Realized P&L
-$92.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
41.7%
Resolved
908
Trades
4,488
lifetime
Volume
$323.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$72
Open exposure
$479
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-01 03:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 137 days
Categories
Politics
96% 82% -$91,869
Other
2% 76% -$153
Crypto
1% 83% +$44
Sports
0% 70% -$225
Tech
0% 84% +$20
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +86 $80 96¢ $82 +$2 09-26 06:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +37 $34 94¢ $35 +$1 09-27 19:26
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +33 $28 94¢ $31 +$2 10-16 22:02
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +41 $32 72¢ $29 -$3 09-25 16:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +33 $28 88¢ $29 +$1 10-16 19:12
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +31 $25 69¢ $21 -$3 10-16 04:15
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +20 $17 100¢ $20 +$3 10-15 11:23
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +27 $18 70¢ $19 +$1 10-10 07:59
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +18 $15 94¢ $17 +$2 09-18 07:41
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +18 $16 92¢ $17 +$1 10-11 03:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +17 $16 94¢ $16 +$0 10-03 06:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +16 $14 82¢ $13 $0 10-31 17:15
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +11 $9 90¢ $10 +$0 10-12 11:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +11 -$2 88¢ $10 +$11 09-25 06:11
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +10 $8 97¢ $10 +$2 08-20 01:13
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 09-19 01:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +9 $7 98¢ $9 +$2 10-16 00:18
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 08-03 19:54
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +9 $7 97¢ $9 +$1 07-27 15:13
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$0 10-10 13:42
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +9 $8 94¢ $9 +$0 10-10 01:41
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$0 07-21 14:46
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +19 $10 42¢ $8 -$2 10-03 10:26
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +8 $8 98¢ $8 +$0 05-22 17:48
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +8 $8 97¢ $8 +$0 09-03 06:19
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +9 $7 82¢ $7 +$0 09-22 06:41
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +8 $7 90¢ $7 +$1 10-06 05:14
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +8 $7 86¢ $7 $0 08-17 05:35
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +8 $7 86¢ $7 +$0 10-11 14:17
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 05-25 06:18