Spotted-Hugger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$118

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.3%

Resolved

355

Trades

660

lifetime

Volume

$87.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$133

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 10-27 15:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Other

96% 99% +$98

Sports

3% 100% +$15

Tech

1% 100% +$6

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	9	$1.3K	1,236	267	+970	Yes	-$9	07-29 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?	1	$1.0K	1,048	0	+1,048	Yes	+$2	06-02 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29?	2	$1.0K	1,043	0	+1,043	No	+$1	05-29 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 28?	1	$1.0K	1,042	0	+1,042	No	+$1	05-28 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 25?	1	$1.0K	1,004	0	+1,004	No	+$1	04-25 07:54
ted cruz of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 160 179	1	$1.0K	1,003	0	+1,003	Yes	+$1	04-24 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?	4	$988	889	100	+789	Yes	+$1	05-18 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 29?	3	$984	985	0	+985	No	+$1	06-29 03:39
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	6	$980	492	492	+0	No	+$2	08-19 15:43
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	1	$973	974	0	+974	Yes	+$1	06-21 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or higher on August 1?	1	$971	972	0	+972	No	+$1	08-01 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 5?	2	$855	856	0	+856	No	+$2	05-05 08:29
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?	1	$843	844	0	+844	No	+$1	09-01 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?	2	$839	841	0	+841	Yes	+$2	05-31 11:17
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	3	$801	402	402	+0	No	+$1	09-02 09:31
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$798	799	0	+799	No	+$1	08-18 15:07
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$794	798	0	+798	No	+$4	05-26 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on August 9?	2	$769	770	0	+770	No	+$1	08-09 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 11?	1	$761	762	0	+762	No	+$1	07-11 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 13?	3	$753	754	0	+754	No	+$1	06-13 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on May 6?	8	$730	731	0	+731	No	+$1	05-06 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 9?	1	$726	727	0	+727	No	+$1	05-09 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 30?	2	$711	712	0	+712	No	+$1	06-30 03:10
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	1	$699	700	0	+700	Yes	+$1	06-17 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 6?	3	$663	664	0	+664	No	+$1	07-06 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 17?	1	$660	661	0	+661	No	+$1	05-17 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 11?	1	$657	658	0	+658	Yes	+$1	05-11 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?	1	$643	643	0	+643	Yes	+$1	08-12 11:44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 27?	3	$637	638	0	+638	No	+$1	06-27 03:54
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on June 3?	1	$628	629	0	+629	No	+$1	06-03 03:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:58:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	104	94¢	$98	0x8fcbbd…
10-27 10:18:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x2b9266…
10-27 10:17:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	74¢	$33	0xb909bc…
10-27 10:16:54	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x8d5dd4…
10-27 05:21:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x15340a…
10-27 05:21:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0xf54ef7…
10-27 03:49:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x708bdc…
10-27 03:48:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xfa43fe…
10-27 03:48:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x175e4c…
10-27 03:47:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x2c1667…
10-27 03:47:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xdc8895…
10-27 03:46:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x9a3f0d…
10-27 03:46:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xf1d997…
10-26 09:00:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	83¢	$76	0x145120…
10-26 08:01:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	80¢	$73	0x9110d3…
10-26 07:11:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x25b7ec…
10-26 07:02:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x792f33…
10-26 07:01:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xdcf712…
10-26 06:58:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xd182a7…
10-26 06:58:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x295d27…
10-26 06:58:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x318f97…
10-26 06:54:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf50b84…
10-26 06:54:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb22167…
10-26 06:44:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6ffb58…
10-26 06:44:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	58¢	$27	0x7f2233…
10-26 02:18:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0xd80162…
10-26 02:15:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0x1599f8…
10-26 02:11:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	62¢	$30	0x17aab0…
10-26 02:08:21	Pistons vs. 76ers	Pistons	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf145c2…
10-26 02:08:21	Pistons vs. 76ers	Pistons	BUY	85	99¢	$85	0xde8405…
09-02 17:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on September 3?	No	BUY	332	100¢	$332	0x4bb72f…
09-02 17:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 21°C on September 3?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0x8b2c22…
09-02 09:31:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	SELL	339	100¢	$338	0x68b77b…
09-02 09:23:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xe9bc59…
09-02 05:41:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0xa2e48e…
09-01 03:27:16	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?	No	BUY	844	100¢	$843	0x1416f8…
08-28 14:35:22	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x629643…
08-28 14:35:03	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on August 28?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd2e41c…
08-28 14:34:37	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on August 28?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x95c4b3…
08-28 06:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0d3ead…
08-28 06:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 28?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xa6fc0a…
08-27 18:25:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x471c44…
08-27 18:20:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x836a9d…
08-27 05:35:06	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 13°C on August 27?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x2edc82…
08-27 05:31:57	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 12°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	585	100¢	$584	0x65fc20…
08-26 15:51:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x978e19…
08-26 15:43:46	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 20°C on August 26?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x615649…
08-26 13:05:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x8ce3b3…
08-26 13:05:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x9ce0e0…
08-26 13:05:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xcb0103…
08-26 13:05:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xee4b4a…
08-26 13:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xdf6b90…
08-26 13:04:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xbf2add…
08-26 13:04:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x8cf18d…
08-26 13:04:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xdb8cb0…
08-26 12:40:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	79¢	$28	0xfc9579…
08-26 11:38:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0x9d1d25…
08-26 11:37:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xba3ef5…
08-26 11:35:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xa32eae…
08-26 11:28:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$6	0x3c4d6e…
08-26 11:25:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xf2e637…
08-26 11:22:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	75¢	$26	0x360c0d…
08-26 10:19:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	73¢	$21	0x0bd050…
08-26 10:16:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	72¢	$41	0x87129d…
08-26 08:45:01	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 15°C on August 26?	No	BUY	451	100¢	$451	0x7db545…
08-26 08:44:28	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 14°C on August 26?	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0x0e3267…
08-26 08:28:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	71¢	$60	0x878fc4…
08-26 08:28:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x3536aa…
08-25 13:12:57	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x29f34e…
08-25 11:58:51	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa323e4…
08-25 11:58:40	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on August 25?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x5ed04c…
08-25 11:57:58	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on August 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfc2c72…
08-25 11:24:31	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xb416d0…
08-25 11:19:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0x12d46c…
08-25 11:19:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x4366a2…
08-25 11:12:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0x6e3b1d…
08-25 11:08:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0x2a74cc…
08-25 11:06:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	93¢	$168	0x11d8cf…
08-25 10:42:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0xba2576…
08-25 05:17:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x482cd0…
08-25 05:15:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	80¢	$134	0x27e054…
08-25 05:15:10	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	80¢	$106	0x7e3b35…
08-25 02:16:25	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on August 25?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xbe0604…
08-25 02:16:10	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on August 25?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xec1ec6…
08-25 02:16:01	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on August 25?	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x6eb756…
08-22 15:28:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	SELL	51	45¢	$23	0x1ffde2…
08-22 06:22:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x92cd74…
08-22 05:33:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xb366af…
08-22 05:33:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x1eff4a…
08-21 05:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on August 22?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xe73e85…
08-21 05:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 21°C on August 22?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xd4e37e…
08-21 05:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 20°C on August 22?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xe408d6…
08-21 05:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 20°C on August 22?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x0706a8…
08-21 05:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on August 22?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xaeb2e9…
08-21 05:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on August 22?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x4d2aa0…
08-21 05:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 18°C on August 22?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x481ab4…
08-21 05:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 18°C on August 22?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x3dc3ab…
08-21 05:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on August 22?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x822635…
08-21 05:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 16°C or below on August 22?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xd7a131…
08-19 15:43:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	No	SELL	492	100¢	$491	0x6e0f13…