Realized P&L
-$12.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.04K
Hit rate
91.0%
Resolved
491
Trades
4,318
lifetime
Volume
$991.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$230
Open exposure
$23.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-10 17:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Politics
50% 63% -$7,280
Other
48% 64% -$5,581
Crypto
1% 75% +$57
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$99
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 236 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +5,452 $4,747 91¢ $4.9K +$193 11-07 02:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +1,900 $1,488 96¢ $1.8K +$330 11-10 13:04
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +3,112 $2,193 56¢ $1.7K -$451 11-09 10:25
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026? No +3,829 $1,464 45¢ $1.7K +$279 11-09 05:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +5,000 $2,943 32¢ $1.6K -$1,368 11-07 08:52
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? No +1,800 $1,464 78¢ $1.4K -$51 11-10 09:07
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? No +1,246 $1,129 98¢ $1.2K +$98 11-04 15:45
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +1,300 $1,131 86¢ $1.1K -$6 11-10 12:40
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +1,699 $1,099 60¢ $1.0K -$70 10-19 02:46
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? No +1,800 $970 54¢ $963 -$7 11-10 17:19
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +579 $518 96¢ $557 +$38 11-01 10:05
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026? No +1,049 $539 50¢ $530 -$10 11-09 10:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +997 $571 47¢ $469 -$102 11-05 17:22
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +451 $341 98¢ $441 +$100 10-26 18:28
Next James Bond announced by November 15, 2026? No +832 $653 53¢ $441 -$212 11-08 08:04
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +882 $205 44¢ $388 +$183 11-04 23:43
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +406 $340 94¢ $383 +$44 11-04 13:05
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026? Yes +675 $607 54¢ $368 -$239 11-05 07:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027? Yes +503 $345 68¢ $345 -$1 11-08 09:53
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by November 30, 2026? No +335 $258 78¢ $262 +$3 11-04 10:00
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026? No +283 $106 90¢ $255 +$149 11-04 23:31
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No +200 $169 94¢ $188 +$19 10-29 14:52
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +178 $172 98¢ $175 +$3 11-07 20:45
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +166 $155 96¢ $160 +$5 10-11 05:41
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026? Yes +1,088 $933 10¢ $109 -$825 11-05 08:22
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by November 30, 2026? No +120 $75 69¢ $83 +$8 11-05 16:54
Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by November 30, 2026? No +100 $72 82¢ $82 +$10 11-05 03:14
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by November 30, 2026? No +108 $74 70¢ $75 +$2 11-08 08:25
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +1,000 $247 8¢ $75 -$172 09-23 15:08
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30? No +80 $56 88¢ $70 +$14 11-04 17:16