Realized P&L
+$4.82K
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
94.0%
Resolved
14,568
Trades
61,640
lifetime
Volume
$1.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$551
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-28 06:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 284 days
Categories
Other
99% 90% +$4,916
Crypto
1% 50% -$58
Politics
0% 78% -$26
Sports
0% 36% -$14
Tech
0% 40% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 493 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +100 $96 98¢ $98 +$2 08-29 16:49
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +100 $94 96¢ $96 +$2 08-29 16:49
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +100 $92 94¢ $94 +$2 08-29 16:49
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +100 $89 90¢ $90 +$2 08-29 16:49
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +100 $68 82¢ $81 +$13 08-29 16:50
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No +40 $38 98¢ $39 +$2 09-30 14:45
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +30 $22 65¢ $19 -$3 10-19 04:15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +50 $26 34¢ $17 -$10 10-26 08:16
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +20 $16 70¢ $14 -$2 10-19 04:21
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +10 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 09-21 21:27
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +10 $7 2¢ $0 -$6 09-18 20:14