Uncommon-Billion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$155

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

760

Trades

4,303

lifetime

Volume

$34.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 09-08 00:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Other

97% 53% +$471

Crypto

2% 34% -$320

Sports

0% 67% +$4

Politics

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in miami on february 23 2026 66 67f	36	$841	460	520	-60	No	+$21	02-23 21:24
highest temperature in nyc on february 22 2026 40 41f	20	$830	460	470	-10	No	+$59	02-22 08:41
highest temperature in nyc on february 18 2026 42 43f	2	$666	362	362	+0	No	+$58	02-19 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?	5	$570	303	303	+0	Yes	+$36	05-10 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14?	13	$568	469	469	+0	Yes	+$130	05-14 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 7?	8	$511	321	321	+0	Yes	+$129	06-07 07:31
highest temperature in nyc on february 19 2026 42 43f	18	$464	270	270	+0	No	+$49	02-19 22:39
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 3?	3	$426	229	229	+0	Yes	+$31	06-03 20:49
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 29?	6	$425	474	474	+0	Yes	+$416	05-30 01:52
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on June 2?	12	$421	213	213	+0	No	+$4	06-03 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 21?	24	$411	235	235	+0	Yes	+$7	05-21 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 30?	53	$408	428	428	+0	Yes	+$76	04-30 17:36
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on April 29?	25	$406	311	311	+0	Yes	+$116	04-30 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 1?	28	$366	466	466	+0	Yes	+$86	05-01 23:18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 15?	25	$359	432	432	+0	Yes	+$119	05-15 08:02
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 9?	29	$343	180	180	+0	No	+$16	05-10 01:21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 8?	4	$325	172	172	+0	Yes	+$18	06-09 00:25
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 16?	6	$299	464	0	+464	No	-$299	05-16 19:52
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on April 28?	16	$289	178	178	-0	No	+$27	04-29 01:10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 6?	10	$289	161	161	+0	Yes	+$32	05-06 08:00
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the 2026 state of the union address 556	4	$285	867	867	+0	No	-$284	02-25 04:18
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 73°F or below on April 30?	11	$285	198	198	+0	Yes	-$16	05-01 01:13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 10?	6	$283	157	157	+0	Yes	+$2	05-10 20:07
highest temperature in london on february 24 2026 17c	8	$278	388	388	+0	No	-$1	02-24 17:51
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 28?	11	$246	136	136	+0	No	+$11	04-29 06:55
highest temperature in nyc on february 24 2026 30 31f	16	$241	456	460	-4	No	-$178	02-24 21:19
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 6?	7	$237	151	151	+0	No	+$2	05-06 20:47
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?	13	$231	191	191	+0	Yes	+$104	06-08 11:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?	10	$229	195	195	+0	Yes	+$8	05-11 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 14?	26	$227	190	190	+0	Yes	+$92	05-15 00:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 00:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	169	1¢	$2	0xbc8260…
09-07 22:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd676b8…
09-07 22:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x38463c…
09-07 22:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x312989…
09-07 17:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x5676c0…
09-07 17:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xda6b44…
08-21 02:39:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x568d39…
08-21 02:39:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xe313e3…
08-21 02:39:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb6c056…
08-21 02:39:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xa3c268…
08-21 02:39:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x1d1b57…
08-20 03:25:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x47747f…
08-20 03:25:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x91f96d…
08-18 05:14:13	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd2c14f…
08-14 20:54:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8a99d8…
08-12 06:51:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 06:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x8354d1…
08-12 06:51:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 06:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x26a166…
08-12 06:49:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xaf706d…
08-12 04:37:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x4e1986…
08-12 04:37:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xc0174d…
08-12 04:37:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x0de6fd…
08-12 03:57:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 03:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xf64d09…
08-12 03:56:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x6bb27b…
08-12 03:56:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x26b2f1…
08-12 03:21:21	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xee7b1c…
08-12 03:14:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa7f305…
08-12 02:57:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x09551d…
08-12 02:56:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xd3e973…
08-12 02:56:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xcdb0e3…
08-12 02:56:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x6f80b5…
08-12 02:54:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xb86904…
08-11 22:00:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 11?	No	SELL	65	7¢	$5	0x7dfc5d…
08-11 21:58:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x5f0468…
08-11 21:57:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 11?	No	BUY	25	86¢	$21	0x0b6da2…
08-11 21:17:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 11?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$27	0xa72408…
08-11 21:17:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 11?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x1fa29f…
08-11 07:58:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x335abf…
08-11 07:55:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x50acab…
08-11 07:52:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x180aab…
08-11 07:52:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb3b4d8…
08-11 07:49:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xf24de3…
08-11 07:49:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xc98365…
08-11 07:48:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x9cc521…
08-11 07:48:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x9bfe99…
08-11 07:48:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x054d71…
08-11 07:47:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1462b9…
08-11 05:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0x484d88…
08-11 05:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x2d607c…
08-11 05:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x6ace80…
08-11 05:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x2918b1…
08-11 05:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x451d0e…
08-11 05:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xe7edb9…
08-11 05:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0xcede07…
08-11 05:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0xcb0dbb…
08-11 05:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa9cc38…
08-11 04:09:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x28e061…
08-11 03:22:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xc75a05…
08-11 03:22:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x3eede3…
08-11 03:22:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x3b33c3…
08-11 03:22:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xf0983c…
08-11 03:22:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb0478b…
08-11 03:10:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x346e07…
08-11 03:09:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x653c38…
08-11 03:09:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x6cf62d…
08-11 03:08:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xcd092a…
08-11 03:08:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x935408…
08-11 03:08:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x0700e3…
08-11 03:05:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x4a7070…
08-11 03:04:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xae9ad4…
08-11 02:43:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x345f4a…
08-11 02:43:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x2fdf8e…
08-09 09:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x194b4d…
08-09 09:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xf6fb0a…
08-09 09:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x757bb5…
08-09 09:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x630053…
08-09 09:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xfd0693…
08-09 09:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	38	6¢	$2	0xbc3153…
08-09 09:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x4afe17…
08-08 05:53:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x1f217e…
08-08 05:49:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x79d858…
08-08 04:54:40	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaba517…
08-08 04:53:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 04:50 UTC	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x872ddc…
08-08 04:50:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x4afc3f…
08-08 04:50:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x109da6…
08-08 04:44:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0c02b8…
08-08 04:42:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 04:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x07be9f…
08-08 04:42:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x3e65ff…
08-08 03:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe61296…
08-08 03:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xf4bd1a…
08-08 03:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xa053c4…
08-08 03:33:06	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5ccacb…
08-08 03:25:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x12c05a…
08-08 03:22:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	92	2¢	$2	0x50ec59…
08-08 03:22:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x81cb0c…
08-08 03:12:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xabdda5…
08-08 03:12:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x70e91e…
08-08 03:09:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x94420c…
08-08 03:09:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x6026dc…
08-07 08:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 7?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xda83ae…
08-07 07:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7?	Yes	SELL	73	98¢	$72	0x363bc4…