Oily-Stepuncle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$737

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

1,602

Trades

2,755

lifetime

Volume

$5.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 07-25 22:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

83% 21% -$618

Crypto

16% 43% -$120

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16?	4	$68	200	199	+1	No	+$64	07-16 00:24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 17?	10	$54	81	81	-0	Yes	+$54	07-17 21:39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 27?	3	$46	31	31	+0	No	+$17	05-28 00:54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 31?	2	$46	40	40	+0	Yes	+$34	05-31 16:17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 29?	3	$45	39	39	+0	Yes	+$33	05-29 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 31?	4	$32	23	23	+0	No	+$2	05-31 01:50
Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 400.0k by May 31?	9	$30	50	50	+0	No	+$1	05-20 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?	2	$29	30	30	+0	Yes	+$27	05-06 22:17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 2?	3	$25	15	15	+0	No	+$5	06-02 00:23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?	2	$23	18	18	+0	Yes	+$13	05-17 13:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on May 25?	2	$23	18	18	+0	No	+$13	05-25 14:04
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 3?	3	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	06-03 18:19
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 4?	3	$20	13	13	+0	Yes	+$2	06-03 18:19
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 26?	2	$20	16	16	+0	Yes	+$10	05-26 21:14
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 26?	2	$19	17	17	+0	Yes	+$15	05-26 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4?	2	$19	18	18	+0	No	-$1	06-03 18:24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 30?	2	$18	14	14	+0	Yes	$0	05-29 23:34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?	2	$18	14	14	+0	No	-$2	05-29 23:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?	2	$17	12	12	+0	Yes	+$7	05-29 13:40
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 25?	2	$16	11	11	+0	No	+$6	05-26 00:30
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 23?	2	$16	11	11	+0	No	+$6	05-24 00:30
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 24?	2	$16	15	15	+0	Yes	+$14	05-24 17:09
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 7?	2	$16	11	11	+0	No	+$6	06-07 13:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	05-26 21:14
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 25?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$6	05-25 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 24?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	05-24 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	06-16 21:50
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 29?	2	$14	11	11	+0	Yes	+$8	05-29 19:47
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24?	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	05-24 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 24?	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	05-24 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 22:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xed9f79…
07-25 22:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x73f79e…
07-25 22:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x078f65…
07-24 23:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xbd2958…
07-24 23:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x621feb…
07-24 23:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9552c6…
07-24 22:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	1,170	0¢	$1	0x5a4f9d…
07-24 22:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xfc6d6c…
07-24 22:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6b2c7b…
07-24 22:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9d0061…
07-24 22:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x292765…
07-24 22:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x865192…
07-24 22:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5da41e…
07-24 22:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	132	2¢	$2	0x11881b…
07-24 21:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xdbb93e…
07-24 21:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc7cdfe…
07-24 21:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	47	3¢	$1	0xfaa5fe…
07-24 21:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9306ba…
07-24 21:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9213da…
07-24 21:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xc347dd…
07-24 21:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x6c9707…
07-24 21:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xd76951…
07-24 21:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xfa4c9b…
07-24 21:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xe7085e…
07-24 21:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	207	0¢	$0	0x8d8b1a…
07-24 21:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x052d39…
07-24 18:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x464e22…
07-24 18:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$1	0xd4b97f…
07-24 18:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x12a204…
07-23 22:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xe74bc7…
07-23 22:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x2368e0…
07-23 22:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x927729…
07-23 22:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xf6ff39…
07-23 22:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x440051…
07-23 22:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x030fe6…
07-23 22:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcfc8b3…
07-23 22:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x4173be…
07-23 22:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x0ffe1f…
07-23 22:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x0bed98…
07-23 22:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x6a41c1…
07-23 22:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd42776…
07-23 22:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xc85136…
07-23 22:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x91cf26…
07-23 21:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x6f583a…
07-23 21:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf8b16c…
07-23 21:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x912f03…
07-23 21:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x5b1284…
07-23 19:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xebf655…
07-23 19:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	56	3¢	$2	0x772486…
07-23 19:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x49cb5e…
07-23 19:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x742e23…
07-23 16:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x86ed86…
07-23 16:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6372c5…
07-23 16:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x228e57…
07-23 16:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6e128f…
07-23 16:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd90a48…
07-23 16:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbf04dd…
07-23 16:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xd667ea…
07-23 16:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xdd1180…
07-23 16:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$2	0x374bed…
07-23 16:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x84724c…
07-23 16:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	149	0¢	$0	0xc7b808…
07-23 16:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x579baf…
07-23 16:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xa36d1e…
07-23 04:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x366687…
07-23 03:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x234b79…
07-23 03:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x4555dd…
07-23 03:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0xa5ece6…
07-23 03:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb1358c…
07-23 02:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x10c192…
07-23 02:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x37f708…
07-22 22:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xced453…
07-22 22:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x5b9930…
07-22 22:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x02bfa9…
07-22 22:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf18b98…
07-22 22:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xddad7c…
07-22 21:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x186035…
07-22 21:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe43439…
07-22 21:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xeb80c5…
07-22 21:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2f210b…
07-22 18:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa04767…
07-22 17:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x778c7f…
07-22 17:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xee1fd6…
07-22 17:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfe3cbe…
07-22 17:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x260ff4…
07-22 07:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 24?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x7bc665…
07-22 07:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xa795a9…
07-22 06:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xd45255…
07-22 06:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x17f207…
07-22 06:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0xf4aca4…
07-22 06:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x77bbd3…
07-22 06:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x59ef6e…
07-22 06:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x43ee66…
07-22 06:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x72300e…
07-22 06:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb1b57c…
07-22 06:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0xd496d0…
07-22 06:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x1bbeee…
07-22 05:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xeb74b9…
07-22 05:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xe52276…
07-22 05:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xbfadb1…