Realized P&L (90d)
-$7.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.53K
Hit rate
91.8%
Resolved (90d)
265
Trades (90d)
2,917
3,869 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$770.7K
$917.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$237
Open exposure
$43.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-05 20:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 73 days
Categories
Politics
50% 63% -$6,376
Other
49% 65% +$2,267
Crypto
1% 75% +$57
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$99
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 236 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +7,737 $4,267 76¢ $5.9K +$1,613 11-05 20:42
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? Yes +6,575 $5,219 82¢ $5.4K +$140 11-05 02:29
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +4,425 $3,892 92¢ $4.1K +$177 11-04 12:32
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026? No +4,083 $2,933 99¢ $4.0K +$1,101 11-05 14:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,717 $426 100¢ $2.7K +$2,289 11-03 03:05
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +3,210 $2,336 80¢ $2.6K +$248 11-02 17:51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +4,000 $2,413 56¢ $2.2K -$193 10-31 17:50
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +3,729 $2,157 50¢ $1.9K -$273 11-04 17:28
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026? No +1,559 $808 92¢ $1.4K +$634 11-05 14:12
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026? No +4,052 $1,515 32¢ $1.3K -$218 11-05 19:55
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? No +1,246 $1,129 92¢ $1.1K +$17 11-04 15:45
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026? No +1,045 $895 99¢ $1.0K +$143 11-04 10:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? Yes +1,562 $1,012 64¢ $1000 -$12 11-05 18:50
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +1,699 $1,099 56¢ $943 -$155 10-19 02:46
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026? No +1,191 $469 67¢ $798 +$328 11-05 08:22
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +968 $810 80¢ $769 -$40 11-05 05:35
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026? Yes +1,088 $933 60¢ $658 -$275 11-05 08:22
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +701 $647 81¢ $568 -$80 11-05 08:21
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +579 $518 98¢ $565 +$47 11-01 10:05
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026? Yes +675 $607 81¢ $547 -$60 11-05 07:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +997 $571 50¢ $498 -$73 11-05 17:22
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +451 $341 99¢ $447 +$105 10-26 18:28
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026? No +2,106 $621 20¢ $432 -$189 11-05 16:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027? Yes — +596 $410 68¢ $405 -$4 11-05 18:49
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026? No +533 $268 76¢ $405 +$137 11-04 10:18
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +406 $340 88¢ $355 +$15 11-04 13:05
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026? No +551 $309 64¢ $350 +$41 11-04 10:17
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +342 $322 95¢ $326 +$5 10-29 15:03
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by November 30, 2026? No — +335 $258 91¢ $305 +$47 11-04 10:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? Yes +290 $267 97¢ $283 +$16 11-04 10:58