Spiteful-Outrage — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

137

3,969 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$820

$19.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$84

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-28 20:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 68% +$37

Other

7% 49% -$17

Politics

5% 50% -$35

Sports

0% 25% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 727 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+61	$43	84¢	$51	+$8	09-22 22:40
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+121	$53	26¢	$31	-$22	10-28 21:06
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	-14	-$1	6¢	$-1	+$0	09-06 23:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$640	353	353	+0	open	—	10-23 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	16	$387	307	230	+77	Up	-$8	10-15 13:39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$257	328	207	+121	open	—	10-28 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	9	$238	186	60	+126	Up	+$4	10-15 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:50 UTC	8	$205	108	108	+0	Down	+$3	10-13 23:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:30 UTC	11	$165	146	32	+113	Down	+$4	10-15 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	7	$155	162	0	+162	Up	+$7	10-15 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC	7	$153	129	28	+101	Up	+$2	10-14 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	11	$147	176	0	+176	Down	-$12	10-15 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	10	$139	135	9	+126	Up	+$1	10-15 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:25 UTC	10	$135	115	36	+80	Up	-$3	10-15 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	10	$134	147	0	+147	Down	+$13	10-15 13:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:45 UTC	9	$133	90	67	+23	Up	-$9	10-16 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:15 UTC	9	$131	109	32	+76	Up	+$1	10-14 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	7	$129	126	49	+76	Up	+$3	10-15 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC	9	$128	84	59	+25	Up	-$1	10-14 10:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:00 UTC	5	$127	104	28	+76	Up	+$3	10-14 08:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	6	$126	135	0	+135	Up	+$2	10-14 17:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:20 UTC	11	$121	166	166	+0	Up	-$19	10-16 19:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:45 UTC	11	$117	121	42	+79	Down	+$1	10-16 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	10	$114	113	9	+104	Up	+$4	10-15 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:10 UTC	13	$114	113	34	+79	Up	-$1	10-16 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	8	$114	71	71	+0	Up	$0	10-15 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	13	$113	102	27	+76	Up	+$2	10-15 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	6	$113	58	58	+0	Down	+$1	10-14 23:19
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 12?	10	$112	62	62	+0	No	+$12	10-12 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 8?	3	$111	60	60	+0	No	+$9	10-08 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	12	$111	110	9	+101	Down	+$2	10-15 16:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC	7	$111	118	0	+118	Down	+$4	10-14 19:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:40 UTC	11	$110	108	36	+71	Up	+$1	10-16 17:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:06:49	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x85dd33…
10-28 20:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xe9ebf3…
10-28 20:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaf371e…
10-28 20:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7c3fb7…
10-28 20:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5ca50e…
10-28 20:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x433c1e…
10-28 20:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe87d7a…
10-28 20:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x05c969…
10-28 20:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6fa359…
10-28 20:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5651a7…
10-28 20:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xecf2c5…
10-28 20:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9a29b5…
10-28 20:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x41440b…
10-28 20:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xefd5ba…
10-28 20:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4065c0…
10-28 20:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xefefb7…
10-28 20:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1f5a56…
10-28 20:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xad276b…
10-28 20:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	66¢	$4	0x725c96…
10-28 20:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x02cb5c…
10-28 20:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x2f54d3…
10-28 20:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfe0842…
10-28 20:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xf2695d…
10-28 20:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x89337d…
10-28 20:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x63ff41…
10-28 20:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x1d227c…
10-28 20:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8cd6c2…
10-28 19:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xfe3c6d…
10-28 19:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x7ad896…
10-28 19:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x62e7aa…
10-28 19:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x97fa9b…
10-28 19:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcdd39c…
10-28 19:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf5dc35…
10-28 19:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x967119…
10-28 19:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	77¢	$9	0xa699a6…
10-28 19:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbf32d5…
10-28 19:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4a0dc8…
10-28 19:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x6091c3…
10-28 19:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x996998…
10-28 19:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x6028cb…
10-28 19:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xff4c97…
10-28 19:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x93485c…
10-28 19:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc21bc9…
10-28 18:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x954d07…
10-28 18:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd98ffc…
10-28 18:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x48cc5a…
10-28 18:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcb094e…
10-28 18:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x055e72…
10-28 15:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7331b6…
10-28 15:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x1c8ad9…
10-28 15:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdaf96a…
10-28 14:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xcdc5e4…
10-28 14:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2fffdf…
10-28 14:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7eab45…
10-28 14:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaa9a00…
10-28 14:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb263c6…
10-28 14:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf15b1f…
10-28 13:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaefcbb…
10-28 13:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeec523…
10-28 12:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe07e0c…
10-28 12:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xfe9ba6…
10-28 12:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd86cce…
10-28 12:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4e8e10…
10-28 12:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf304aa…
10-28 11:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x38bf24…
10-28 11:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd2382e…
10-28 11:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1bbc3e…
10-28 11:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x082545…
10-28 11:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97a954…
10-28 11:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd6fa80…
10-28 11:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa5743f…
10-28 10:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6e57d9…
10-28 10:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x354565…
10-28 10:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5dae4d…
10-28 10:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x82f43f…
10-28 10:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf06b1e…
10-28 10:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xad7279…
10-28 10:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3157db…
10-28 10:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9e2859…
10-28 10:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1238c3…
10-28 10:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x95bc9b…
10-28 10:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xb40f7d…
10-28 10:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9a7237…
10-28 10:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x7772f7…
10-28 10:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2abdca…
10-28 10:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcd1ebe…
10-28 10:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa0b814…
10-28 10:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3abe4d…
10-28 00:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x44b881…
10-28 00:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe955b2…
10-28 00:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5249d4…
10-28 00:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x463be1…
10-28 00:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x67a8da…
10-28 00:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe0658f…
10-27 23:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a0464…
10-27 23:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6a7b2…
10-27 23:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9af5c…
10-27 23:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5951ac…
10-27 23:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x216667…
10-27 23:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfb976d…