Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on May 13?
open
Total volume
$189
$311 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$4,446
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 03:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $117 | $117 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $1 | $60 | $59 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $71 | $71 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $62 | $62 |
| Median | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 5 | $1 | $40 | $39 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosty-Epithelium 0xf430…e6bc | Yes | +184 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 05-13 03:00 |
| Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-13 03:39 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +57 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 05-12 21:57 |
| Kooky-Fog 0xbdef…9015 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-11 23:12 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-12 22:01 |
| Shady-Spawn 0x68ff…f7d3 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 02:06 |
| Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 11:27 |
| Mean-Question 0x1e0e…c012 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 23:21 |
| Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 04:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 03:43:08 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x18c2fa… |
| 05-13 03:39:03 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xe2f767… |
| 05-13 03:38:00 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xf674b2… |
| 05-13 03:00:59 | Frosty-Epithelium 0xf430…e6bc | Yes | BUY | 34 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0d21ee… |
| 05-13 03:00:57 | Frosty-Epithelium 0xf430…e6bc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x865919… |
| 05-13 03:00:55 | Frosty-Epithelium 0xf430…e6bc | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x186f33… |
| 05-13 02:12:29 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8aed3f… |
| 05-13 02:08:55 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4e9304… |
| 05-13 02:06:21 | Shady-Spawn 0x68ff…f7d3 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x19f8f8… |
| 05-12 23:26:12 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x72258f… |
| 05-12 22:01:02 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x9f68f9… |
| 05-12 21:57:53 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x64a6b0… |
| 05-12 16:42:11 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe62fa… |
| 05-12 16:42:11 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x18ee28… |
| 05-12 16:42:11 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xba57cc… |
| 05-12 16:42:11 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6dabdf… |
| 05-12 16:42:11 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x922d27… |
| 05-12 16:42:11 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfef3ee… |
| 05-12 11:27:32 | Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xf32d18… |
| 05-12 00:03:57 | Classic-Vault 0x6c27…4db9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x01054e… |
| 05-11 23:21:34 | Mean-Question 0x1e0e…c012 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcd2dd1… |
| 05-11 23:12:16 | Kooky-Fog 0xbdef…9015 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x02f633… |
| 05-11 10:52:26 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6c689b… |
| 05-11 10:52:26 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0x25ad4e… |
| 05-11 10:52:26 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb5c37c… |
| 05-11 04:29:16 | Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc1eb47… |