Realized P&L (30d)
-$1.03K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.07K
Hit rate
91.9%
Resolved (30d)
107
Trades (30d)
1,601
3,982 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$396.6K
$935.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$235
Open exposure
$43.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-06 11:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Politics
50% 63% -$6,388
Other
49% 65% +$3,567
Crypto
1% 75% +$57
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$99
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 236 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +10,901 $6,629 78¢ $8.6K +$1,928 11-06 00:18
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? Yes +6,575 $5,219 82¢ $5.4K +$206 11-05 02:29
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +5,074 $4,432 84¢ $4.2K -$192 11-06 12:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,717 $426 100¢ $2.7K +$2,289 11-03 03:05
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026? No +2,525 $1,691 92¢ $2.3K +$632 11-06 12:03
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +3,729 $2,157 57¢ $2.1K -$12 11-04 17:28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +4,000 $2,413 52¢ $2.1K -$313 10-31 17:50
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026? No +4,734 $1,736 36¢ $1.7K -$8 11-06 11:46
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +1,653 $1,059 82¢ $1.3K +$288 11-05 21:40
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? No +1,246 $1,129 92¢ $1.2K +$24 11-04 15:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +1,100 $456 95¢ $1.0K +$593 11-06 00:23
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026? No +1,191 $469 84¢ $1.0K +$537 11-05 08:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? Yes +1,562 $1,012 64¢ $1000 -$12 11-05 18:50
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +1,699 $1,099 56¢ $943 -$155 10-19 02:46
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +990 $826 74¢ $728 -$98 11-06 09:12
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026? No +946 $581 71¢ $671 +$91 11-06 10:39
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026? No +1,713 $540 38¢ $659 +$120 11-06 08:14
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026? No +733 $430 82¢ $598 +$168 11-06 09:07
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +579 $518 98¢ $565 +$47 11-01 10:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +997 $571 50¢ $493 -$78 11-05 17:22
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +451 $341 99¢ $446 +$105 10-26 18:28
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +701 $647 62¢ $431 -$216 11-05 08:21
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026? Yes +675 $607 62¢ $415 -$191 11-05 07:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027? Yes +568 $390 67¢ $380 -$10 11-05 21:34
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026? No +2,106 $621 18¢ $369 -$252 11-05 16:35
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026? Yes +1,088 $933 33¢ $359 -$574 11-05 08:22
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +406 $340 88¢ $355 +$15 11-04 13:05
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +882 $205 38¢ $340 +$134 11-04 23:43
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +342 $322 94¢ $323 +$1 10-29 15:03
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by November 30, 2026? No +335 $258 78¢ $262 +$3 11-04 10:00