Spiteful-Outrage — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$110

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved (90d)

682

Trades (90d)

3,158

3,874 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$18.3K

$19.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$76

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-28 00:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 67% +$50

Other

7% 49% -$17

Politics

5% 50% -$35

Sports

0% 25% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 727 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+61	$43	84¢	$51	+$8	09-22 22:40
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+102	$48	24¢	$24	-$24	10-27 22:37
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	-14	-$1	8¢	$-1	$0	09-06 23:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$640	353	353	+0	open	—	10-23 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	16	$387	307	230	+77	Up	-$8	10-15 13:39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$252	309	207	+102	open	—	10-27 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	9	$238	186	60	+126	Up	+$4	10-15 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:50 UTC	8	$205	108	108	+0	Down	+$3	10-13 23:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:30 UTC	11	$165	146	32	+113	Down	+$4	10-15 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	7	$155	162	0	+162	Up	+$7	10-15 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC	7	$153	129	28	+101	Up	+$2	10-14 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	11	$147	176	0	+176	Down	-$12	10-15 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	10	$139	135	9	+126	Up	+$1	10-15 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:25 UTC	10	$135	115	36	+80	Up	-$3	10-15 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	10	$134	147	0	+147	Down	+$13	10-15 13:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:45 UTC	9	$133	90	67	+23	Up	-$9	10-16 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:15 UTC	9	$131	109	32	+76	Up	+$1	10-14 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	7	$129	126	49	+76	Up	+$3	10-15 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC	9	$128	84	59	+25	Up	-$1	10-14 10:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:00 UTC	5	$127	104	28	+76	Up	+$3	10-14 08:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	6	$126	135	0	+135	Up	+$2	10-14 17:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:20 UTC	11	$121	166	166	+0	Up	-$19	10-16 19:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:45 UTC	11	$117	121	42	+79	Down	+$1	10-16 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	10	$114	113	9	+104	Up	+$4	10-15 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:10 UTC	13	$114	113	34	+79	Up	-$1	10-16 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	8	$114	71	71	+0	Up	$0	10-15 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	13	$113	102	27	+76	Up	+$2	10-15 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	6	$113	58	58	+0	Down	+$1	10-14 23:19
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 12?	10	$112	62	62	+0	No	+$12	10-12 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 8?	3	$111	60	60	+0	No	+$9	10-08 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	12	$111	110	9	+101	Down	+$2	10-15 16:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC	7	$111	118	0	+118	Down	+$4	10-14 19:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:40 UTC	11	$110	108	36	+71	Up	+$1	10-16 17:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x44b881…
10-28 00:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe955b2…
10-28 00:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5249d4…
10-28 00:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x463be1…
10-28 00:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x67a8da…
10-28 00:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe0658f…
10-27 23:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a0464…
10-27 23:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6a7b2…
10-27 23:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9af5c…
10-27 23:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5951ac…
10-27 23:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x216667…
10-27 23:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfb976d…
10-27 23:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x95ecf0…
10-27 23:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x73c753…
10-27 23:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdb75af…
10-27 23:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4a4f86…
10-27 23:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x938664…
10-27 23:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfd132e…
10-27 23:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0d28df…
10-27 22:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xd1c888…
10-27 22:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x93b52a…
10-27 22:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5bd86…
10-27 22:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2eef1b…
10-27 22:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb14045…
10-27 22:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x295529…
10-27 22:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd773ef…
10-27 22:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6e12d9…
10-27 22:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbcc8da…
10-27 22:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3e21f…
10-27 22:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc30866…
10-27 22:37:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	207	49¢	$102	0x8eb94f…
10-27 22:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0xf26f03…
10-27 22:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb3efd2…
10-27 22:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xba40d4…
10-27 22:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2c8b9c…
10-27 22:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x681ee9…
10-27 22:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd59aac…
10-27 22:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x110909…
10-27 22:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x005988…
10-27 22:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x840e1a…
10-27 22:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1d1444…
10-27 22:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x4bd065…
10-27 22:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8a28b4…
10-27 22:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xb335bb…
10-27 22:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x97b8f8…
10-27 21:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x56c5f1…
10-27 21:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5c2dbd…
10-27 21:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2d5d4a…
10-27 21:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd79a61…
10-27 19:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc1bc67…
10-27 19:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xfc1052…
10-27 18:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xa512c5…
10-27 18:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1d3166…
10-27 18:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x80a672…
10-27 18:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x00640e…
10-27 17:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc6a6f1…
10-27 17:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd16683…
10-27 17:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$2	0x96ef26…
10-27 17:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6d7619…
10-27 17:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x851574…
10-27 17:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xe3207c…
10-27 17:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xe02da1…
10-27 17:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6f7019…
10-27 17:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x76da8f…
10-27 17:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9eda82…
10-27 17:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x2e35c4…
10-27 17:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc82dff…
10-27 17:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xa1eb62…
10-27 17:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x25edbd…
10-27 16:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x437454…
10-27 16:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x571415…
10-27 16:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcb890d…
10-27 16:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x2cd274…
10-27 16:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5aebdd…
10-27 16:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7d2316…
10-27 16:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xc35ccd…
10-27 16:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x003a59…
10-27 16:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	71¢	$5	0x625b4c…
10-27 16:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9776d1…
10-27 16:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x49443e…
10-27 16:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x84050e…
10-27 16:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x72b1cd…
10-27 16:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9f0e85…
10-27 15:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x837cd7…
10-27 14:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x3573c0…
10-27 14:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa90ea6…
10-27 14:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x64b3d2…
10-27 14:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbadcf0…
10-27 14:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x239e5a…
10-27 14:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd6e860…
10-27 14:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x094b9d…
10-27 14:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfb0161…
10-27 13:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xef1b51…
10-27 13:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa756ab…
10-27 13:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xff2cfd…
10-27 13:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xb95efe…
10-27 13:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x387219…
10-27 13:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x4472a3…
10-27 13:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6e8eb3…
10-27 13:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfb5068…