Realized P&L
-$9.75K
Unrealized P&L
-$120
Hit rate
91.4%
Resolved
485
Trades
4,306
lifetime
Volume
$991.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$230
Open exposure
$30.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-10 14:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Politics
50%
63%
-$7,280
Other
48%
64%
-$2,631
Crypto
1%
75%
+$57
Pop-Culture
0%
100%
+$99
Tech
0%
100%
+$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk
• peak 236 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | 77 | $60.3K | 33,084 | 33,084 | +0 | No | +$2,006 | 10-24 13:48 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | 34 | $44.0K | 22,317 | 22,317 | +0 | No | +$379 | 09-21 09:46 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | 28 | $40.8K | 22,855 | 19,083 | +3,772 | Yes | +$965 | 10-26 08:49 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | 18 | $38.5K | 20,379 | 20,379 | +0 | open | — | 09-17 15:07 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | 52 | $33.6K | 23,035 | 13,819 | +9,216 | No | +$2,275 | 10-14 03:37 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | 31 | $25.5K | 13,264 | 13,264 | +0 | Yes | +$869 | 10-31 13:13 |
| Crude Oil all time high by April 30? | 7 | $24.0K | 24,480 | 0 | +24,480 | No | +$469 | 04-24 07:59 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | 67 | $23.9K | 15,570 | 15,570 | +0 | open | — | 11-08 07:23 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | 1 | $21.1K | 22,673 | 0 | +22,673 | No | +$1,587 | 05-14 22:54 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17? | 27 | $18.5K | 19,196 | 0 | +19,196 | Yes | +$717 | 10-17 16:07 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | 56 | $17.2K | 21,310 | 1,795 | +19,515 | No | +$4,887 | 09-28 13:35 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? | 44 | $16.2K | 16,992 | 0 | +16,992 | Yes | +$779 | 09-20 19:20 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | 88 | $15.6K | 8,787 | 8,787 | +0 | open | — | 11-09 19:57 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | 25 | $15.1K | 7,998 | 7,998 | +0 | Yes | +$699 | 11-04 15:36 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | 98 | $15.1K | 8,724 | 8,724 | +0 | Yes | +$1,225 | 09-21 18:40 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | 35 | $14.7K | 8,009 | 8,009 | +0 | No | +$535 | 10-29 11:59 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | 19 | $14.3K | 7,551 | 7,551 | +0 | Yes | +$359 | 10-24 04:25 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | 6 | $13.7K | 6,945 | 6,945 | +0 | No | +$56 | 09-14 11:03 |
| putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026 | 12 | $13.4K | 6,788 | 6,788 | +0 | No | +$38 | 09-08 15:12 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | 14 | $13.4K | 13,672 | 0 | +13,672 | Yes | +$265 | 10-18 18:12 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? | 27 | $13.4K | 6,882 | 6,882 | +0 | Yes | +$336 | 10-28 07:39 |
| us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15 | 28 | $12.3K | 12,801 | 600 | +12,201 | Yes | +$1,042 | 10-15 13:28 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | 12 | $10.9K | 5,477 | 5,477 | +0 | No | +$8 | 09-20 10:51 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | 2 | $10.8K | 5,438 | 5,438 | +0 | No | +$22 | 09-10 15:28 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | 21 | $10.2K | 11,931 | 0 | +11,931 | Yes | -$10,191 | 09-22 09:40 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | 40 | $10.1K | 9,522 | 6,805 | +2,717 | Yes | +$1,952 | 11-03 03:05 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? | 7 | $9.4K | 9,219 | 309 | +8,910 | No | +$95 | 08-24 02:40 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | 17 | $9.1K | 5,338 | 5,338 | +0 | No | +$1,566 | 11-03 03:06 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | 14 | $8.9K | 4,600 | 4,600 | +0 | Yes | +$222 | 10-22 16:04 |
| will wti reach 150 in august 2026 | 15 | $8.8K | 6,877 | 1,956 | +4,921 | No | +$60 | 08-17 07:28 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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