Fuzzy-Constraint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.24K

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

615

Trades

2,032

lifetime

Volume

$139.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 07-22 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

97% 90% -$491

Crypto

1% 80% -$117

Politics

1% 50% -$614

Sports

0% 0% -$18

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+636	$11	1¢	$5	-$6	06-13 17:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 2?	7	$1.0K	520	520	+0	No	+$23	05-02 19:12
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	1	$1000	1,992	0	+1,992	No	-$1,000	07-22 21:18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 1?	3	$910	458	458	+0	No	+$5	05-01 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or higher on May 2?	17	$895	451	451	+0	No	+$5	05-02 16:57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 6?	6	$885	446	446	+0	No	+$6	05-06 19:26
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on May 3?	7	$880	443	443	+0	No	+$6	05-03 16:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 8?	7	$875	441	441	+0	No	+$6	05-08 20:31
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 6?	2	$866	438	438	+0	No	+$3	05-06 19:26
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on May 3?	2	$860	436	432	+4	No	+$7	05-03 16:10
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 2?	5	$860	433	433	+0	No	+$7	05-02 19:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8?	6	$834	421	421	+0	No	+$8	05-08 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 3?	16	$798	1,160	0	+1,160	Yes	-$798	05-03 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?	11	$767	869	0	+869	No	+$102	05-08 23:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$711	3,091	0	+3,091	No	-$711	01-11 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 3?	4	$697	358	358	+0	No	+$19	05-03 12:54
Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	6	$665	736	0	+736	Yes	+$71	04-27 23:25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14?	7	$662	677	0	+677	No	+$15	06-14 14:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?	11	$645	1,100	106	+994	Yes	-$495	05-10 03:04
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on May 1?	3	$606	308	308	+0	No	+$10	05-01 18:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 22?	2	$596	300	300	+0	No	+$3	05-22 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 21?	2	$596	300	300	+0	No	+$4	05-21 22:26
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 22?	2	$593	300	300	+0	No	+$6	05-22 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on May 10?	4	$593	600	0	+600	No	+$7	05-09 23:31
highest temperature in hong kong on april 18 2026 26c	2	$592	303	294	+9	No	+$3	04-18 23:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 19 2026 25c	2	$569	287	287	+0	No	+$4	04-19 14:56
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 26c	3	$558	281	281	+0	No	+$4	04-19 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 4?	3	$558	448	117	+332	No	+$6	05-03 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 30?	4	$553	285	285	+0	No	+$17	05-01 17:45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 3?	4	$550	569	0	+569	No	+$19	05-03 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 4?	11	$545	549	149	+400	No	-$36	06-04 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 21:18:58	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,992	50¢	$1,000	0x7cd735…
07-15 19:02:34	Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	632	8¢	$50	0x71669d…
07-07 17:35:04	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0xb3394c…
07-06 22:51:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	325	13¢	$42	0xb1f298…
07-06 22:40:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x375fab…
07-06 22:38:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x00850d…
07-06 22:36:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x90f5b6…
07-06 22:35:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x296a38…
07-06 22:35:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x4b5e03…
07-06 22:35:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x517a00…
07-04 00:27:02	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x2022cc…
07-04 00:10:14	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x3e9d90…
07-04 00:07:38	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x0a4a51…
07-04 00:07:37	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0x7e51c2…
07-01 15:56:44	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x201085…
06-30 21:39:38	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x6561fa…
06-30 21:33:04	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x441517…
06-30 20:56:32	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0xcd61fe…
06-29 21:37:28	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	397	63¢	$250	0x1e87d2…
06-28 20:06:14	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x01fe1e…
06-28 18:53:10	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x298d9a…
06-28 18:52:44	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x00536b…
06-28 18:52:28	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x418837…
06-28 18:43:11	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xacc9e6…
06-28 18:40:05	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x109099…
06-28 01:22:59	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	103	92¢	$95	0xef6fba…
06-28 01:20:47	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	132	91¢	$120	0xa74dc4…
06-28 01:08:13	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x53ffac…
06-28 01:04:07	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	271	37¢	$100	0xbe6f78…
06-25 20:33:34	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	226	44¢	$100	0xf777aa…
06-25 20:22:44	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xb42527…
06-24 22:19:20	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x98c843…
06-23 21:11:02	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x0a4d8f…
06-23 00:19:37	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 corners total 9pt5	Under	SELL	99	96¢	$95	0x9c599d…
06-22 23:58:07	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x549305…
06-22 21:11:19	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x57e8b0…
06-22 17:43:41	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x000f0e…
06-22 17:30:17	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x43f752…
06-22 17:21:04	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x87b9e2…
06-20 21:41:49	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	590	34¢	$201	0x86deaa…
06-20 21:08:50	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0xadde82…
06-20 20:48:56	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x8bdc76…
06-20 20:30:40	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x9c67f5…
06-17 01:15:32	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x931cda…
06-16 21:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 17?	No	BUY	403	96¢	$387	0xad580a…
06-16 02:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 16?	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x6f4021…
06-16 02:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 16?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x7b50e8…
06-16 02:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 16?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x034d19…
06-16 02:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 16?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x37a614…
06-15 17:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 16?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xa368bd…
06-15 17:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 16?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xb0ee04…
06-15 17:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 16?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0x3cc74e…
06-15 03:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 16?	No	BUY	255	98¢	$250	0x7e0c56…
06-15 03:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 16?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa3bb71…
06-15 03:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9282b6…
06-15 03:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0xb860f5…
06-15 03:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 16?	No	BUY	171	99¢	$169	0x38944e…
06-15 02:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 15?	No	BUY	150	94¢	$142	0xd95885…
06-15 02:51:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 16?	No	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0xd0d02d…
06-15 02:51:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 16?	No	BUY	167	98¢	$164	0xfda64b…
06-15 02:51:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 16?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xb0ed65…
06-14 19:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 14?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x7b625f…
06-14 19:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 14?	No	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0x231bd8…
06-14 18:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 14?	No	BUY	113	98¢	$111	0xb3e830…
06-14 17:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 14?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x956f5b…
06-14 17:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 14?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xacf63b…
06-14 17:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 14?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb74ebc…
06-14 17:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 14?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x690d2b…
06-14 14:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4a45e5…
06-14 14:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x7947fa…
06-14 14:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x57b3d2…
06-14 04:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x914c2b…
06-14 04:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x7c13f6…
06-14 04:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xe01af2…
06-14 04:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xb0dd43…
06-14 04:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x065e97…
06-14 04:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$24	0xb6a102…
06-14 04:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x2a0274…
06-14 04:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf30d23…
06-14 04:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x71ea01…
06-14 04:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x8e85dc…
06-14 04:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 14?	No	BUY	375	98¢	$369	0xbd74c2…
06-14 04:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 14?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x263755…
06-14 04:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 14?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x9385d1…
06-14 04:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14?	No	BUY	84	97¢	$82	0x9d9d98…
06-14 04:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 14?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x5f5dbe…
06-14 04:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 14?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x38aec4…
06-14 04:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or below on June 15?	No	BUY	105	97¢	$102	0x1a4127…
06-14 04:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or below on June 15?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0x545eaa…
06-14 04:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or below on June 15?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0x2abe6d…
06-14 04:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or below on June 15?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0xbda38b…
06-14 04:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or below on June 15?	No	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0xf1b273…
06-14 03:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14?	No	BUY	187	99¢	$185	0x0f47fe…
06-14 03:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xabe9b6…
06-14 03:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc3d55f…
06-14 03:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 14?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xf80ef5…
06-14 03:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 14?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xda83da…
06-14 03:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 14?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb9c6c7…
06-14 03:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 14?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xfe94ee…
06-14 03:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 14?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x1f5b39…