 14:14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	86	$141	96	47	+49	open	—	05-19 12:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	3	$138	78	78	+0	open	—	05-25 21:31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	10	$128	73	73	-0	open	—	05-25 21:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	74	$127	81	50	+31	open	—	05-19 08:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	75	$116	109	42	+67	open	—	05-18 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	59	$109	96	23	+73	open	—	05-18 14:47
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	15	$107	88	20	+68	open	—	05-20 00:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 09:28:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x5dc3ba…
08-09 07:07:27	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x4f208f…
08-08 20:47:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x9963f5…
08-08 19:28:22	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x572d47…
08-08 17:15:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xdcf5ca…
08-08 16:08:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0663a5…
08-08 08:59:01	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb4526c…
08-08 07:24:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb0283c…
08-08 04:59:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x470315…
08-08 03:12:57	will clavicular wear a yarmulke in 2026 20260710172344899	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x8a2c16…
08-08 02:46:40	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x8e49d5…
08-08 02:35:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x3ae4c1…
08-07 21:56:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x29100f…
08-07 19:09:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe9b5cb…
08-07 17:40:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xcd1cae…
08-07 15:39:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x7fe114…
08-07 15:29:54	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd0ebcf…
08-07 14:21:36	will lisa murkowski vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821975	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x45073a…
08-07 14:10:18	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x5afe4f…
08-07 13:31:42	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x949a67…
08-07 07:49:45	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbb319e…
08-07 04:38:30	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xdf2fae…
08-07 02:43:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa0bb29…
08-07 02:36:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xff88e8…
08-07 02:36:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x38b2f7…
08-07 02:34:22	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xadc1b3…
08-07 02:19:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8a59c1…
08-07 02:12:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x817312…
08-07 01:12:03	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd2233d…
08-07 01:06:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xb03017…
08-07 00:16:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xb0bf39…
08-07 00:16:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x6d7d26…
08-07 00:16:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x26c200…
08-06 22:47:09	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xbb5862…
08-06 22:05:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x5ed388…
08-06 20:02:33	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2a9440…
08-06 18:17:47	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x82c51a…
08-06 18:14:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xadb09a…
08-06 16:16:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x26ada7…
08-06 14:01:06	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb8f512…
08-06 13:24:17	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa5414a…
08-06 09:01:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xe3e00b…
08-06 03:55:23	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x239fbc…
08-06 03:27:51	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe3df0c…
08-05 20:34:38	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa68a7c…
08-05 20:26:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe91699…
08-05 18:42:14	will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x5ee06d…
08-05 17:37:12	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xa61ab7…
08-05 17:03:11	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4cb72c…
08-05 15:46:35	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x640733…
08-05 15:29:56	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x69624a…
08-05 15:03:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x44ce65…
08-05 09:44:39	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb5edf4…
08-05 02:03:02	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xa3c677…
08-05 01:09:18	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x111390…
08-04 18:24:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2524ee…
08-04 17:56:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x65abab…
08-04 17:37:39	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xe390af…
08-04 15:27:30	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xdee691…
08-04 15:26:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xad960f…
08-04 14:44:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x1f6720…
08-04 02:48:24	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0223ed…
08-04 01:45:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xd9ebac…
08-04 01:40:50	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x77ce2f…
08-03 23:47:38	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe442c4…
08-03 23:29:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x96cecf…
08-03 23:16:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x6065fe…
08-03 23:16:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x1b13aa…
08-03 23:14:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xbf6011…
08-03 23:14:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xc296ff…
08-03 14:06:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xc40c93…
08-03 12:33:24	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd34990…
08-03 07:26:03	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x5d5258…
08-03 07:16:38	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xce97bf…
08-03 06:41:42	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x24e71a…
08-03 02:34:00	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7b9058…
08-02 23:40:24	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xc702b0…
08-02 21:49:33	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x23dd9d…
08-02 18:48:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xda008d…
08-02 13:54:09	andrew tate released from custody by august 31 2026 20260728183326903	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1f2c6b…
08-02 13:44:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xe74bc9…
08-02 10:23:05	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x2678f2…
08-02 06:38:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0xb32b36…
08-02 04:43:44	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xecb235…
08-02 02:43:05	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xe4aee4…
08-02 02:12:45	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x50edfc…
08-02 02:06:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xdb3f04…
08-02 02:05:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x029460…
08-02 02:05:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x3faa3e…
08-02 00:33:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xaa25ff…
08-02 00:29:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x3cca35…
08-02 00:10:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x0e2cef…
08-01 23:58:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x34a40a…
08-01 21:34:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8b0bf4…
08-01 19:31:02	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by july 31 2026 20260626210612718	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfaaee6…
08-01 18:14:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7690f2…
08-01 16:42:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x80d986…
08-01 16:42:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd29a68…
08-01 15:58:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xba87ff…
08-01 15:52:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x205c79…