Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 12?
open
Total volume
$354
$1,091 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$5,272
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 05:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $67 | $67 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $1 | $284 | $283 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $132 | $132 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | — | $149 | $149 |
| Median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 5 | — | $39 | $39 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $24 | $24 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | +91 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 05-11 04:28 |
| Focused-Net 0x6469…b890 | No | +61 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-10 08:09 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 05-10 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xd86e…1b87 | No | +55 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 05-10 21:21 |
| Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-10 08:22 |
| Selfish-Curve 0x96c4…e168 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-11 01:10 |
| Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:03 |
| Slim-Might-Season 0x2230…084e | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-10 08:23 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 07:33 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 16:50 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 05:28:28 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 61 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf94215… |
| 05-11 04:28:44 | Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | BUY | 91 | 99¢ | $90 | 0xa0ed0e… |
| 05-11 02:50:11 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x08b639… |
| 05-11 01:10:33 | Selfish-Curve 0x96c4…e168 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x65ffa2… |
| 05-10 21:21:20 | (anonymous) 0xd86e…1b87 | No | BUY | 55 | 99¢ | $54 | 0x4f175a… |
| 05-10 21:21:15 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 60 | 98¢ | $59 | 0xd33257… |
| 05-10 19:03:52 | Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3ec428… |
| 05-10 16:50:40 | (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xa53b16… |
| 05-10 15:30:50 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1d67a9… |
| 05-10 11:50:03 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xd85086… |
| 05-10 08:23:36 | Slim-Might-Season 0x2230…084e | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x84b643… |
| 05-10 08:22:59 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xf9f780… |
| 05-10 08:09:22 | Focused-Net 0x6469…b890 | No | BUY | 61 | 99¢ | $60 | 0xf3d67b… |
| 05-10 07:33:56 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x0f46c8… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x60087d… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x260349… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7b83d4… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf43e44… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcc4db9… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x66c217… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xefd8c8… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x906368… |
| 05-10 07:29:19 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf86a11… |
| 05-10 07:29:18 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa94f6a… |
| 05-10 07:29:18 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcd5184… |
| 05-10 07:29:18 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x47603c… |
| 05-10 07:29:18 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x089110… |
| 05-10 07:29:18 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf2358d… |
| 05-10 07:29:16 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb492ee… |