Trained-Notion 0x36dafd…53907b Create alert
whale hot 20W streak
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.24K
Unrealized P&L
-$531
Hit rate
94.3%
Resolved (7d)
36
Trades (7d)
463
3,619 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$93.1K
$879.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$243
Open exposure
$34.3K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-03 04:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Politics
50% 62% -$6,557
Other
49% 65% +$2,037
Crypto
2% 75% +$57
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$99
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 236 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +9,626 $6,260 66¢ $6.4K +$93 11-03 04:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +6,398 $5,751 94¢ $6.0K +$232 10-31 20:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +4,187 $3,274 84¢ $3.5K +$242 11-03 04:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +4,000 $2,413 66¢ $2.6K +$207 10-31 17:50
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +3,210 $2,336 74¢ $2.4K +$55 11-02 17:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,717 $426 76¢ $2.1K +$1,636 11-03 03:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +2,305 $1,846 86¢ $2.0K +$125 10-29 14:31
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +1,739 $1,621 99¢ $1.7K +$100 10-28 20:40
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +1,699 $1,099 64¢ $1.1K -$19 10-19 02:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? Yes +1,652 $1,070 64¢ $1.1K -$5 11-03 01:10
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,729 $1,279 60¢ $1.0K -$250 10-29 16:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +1,954 $1,050 48¢ $938 -$112 10-04 14:15
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +795 $653 92¢ $727 +$74 10-17 19:53
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +579 $518 96¢ $555 +$37 11-01 10:05
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +1,466 $592 36¢ $528 -$64 11-03 04:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +1,683 $1,010 26¢ $446 -$564 11-03 03:02
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +451 $341 99¢ $445 +$103 10-26 18:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +472 $324 74¢ $351 +$27 10-28 20:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +313 $153 47¢ $147 -$6 10-03 11:50
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +1,000 $247 15¢ $145 -$102 09-23 15:08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? No +648 $102 14¢ $88 -$14 10-31 10:58
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +4,074 $2,232 2¢ $77 -$2,155 10-12 11:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +300 $35 6¢ $16 -$18 09-27 13:14
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +5 $4 89¢ $4 +$0 10-29 21:28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +533 $12 1¢ $3 -$9 10-31 13:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1 -$33 98¢ $1 +$34 09-19 07:48
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +0 -$156 84¢ $0 +$156 09-27 03:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +0 -$169 76¢ $0 +$169 11-01 12:32
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $504 3¢ $0 -$504 10-04 19:23