Trained-Notion 0x36dafd…53907b
whale cold 16W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5.60K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.00K
Hit rate
92.2%
Resolved
410
Trades
3,156
lifetime
Volume
$786.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$249
Open exposure
$44.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-26 21:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Other
52% 64% +$2,354
Politics
46% 59% -$8,025
Crypto
2% 75% +$57
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$11
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 236 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +9,778 $8,871 96¢ $9.4K +$515 10-27 05:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +6,882 $6,532 98¢ $6.7K +$212 10-26 18:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +6,809 $6,126 96¢ $6.6K +$444 10-26 20:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +3,772 $2,807 100¢ $3.8K +$965 10-26 08:49
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +2,500 $2,349 95¢ $2.4K +$38 10-26 13:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +3,299 $2,282 70¢ $2.3K +$44 10-26 10:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,500 $2,061 82¢ $2.0K -$24 10-26 18:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? Yes +1,839 $1,193 64¢ $1.2K -$7 10-21 16:31
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,500 $1,125 74¢ $1.1K -$22 10-19 06:34
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +1,699 $1,099 63¢ $1.1K -$28 10-19 02:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +1,954 $1,050 50¢ $987 -$63 10-04 14:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +1,400 $904 66¢ $917 +$13 10-26 19:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +1,165 $728 76¢ $891 +$163 09-30 07:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +1,301 $873 62¢ $800 -$74 10-08 10:15
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +795 $653 94¢ $743 +$90 10-17 19:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +1,000 $590 62¢ $625 +$35 10-26 20:15
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,737 $1,395 32¢ $562 -$833 10-20 08:09
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +500 $361 96¢ $480 +$119 10-26 16:07
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +451 $341 78¢ $351 +$10 10-26 18:28
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +486 $384 72¢ $351 -$32 10-12 09:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +580 $737 60¢ $345 -$392 10-25 22:34
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +1,000 $247 18¢ $185 -$62 09-23 15:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +238 $149 76¢ $182 +$34 10-27 05:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +313 $153 48¢ $149 -$5 10-03 11:50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +203 $127 66¢ $133 +$5 10-26 14:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +177 $117 66¢ $116 -$1 10-05 07:47
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? No +101 $87 93¢ $94 +$7 10-20 02:07
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +100 $70 76¢ $76 +$6 10-26 19:34
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +4,074 $2,232 2¢ $71 -$2,161 10-12 11:05
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +34 $32 97¢ $33 +$1 10-11 06:10