Spiteful-Outrage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

+$55

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

963

Trades

3,778

lifetime

Volume

$18.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$249

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-26 22:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 67% +$44

Other

7% 49% -$17

Politics

5% 50% -$35

Sports

0% 25% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 727 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+309	$150	63¢	$196	+$46	10-16 19:29
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+61	$43	86¢	$52	+$9	09-22 22:40
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	-14	-$1	8¢	$-1	$0	09-06 23:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$640	353	353	+0	open	—	10-23 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	16	$387	307	230	+77	Up	-$8	10-15 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	9	$238	186	60	+126	Up	+$4	10-15 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:50 UTC	8	$205	108	108	+0	Down	+$3	10-13 23:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:30 UTC	11	$165	146	32	+113	Down	+$4	10-15 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	7	$155	162	0	+162	Up	+$7	10-15 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC	7	$153	129	28	+101	Up	+$2	10-14 13:32
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$150	309	0	+309	open	—	10-16 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	11	$147	176	0	+176	Down	-$12	10-15 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	10	$139	135	9	+126	Up	+$1	10-15 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:25 UTC	10	$135	115	36	+80	Up	-$3	10-15 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	10	$134	147	0	+147	Down	+$13	10-15 13:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:45 UTC	9	$133	90	67	+23	Up	-$9	10-16 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:15 UTC	9	$131	109	32	+76	Up	+$1	10-14 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	7	$129	126	49	+76	Up	+$3	10-15 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC	9	$128	84	59	+25	Up	-$1	10-14 10:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:00 UTC	5	$127	104	28	+76	Up	+$3	10-14 08:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	6	$126	135	0	+135	Up	+$2	10-14 17:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:20 UTC	11	$121	166	166	+0	Up	-$19	10-16 19:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:45 UTC	11	$117	121	42	+79	Down	+$1	10-16 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	10	$114	113	9	+104	Up	+$4	10-15 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:10 UTC	13	$114	113	34	+79	Up	-$1	10-16 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	8	$114	71	71	+0	Up	$0	10-15 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	13	$113	102	27	+76	Up	+$2	10-15 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	6	$113	58	58	+0	Down	+$1	10-14 23:19
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 12?	10	$112	62	62	+0	No	+$12	10-12 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 8?	3	$111	60	60	+0	No	+$9	10-08 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	12	$111	110	9	+101	Down	+$2	10-15 16:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC	7	$111	118	0	+118	Down	+$4	10-14 19:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:40 UTC	11	$110	108	36	+71	Up	+$1	10-16 17:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xded8e7…
10-26 22:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x863503…
10-26 22:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xae6fae…
10-26 22:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x47d922…
10-26 22:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x7a82d5…
10-26 22:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x0fe224…
10-26 22:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xafa1b4…
10-26 22:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x621c87…
10-26 22:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2d08f6…
10-26 22:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4e750f…
10-26 22:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x8f9912…
10-26 22:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x69c03c…
10-26 22:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbbdade…
10-26 22:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x66817c…
10-26 22:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x94e0cf…
10-26 22:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x9e86aa…
10-26 22:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5e9500…
10-26 21:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x82c081…
10-26 21:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x956bb3…
10-26 21:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x382e9d…
10-26 21:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x405cd9…
10-26 21:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x642283…
10-26 21:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x8b614c…
10-26 21:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xc13904…
10-26 21:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x40b25c…
10-26 21:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd47fad…
10-26 21:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x51fcdc…
10-26 21:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd25b0e…
10-26 21:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xbc3036…
10-26 21:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7e03df…
10-26 21:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x232d62…
10-26 21:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeb69db…
10-26 21:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x52f86b…
10-26 21:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x55022d…
10-26 20:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa344e9…
10-26 20:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x15a596…
10-26 20:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xf114ff…
10-26 20:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x81205b…
10-26 20:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x77d72b…
10-26 20:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2121d4…
10-26 20:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x96db56…
10-26 20:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x854939…
10-26 20:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc9f9f1…
10-26 20:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x19c780…
10-26 19:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x47d0e2…
10-26 19:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa806f3…
10-26 19:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x84d657…
10-26 19:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfdf193…
10-26 19:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xb6ff7e…
10-26 19:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x63b5bb…
10-26 19:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0ccb63…
10-26 19:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x8060b0…
10-26 19:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x378cd6…
10-26 19:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0x73e02b…
10-26 19:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x12b61a…
10-26 19:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xbde2e4…
10-26 19:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xae2991…
10-26 19:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0x2d0a12…
10-26 19:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xdbf5b4…
10-26 19:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x15e701…
10-26 19:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6b36f8…
10-26 19:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xde38e0…
10-26 19:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x40d85f…
10-26 19:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x46b235…
10-26 19:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x2b87a1…
10-26 19:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xf6317a…
10-26 19:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x95e2e2…
10-26 19:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xd00abb…
10-26 19:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x849da5…
10-26 19:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb0af67…
10-26 19:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7ab269…
10-26 19:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	93¢	$11	0xd8550a…
10-26 19:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x1f5a16…
10-26 18:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xee62c1…
10-26 18:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xfdf268…
10-26 18:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	13	88¢	$12	0x275790…
10-26 18:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x256b57…
10-26 18:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xbf4dc7…
10-26 18:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x168152…
10-26 18:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7412a9…
10-26 18:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xb0dfff…
10-26 18:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x78b21e…
10-26 18:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0xc97772…
10-26 18:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x0bf4ba…
10-26 18:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdc887f…
10-26 18:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2cc8d5…
10-26 18:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6aa508…
10-26 18:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xce1562…
10-26 17:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x527583…
10-26 17:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xb37dde…
10-26 17:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x65ed35…
10-26 17:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x237d7c…
10-26 17:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xcd9b3e…
10-26 17:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	90¢	$10	0xc77019…
10-26 17:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x216973…
10-26 17:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0xfadcbe…
10-26 17:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb7711e…
10-26 17:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x857940…
10-26 17:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	14	61¢	$8	0x61d89d…
10-26 17:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa1797f…