Well-Lit-Candidate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.41K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

11,939

Trades

39,590

lifetime

Volume

$858.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 09-04 01:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 64% -$3,232

Other

1% 69% -$125

Politics

1% 28% -$42

Sports

0% 67% -$8

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 06:00 UTC	98	$2.8K	4,838	0	+4,838	Down	-$2,730	03-14 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 05:25 UTC	58	$2.3K	1,465	1,465	+1	Up	+$586	03-13 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 05:30 UTC	74	$2.1K	10,055	0	+10,055	Down	-$2,113	03-14 05:34
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	27	$2.1K	1,061	1,061	+0	No	-$1	04-30 13:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	63	$2.0K	1,027	1,027	+0	No	-$1	05-02 16:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 05:50 UTC	60	$1.7K	2,914	0	+2,914	Down	-$1,661	03-14 05:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 02:40 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,403	0	+1,403	Up	+$27	03-08 02:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	36	$1.4K	686	686	+0	No	-$1	05-02 16:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:50 UTC	3	$1.3K	1,353	0	+1,353	Up	+$16	03-10 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:45 UTC	3	$1.3K	1,353	0	+1,353	Up	+$19	03-10 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 01:30 UTC	10	$1.3K	1,320	0	+1,320	Down	+$20	03-08 01:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 20:10 UTC	13	$1.2K	1,250	0	+1,250	Down	+$11	03-06 20:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:55 UTC	2	$1.2K	1,250	0	+1,250	Up	+$13	03-10 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 04:20 UTC	2	$1.2K	1,250	0	+1,250	Up	+$13	03-10 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 04:10 UTC	3	$1.2K	1,250	0	+1,250	Up	+$25	03-10 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 03:45 UTC	4	$1.2K	1,220	0	+1,220	Down	+$12	03-10 03:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 15:45 UTC	2	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	Up	+$20	02-24 15:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:40 UTC	13	$1.2K	742	732	+10	Down	+$300	03-24 01:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:05 UTC	7	$1.1K	1,153	0	+1,153	Down	+$12	03-10 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 05:40 UTC	53	$1.1K	1,804	0	+1,804	Up	+$668	03-14 05:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 13:45 UTC	3	$1.1K	1,153	0	+1,153	Up	+$19	03-10 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 04:00 UTC	3	$1.1K	1,153	0	+1,153	Up	+$24	03-10 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 13:10 UTC	9	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	Up	+$12	03-09 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 16:35 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,108	0	+1,108	Up	+$22	02-24 16:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 03:35 UTC	35	$1.1K	1,786	0	+1,786	Up	+$714	03-14 03:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 12:05 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	Down	+$11	03-10 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:15 UTC	6	$1.0K	1,052	0	+1,052	Up	+$12	03-10 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:35 UTC	4	$1.0K	1,053	0	+1,053	Up	+$14	03-09 12:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 09:00 UTC	65	$1.0K	1,483	0	+1,483	Up	+$470	03-13 09:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 01:55 UTC	3	$1.0K	1,022	0	+1,022	Down	+$12	03-08 01:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 01:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9ce245…
09-04 01:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdfeed0…
09-04 01:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x526b96…
09-03 23:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x766dd9…
09-03 23:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x181fe2…
09-01 17:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x77cbe9…
09-01 15:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x698921…
09-01 14:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1a1146…
09-01 13:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x307b37…
09-01 13:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1cc3ca…
09-01 12:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xdb07c5…
09-01 12:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x11a086…
09-01 12:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x41ab6c…
09-01 11:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xccc40b…
09-01 10:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd2e3a6…
09-01 10:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x921a2b…
09-01 09:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x53fd13…
09-01 08:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4ac1c4…
09-01 08:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6328ae…
09-01 07:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x159977…
09-01 06:14:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf205e7…
09-01 05:49:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x655c9f…
09-01 04:59:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd1c83e…
09-01 03:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe730f9…
09-01 03:14:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x20f67d…
09-01 03:04:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9a3236…
09-01 02:44:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb05bd9…
09-01 02:09:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xab2c59…
09-01 01:09:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x779df4…
08-31 22:39:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4d98d6…
08-31 21:39:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb430e7…
08-31 20:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa8d160…
08-31 19:39:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x32f253…
08-31 19:34:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8a7b5a…
08-31 19:29:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2e1269…
06-06 09:01:51	Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x84516d…
06-06 08:36:49	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x25355a…
06-06 07:35:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	39	20¢	$8	0x65e5b6…
06-06 07:31:51	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xf0cce9…
06-06 07:26:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xeac513…
06-06 07:01:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	76	30¢	$23	0xe0edc0…
06-06 06:31:49	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0x88726c…
06-06 06:26:49	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x6a0239…
06-06 06:21:49	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x788ed5…
06-06 06:16:49	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0x4c44c4…
06-06 06:11:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xfe66da…
06-06 05:46:51	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0xa9ff45…
06-06 05:46:51	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x2c88b4…
06-06 05:46:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xee3954…
06-06 05:41:49	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xf77f16…
06-06 05:35:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0xb6e26c…
06-06 05:31:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	167	24¢	$40	0x45a2e6…
06-06 05:31:51	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x43c6ed…
06-06 05:31:49	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	31¢	$6	0x819201…
06-06 05:31:49	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x7a8dae…
06-06 05:31:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x4b36af…
06-06 05:31:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	43	50¢	$22	0x21c648…
06-06 05:26:52	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0xf3b36e…
06-06 05:26:52	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x0fbdb6…
06-06 05:26:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xe42e47…
06-06 05:26:51	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x56f60d…
06-06 05:20:19	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	80	21¢	$17	0x78b50f…
06-06 05:16:48	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x2efbc5…
06-06 05:11:48	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xa0fb20…
06-06 05:06:49	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x47989e…
06-06 04:41:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x251526…
06-06 04:26:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0xdda952…
06-06 04:11:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x58e539…
06-06 04:05:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	143	28¢	$40	0xa3dece…
06-06 03:50:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0xc0d1a3…
06-06 03:46:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	88	27¢	$24	0xb306b4…
06-06 03:11:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0xbd7e9f…
06-06 02:41:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0x43f572…
06-06 02:36:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	115	35¢	$40	0xe11e1c…
06-06 02:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0x708c33…
06-06 02:21:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	186	22¢	$40	0x96a481…
06-05 03:05:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x38e655…
06-05 03:04:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x1e89cb…
06-05 02:14:57	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xb61c51…
06-05 01:55:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x635e03…
06-05 01:45:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xf11d24…
06-05 01:45:12	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa9f018…
06-05 01:35:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x7515ba…
06-05 01:35:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x848368…
06-05 01:30:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb92ea5…
06-05 01:20:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xa1f209…
06-05 00:14:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd9f65d…
06-05 00:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5a9469…
06-05 00:04:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x9d0ae9…
06-05 00:00:12	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x8c8fcc…
06-05 00:00:10	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf3a0f8…
06-04 07:30:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd94359…
06-04 07:30:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x8943f6…
06-04 07:24:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xc3823e…
06-04 07:24:58	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa0a722…
06-04 07:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6bba96…
06-04 07:14:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xa6c438…
06-04 07:14:57	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x758951…
06-04 07:14:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xc6ce35…
06-04 07:14:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x3f5c24…