Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$500
$1,438 in 24h
Trades
40
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$2,724
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 01:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $92 | $92 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $32 | $368 | $336 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | $68 | $68 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $38 | $37 |
| Median | 8 | $8 | $8 | +$0 |
| Below median | 11 | $17 | $272 | $255 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $2 | $41 | $39 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $2 | $28 | $26 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uneven-Tenet 0xe2af…c477 | No | +256 | $247 | $247 | 1 | 05-11 23:47 |
| Severe-Sulfur 0x5184…0d3f | Yes | +98 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | +70 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 05-11 10:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2c1…cd78 | Yes | +45 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 01:35 |
| Oily-Stepuncle 0x06dc…58a5 | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Extra-Small-Prevention 0xb144…2c8c | Yes | +38 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 20:51 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +31 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 05-11 15:57 |
| Fruitful-Tweet 0x3074…106a | No | +31 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-10 10:56 |
| Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 10:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | +28 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-10 08:16 |
| Spotted-Boatyard 0x16c9…91d2 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 19:19 |
| Satisfied-Hour 0x13d0…9806 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 18:23 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-11 03:06 |
| Imperfect-Rubber 0xd660…865a | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:09 |
| Shy-Weird 0xe712…9a10 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-11 05:33 |
| Bad-Fry-Epoxy 0x4404…be3d | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 09:53 |
| Angry-Anywhere 0x724f…a426 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:34 |
| Royal-Hazelnut 0xa542…3f6c | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:33 |
| Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-11 12:18 |
| Weepy-Creche 0x8fbf…0771 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 03:13 |
| Memorable-Castanet 0xecc8…9335 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 03:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd568…2863 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 10:26 |
| Well-Lit-Candidate 0x9635…2911 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 01:28 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 14:17 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-11 04:09 |
| Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 03:11 |
| Fickle-Triangle 0x35be…567e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 12:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 21:21 |
| Heavy-Curl 0x3210…15d9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 01:28:44 | Well-Lit-Candidate 0x9635…2911 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x2d7728… |
| 05-12 00:03:55 | Oily-Stepuncle 0x06dc…58a5 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xfda90a… |
| 05-12 00:03:29 | Severe-Sulfur 0x5184…0d3f | Yes | BUY | 60 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x5efcb1… |
| 05-11 23:47:55 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | No | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x9e0482… |
| 05-11 23:47:55 | Uneven-Tenet 0xe2af…c477 | No | BUY | 256 | 97¢ | $247 | 0x8c094b… |
| 05-11 23:47:55 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x1aa541… |
| 05-11 21:53:43 | Severe-Sulfur 0x5184…0d3f | Yes | BUY | 38 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x5144de… |
| 05-11 18:23:26 | Satisfied-Hour 0x13d0…9806 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x8d2f15… |
| 05-11 15:57:48 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x90f6e6… |
| 05-11 14:34:09 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0x613c80… |
| 05-11 12:18:58 | Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x35dda0… |
| 05-11 12:18:14 | Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x6911b4… |
| 05-11 10:26:00 | (anonymous) 0xd568…2863 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xaaec94… |
| 05-11 10:21:55 | Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x98ca2b… |
| 05-11 10:11:32 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | BUY | 70 | 92¢ | $64 | 0x4beebb… |
| 05-11 09:53:20 | Bad-Fry-Epoxy 0x4404…be3d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb17c51… |
| 05-11 05:33:29 | Shy-Weird 0xe712…9a10 | No | BUY | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0xf64ee9… |
| 05-11 04:09:22 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xb33052… |
| 05-11 04:09:21 | Imperfect-Rubber 0xd660…865a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xcc13a6… |
| 05-11 04:08:33 | Heavy-Curl 0x3210…15d9 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xc92c13… |
| 05-11 04:08:30 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x00868b… |
| 05-11 03:58:38 | Memorable-Castanet 0xecc8…9335 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xd02eae… |
| 05-11 03:38:36 | (anonymous) 0xa819…5062 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xfe5ecc… |
| 05-11 03:13:29 | Weepy-Creche 0x8fbf…0771 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xadfc84… |
| 05-11 03:11:25 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x206a7c… |
| 05-11 03:06:15 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x511985… |
| 05-11 03:06:03 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x278031… |
| 05-11 03:01:02 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x5c075d… |
| 05-11 01:35:03 | (anonymous) 0xf2c1…cd78 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x8c76d0… |
| 05-11 01:15:13 | (anonymous) 0xa819…5062 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x0aad1e… |
| 05-10 21:21:22 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x063f76… |
| 05-10 20:51:37 | Extra-Small-Prevention 0xb144…2c8c | Yes | BUY | 38 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xbf4f47… |
| 05-10 19:34:09 | Angry-Anywhere 0x724f…a426 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x80c735… |
| 05-10 19:33:28 | Royal-Hazelnut 0xa542…3f6c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7732be… |
| 05-10 19:19:28 | Spotted-Boatyard 0x16c9…91d2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xdac231… |
| 05-10 19:18:34 | Spiteful-Outrage 0xbceb…bf4b | Yes | SELL | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xcb7de1… |
| 05-10 14:17:15 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0xf29bcc… |
| 05-10 12:27:26 | Fickle-Triangle 0x35be…567e | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x44f3c7… |
| 05-10 10:56:14 | Fruitful-Tweet 0x3074…106a | No | BUY | 31 | 90¢ | $28 | 0x884cba… |
| 05-10 08:16:54 | (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | BUY | 28 | 89¢ | $25 | 0x8f2a25… |