Expert-Independence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$427

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.4%

Resolved

14,714

Trades

16,563

lifetime

Volume

$95.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 10-29 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 180 days

Categories

Other

84% 85% +$191

Crypto

15% 54% +$277

Politics

0% 36% -$50

Sports

0% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 338 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in taipei on april 2 2026 19corbelow	12	$1.6K	1,377	279	+1,098	No	+$84	04-02 08:14
highest temperature in houston on april 3 2026 90 91f	3	$1.3K	1,265	0	+1,265	No	+$13	04-03 18:47
highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 46 47f	28	$1.1K	707	465	+242	No	+$3	04-09 10:35
highest temperature in atlanta on april 20 2026 86 87f	2	$1.1K	1,103	0	+1,103	No	+$3	04-20 07:37
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 7 2026 25corhigher	5	$1.0K	1,053	0	+1,053	No	+$15	04-07 12:00
highest temperature in denver on april 15 2026 55forbelow	2	$992	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$8	04-15 06:01
highest temperature in los angeles on april 5 2026 86forhigher	3	$923	936	0	+936	No	+$13	04-05 20:45
highest temperature in ankara on april 20 2026 18corhigher	3	$916	919	0	+919	No	+$3	04-20 08:56
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 57forbelow	4	$900	906	0	+906	No	+$6	04-17 07:02
highest temperature in nyc on april 18 2026 56 57f	3	$828	835	0	+835	No	+$7	04-18 12:38
highest temperature in dallas on april 1 2026 82 83f	5	$819	852	0	+852	No	+$33	04-01 20:35
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 1 2026 34c	7	$804	812	0	+812	No	+$8	04-01 13:49
highest temperature in dallas on april 1 2026 84forhigher	6	$751	800	0	+800	Yes	+$48	04-01 20:38
highest temperature in san francisco on april 7 2026 74forhigher	3	$714	721	0	+721	No	+$8	04-06 13:27
highest temperature in chengdu on april 1 2026 27corhigher	15	$678	682	0	+682	No	+$4	04-01 08:27
highest temperature in chicago on april 5 2026 44 45f	3	$590	596	0	+596	No	+$6	04-05 10:01
highest temperature in ankara on april 3 2026 16c	3	$580	586	0	+586	No	+$6	04-03 09:32
highest temperature in paris on april 16 2026 23corhigher	4	$554	556	0	+556	No	+$2	04-16 16:57
highest temperature in seoul on april 10 2026 16c	2	$551	557	0	+557	No	+$6	04-09 08:33
highest temperature in munich on april 2 2026 9c	33	$549	314	313	+1	Yes	-$24	04-02 12:05
highest temperature in nyc on april 3 2026 74 75f	1	$528	532	0	+532	No	+$4	04-03 06:08
highest temperature in toronto on april 12 2026 13c	3	$499	502	0	+502	No	+$4	04-12 14:59
highest temperature in panama city on april 6 2026 38corhigher	1	$477	485	0	+485	No	+$8	04-06 19:12
highest temperature in denver on april 17 2026 35forbelow	1	$460	462	0	+462	No	+$2	04-16 14:34
highest temperature in toronto on april 13 2026 17c	3	$453	454	0	+454	No	+$1	04-13 14:05
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 10 2026 26c	17	$446	300	150	+150	No	+$2	04-10 04:04
highest temperature in austin on april 2 2026 92 93f	1	$431	435	0	+435	No	+$4	04-02 09:04
highest temperature in los angeles on april 17 2026 82forhigher	13	$427	429	0	+429	No	+$2	04-17 13:16
highest temperature in chongqing on april 11 2026 26c	10	$418	283	148	+135	No	-$4	04-10 18:54
highest temperature in houston on april 4 2026 88 89f	2	$389	393	0	+393	No	+$4	04-04 12:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:55:05	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x81b202…
10-29 14:40:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd37f6f…
10-29 14:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbb30f8…
10-29 14:35:07	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x88406c…
10-29 14:20:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6c26bf…
10-29 14:05:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc61ad5…
10-29 13:30:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x963709…
10-29 13:20:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x769d0a…
10-29 13:05:05	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x543595…
10-29 12:45:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9f7cb0…
10-29 12:40:05	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x00390a…
10-29 11:15:05	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x449157…
10-29 10:55:05	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9320a8…
10-29 10:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7b9385…
10-29 10:50:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb131ed…
10-29 10:40:05	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x05c4d6…
10-29 10:35:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x567498…
10-29 09:25:05	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf439fd…
10-29 09:10:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb01ddf…
10-29 09:05:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa1d559…
10-29 09:00:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x77b95c…
10-29 08:20:05	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xee4e75…
10-29 05:50:05	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb45278…
10-29 05:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbc2c05…
10-29 05:40:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x14d5c9…
10-29 05:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb51a8d…
10-29 05:20:05	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa1b5fe…
10-29 05:15:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9d320a…
10-29 05:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3e0411…
10-29 05:10:05	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb4610c…
10-29 05:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb095b2…
10-29 05:05:05	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x96616a…
10-29 04:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd70375…
10-29 04:55:05	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x833ea6…
10-29 04:50:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe241d8…
10-29 04:45:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbfc613…
10-29 02:40:04	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8122c5…
10-29 02:20:05	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5c462d…
10-29 01:45:04	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfcc121…
10-29 01:10:05	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa98441…
10-28 21:55:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2a4acb…
10-28 21:25:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x158496…
10-28 21:20:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd326e5…
10-28 20:05:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6b54f4…
10-28 20:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x79a3f2…
10-28 20:00:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7d15e1…
10-28 20:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3b3c29…
10-28 19:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x592f11…
10-28 19:55:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4a6847…
10-28 19:50:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbe5125…
10-28 19:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x34ed7e…
10-28 19:45:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe0d12a…
10-28 19:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc3b5f4…
10-28 19:35:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7066e8…
10-28 19:30:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x612273…
10-28 19:05:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe27508…
10-28 19:00:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x079291…
10-28 18:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc3d6cf…
10-28 18:45:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x39efae…
10-28 18:40:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x00074d…
10-28 18:35:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x75ac98…
10-28 18:05:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xfa4fac…
10-28 18:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x082bad…
10-28 17:55:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd1c910…
10-28 17:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x801a2c…
10-28 17:50:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaaa7f1…
10-28 17:45:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3886fe…
10-28 12:15:05	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0907ec…
10-28 10:30:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x50c251…
10-28 10:25:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2b66c9…
10-28 10:05:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0543e4…
10-28 10:00:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x270606…
10-28 09:50:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfe40ad…
10-28 09:15:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5f4e99…
10-28 08:40:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd701fe…
10-28 08:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x340832…
10-28 08:30:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0e3036…
10-28 08:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xec2670…
10-28 08:25:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2c1169…
10-28 08:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1eb224…
10-28 08:20:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2ded95…
10-28 08:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc9b97d…
10-28 08:10:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x46873c…
10-28 08:05:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe6ac81…
10-28 08:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9b777e…
10-28 08:00:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdb355e…
10-28 08:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x772c04…
10-28 07:55:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7fbda0…
10-28 07:50:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x93cf9d…
10-28 06:25:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x679d66…
10-28 06:20:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf1bc17…
10-28 06:15:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x524df5…
10-28 04:45:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0f68df…
10-28 04:40:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdf3872…
10-28 03:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc4ecad…
10-28 03:40:04	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8d1a88…
10-28 03:35:04	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xaf3b6b…
10-28 03:30:04	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x26fd84…
10-28 03:25:04	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe4c355…
10-28 02:20:05	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x43cff1…