Spotted-Hugger — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$126

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

178

722 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$12.9K

$91.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$126

Open exposure

$215

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 11-11 15:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Other

94% 99% +$98

Sports

5% 96% +$27

Tech

1% 100% +$6

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		+120	$118	98¢	$118	+$0	11-11 15:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No		+100	$96	96¢	$96	+$0	11-11 09:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	9	$1.3K	1,236	267	+970	Yes	-$9	07-29 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?	1	$1.0K	1,048	0	+1,048	Yes	+$2	06-02 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29?	2	$1.0K	1,043	0	+1,043	No	+$1	05-29 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 28?	1	$1.0K	1,042	0	+1,042	No	+$1	05-28 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 25?	1	$1.0K	1,004	0	+1,004	No	+$1	04-25 07:54
ted cruz of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 160 179	1	$1.0K	1,003	0	+1,003	Yes	+$1	04-24 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?	4	$988	889	100	+789	Yes	+$1	05-18 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 29?	3	$984	985	0	+985	No	+$1	06-29 03:39
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	6	$980	492	492	+0	No	+$2	08-19 15:43
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	1	$973	974	0	+974	Yes	+$1	06-21 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or higher on August 1?	1	$971	972	0	+972	No	+$1	08-01 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 5?	2	$855	856	0	+856	No	+$2	05-05 08:29
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?	1	$843	844	0	+844	No	+$1	09-01 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?	2	$839	841	0	+841	Yes	+$2	05-31 11:17
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	3	$801	402	402	+0	No	+$1	09-02 09:31
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$798	799	0	+799	No	+$1	08-18 15:07
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$794	798	0	+798	No	+$4	05-26 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on August 9?	2	$769	770	0	+770	No	+$1	08-09 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 11?	1	$761	762	0	+762	No	+$1	07-11 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 13?	3	$753	754	0	+754	No	+$1	06-13 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on May 6?	8	$730	731	0	+731	No	+$1	05-06 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 9?	1	$726	727	0	+727	No	+$1	05-09 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 30?	2	$711	712	0	+712	No	+$1	06-30 03:10
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	1	$699	700	0	+700	Yes	+$1	06-17 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 6?	3	$663	664	0	+664	No	+$1	07-06 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 17?	1	$660	661	0	+661	No	+$1	05-17 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 11?	1	$657	658	0	+658	Yes	+$1	05-11 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?	1	$643	643	0	+643	Yes	+$1	08-12 11:44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 27?	3	$637	638	0	+638	No	+$1	06-27 03:54
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on June 3?	1	$628	629	0	+629	No	+$1	06-03 03:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 15:18:51	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0xb09547…
11-11 09:15:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xa36b88…
11-11 03:07:51	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xade1f1…
11-11 03:07:43	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xaa7e1c…
11-11 03:06:43	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa89aa4…
11-11 03:05:39	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x2f7764…
11-11 03:04:12	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0x049363…
11-10 03:57:13	Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xf772f5…
11-10 03:56:36	Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x4c4cbc…
11-10 03:55:03	Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8db9f3…
11-10 03:53:24	Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0e22ce…
11-10 03:34:22	Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	SELL	70	96¢	$67	0xbcf219…
11-10 03:26:52	Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x1ba5f4…
11-10 02:57:00	Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xfc1bdb…
11-10 02:17:07	Cavaliers vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9f55f4…
11-10 02:16:25	Cavaliers vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xa732de…
11-08 05:00:52	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x8e8b64…
11-07 05:40:04	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Trail Blazers	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xb1fd31…
11-07 05:35:34	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Trail Blazers	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xf1a25c…
11-07 03:09:34	Thunder vs. Grizzlies	Thunder	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x77aec5…
11-07 03:03:54	Thunder vs. Grizzlies	Thunder	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5fc0ee…
11-07 02:43:28	Thunder vs. Grizzlies	Thunder	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xae80ad…
11-07 02:43:24	Thunder vs. Grizzlies	Thunder	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x26903c…
11-07 02:43:01	Thunder vs. Grizzlies	Thunder	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x00fb40…
11-07 02:41:30	Thunder vs. Grizzlies	Thunder	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x815b87…
11-07 02:21:09	Thunder vs. Grizzlies	Thunder	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xa618b3…
11-07 02:20:45	Celtics vs. Hornets	Celtics	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd9b949…
11-07 01:21:13	Celtics vs. Hornets	Celtics	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x199e9a…
11-07 01:19:18	Celtics vs. Hornets	Celtics	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0x224677…
11-06 07:59:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x98dcdf…
11-06 05:46:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x6105ae…
11-06 05:46:49	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$37	0x2854ff…
11-06 03:53:03	Magic vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0xa425cf…
11-05 13:53:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x84e781…
11-05 02:53:58	76ers vs. Pistons	76ers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ed442…
11-05 02:53:27	76ers vs. Pistons	76ers	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x204127…
11-05 02:53:22	76ers vs. Pistons	76ers	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe92791…
11-05 02:52:36	76ers vs. Pistons	76ers	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xc1833d…
11-05 02:52:06	76ers vs. Pistons	76ers	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa17a7d…
11-02 15:49:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xa91e9d…
11-02 15:05:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x0c40eb…
11-02 04:18:22	Raptors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x630ee0…
11-02 04:17:25	Raptors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x6fb0b9…
11-02 04:17:21	Raptors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x665e1d…
11-02 04:17:16	Raptors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a0ec3…
11-02 03:52:45	Clippers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9cd134…
11-02 03:49:00	Raptors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x279377…
11-02 03:44:46	Clippers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbafe1e…
11-02 03:44:33	Clippers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xacb2a9…
10-31 01:19:45	Hornets vs. Wizards	Wizards	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc8f6be…
10-30 15:52:40	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd00402…
10-30 15:42:40	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xe89816…
10-30 15:42:19	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0xddd3a0…
10-30 15:42:06	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x5199b7…
10-30 15:24:01	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$58	0x7b45ff…
10-30 14:52:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x39a58a…
10-30 14:52:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	21¢	$13	0xe9ef65…
10-30 14:43:57	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x0361ad…
10-30 14:43:40	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x023192…
10-30 14:33:48	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	27¢	$10	0x9526f2…
10-30 14:17:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x6db20e…
10-30 14:10:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x30884c…
10-30 14:08:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$7	0x237053…
10-30 03:42:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x74cd38…
10-30 01:41:09	Kings vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x4a7495…
10-27 15:58:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	104	94¢	$98	0x8fcbbd…
10-27 10:18:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x2b9266…
10-27 10:17:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	74¢	$33	0xb909bc…
10-27 10:16:54	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x8d5dd4…
10-27 05:21:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x15340a…
10-27 05:21:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0xf54ef7…
10-27 03:49:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x708bdc…
10-27 03:48:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xfa43fe…
10-27 03:48:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x175e4c…
10-27 03:47:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x2c1667…
10-27 03:47:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xdc8895…
10-27 03:46:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x9a3f0d…
10-27 03:46:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xf1d997…
10-26 09:00:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	83¢	$76	0x145120…
10-26 08:01:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	80¢	$73	0x9110d3…
10-26 07:11:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x25b7ec…
10-26 07:02:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x792f33…
10-26 07:01:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xdcf712…
10-26 06:58:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xd182a7…
10-26 06:58:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x295d27…
10-26 06:58:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x318f97…
10-26 06:54:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf50b84…
10-26 06:54:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb22167…
10-26 06:44:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6ffb58…
10-26 06:44:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	58¢	$27	0x7f2233…
10-26 02:18:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0xd80162…
10-26 02:15:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0x1599f8…
10-26 02:11:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	62¢	$30	0x17aab0…
10-26 02:08:21	Pistons vs. 76ers	Pistons	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf145c2…
10-26 02:08:21	Pistons vs. 76ers	Pistons	BUY	85	99¢	$85	0xde8405…
09-02 17:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on September 3?	No	BUY	332	100¢	$332	0x4bb72f…
09-02 17:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 21°C on September 3?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0x8b2c22…
09-02 09:31:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	SELL	339	100¢	$338	0x68b77b…
09-02 09:23:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xe9bc59…
09-02 05:41:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0xa2e48e…