Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on May 10?
open
Total volume
$396
$478 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$953
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 03:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $53 | $53 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $16 | $324 | $308 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $173 | $173 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $0 | $8 | $8 |
| Median | 13 | — | $98 | $98 |
| Below median | 5 | $5 | $25 | $20 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $10 | $74 | $64 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | +120 | $112 | $112 | 1 | 05-09 09:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x11fc…8262 | Yes | +77 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 09:24 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +70 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 15:43 |
| Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | +62 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-08 16:01 |
| Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab | No | +61 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 05-09 12:48 |
| Foolhardy-Direction 0x515c…7587 | No | +40 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-08 09:39 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-10 03:02 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-10 02:39 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 03:02 |
| Separate-Shirt 0x7577…4d7b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 18:53 |
| Noisy-Gossip 0xd41f…cd49 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 02:43 |
| Wiry-Chart 0xf590…303c | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 02:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 03:13 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 02:39 |
| Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 00:09 |
| Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 09:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x5579…6d7b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 02:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c0c…80d9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fcc…5fa6 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 02:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xde01…1fc6 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xae0d…d398 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 02:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd79…8f96 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 21:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ac2…bf9a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xe208…4322 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 02:40 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 03:07 |
| Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 16:01 |
| Expert-Independence 0x6cb7…0664 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 18:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 03:40:38 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb3a41d… |
| 05-10 03:13:58 | (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x989fef… |
| 05-10 03:07:12 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1753f6… |
| 05-10 03:02:37 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x80925d… |
| 05-10 03:02:37 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 35 | 99¢ | $35 | 0xfdf305… |
| 05-10 02:43:52 | Noisy-Gossip 0xd41f…cd49 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x7bdde2… |
| 05-10 02:40:26 | (anonymous) 0xde01…1fc6 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbd28f9… |
| 05-10 02:40:22 | (anonymous) 0xe208…4322 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xed9813… |
| 05-10 02:40:22 | (anonymous) 0x3ac2…bf9a | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xab443e… |
| 05-10 02:39:54 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x5875bd… |
| 05-10 02:39:54 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x23b42b… |
| 05-10 02:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x5579…6d7b | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x70bb44… |
| 05-10 02:33:52 | (anonymous) 0xae0d…d398 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8314d1… |
| 05-10 02:30:22 | (anonymous) 0x5fcc…5fa6 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe2e24f… |
| 05-10 02:20:23 | Wiry-Chart 0xf590…303c | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x175342… |
| 05-10 02:20:20 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x874bcc… |
| 05-10 01:55:55 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xce6df8… |
| 05-10 01:55:55 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xca0f6c… |
| 05-10 01:55:55 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2fb092… |
| 05-10 01:46:11 | (anonymous) 0x1c0c…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x40b944… |
| 05-10 01:26:31 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa8373e… |
| 05-10 01:26:31 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x14d2a7… |
| 05-10 01:26:28 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf75feb… |
| 05-10 01:26:28 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x43c502… |
| 05-10 00:59:50 | Dirty-Exaggeration 0x8e86…f73b | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x4b2065… |
| 05-10 00:36:12 | Dirty-Exaggeration 0x8e86…f73b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9aba90… |
| 05-10 00:09:17 | Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xafae6e… |
| 05-09 21:24:54 | (anonymous) 0xdd79…8f96 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc70d80… |
| 05-09 18:53:02 | Separate-Shirt 0x7577…4d7b | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xb8ea7b… |
| 05-09 18:25:49 | Expert-Independence 0x6cb7…0664 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x4569f4… |
| 05-09 15:43:01 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x5882bc… |
| 05-09 13:03:11 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcdf109… |
| 05-09 13:03:09 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x38b4ff… |
| 05-09 12:48:51 | Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0xcc534a… |
| 05-09 12:00:53 | Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab | No | BUY | 47 | 96¢ | $45 | 0xdca715… |
| 05-09 11:35:37 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc48a92… |
| 05-09 09:24:45 | (anonymous) 0x11fc…8262 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x41c0da… |
| 05-09 09:24:41 | Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | BUY | 120 | 94¢ | $112 | 0xf6bef4… |
| 05-08 16:01:14 | Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 12¢ | $7 | 0xc3d6ca… |
| 05-08 16:01:10 | Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xc9a821… |
| 05-08 16:01:10 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2f453a… |
| 05-08 09:50:54 | Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x88ebcb… |
| 05-08 09:39:32 | Foolhardy-Direction 0x515c…7587 | No | BUY | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0x4fd81a… |