Realized P&L
+$15.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$72
Hit rate
98.1%
Resolved
34,800
Trades
52,834
lifetime
Volume
$1.67M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$2.35K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 09:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 298 days
Categories
Crypto
61% 90% +$6,427
Other
39% 92% +$8,952
Politics
0% 4% +$34
Tech
0% 20% +$3
Sports
0% 0% -$39
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 303 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +500 $494 100¢ $500 +$6 10-27 01:00
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +212 $205 97¢ $206 +$0 10-27 07:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +156 $124 96¢ $149 +$25 10-24 01:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +106 $101 98¢ $104 +$3 10-27 01:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +103 $102 100¢ $103 +$1 10-25 01:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +105 $92 97¢ $102 +$10 10-19 01:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? No +103 $101 99¢ $102 +$1 10-25 01:19
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +106 $98 96¢ $102 +$3 10-27 06:58
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? No +103 $99 99¢ $102 +$2 10-26 12:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +106 $98 95¢ $101 +$3 10-27 14:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +106 $100 95¢ $101 +$1 10-27 07:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +105 $98 95¢ $100 +$1 10-27 01:47
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +105 $99 95¢ $100 +$1 10-26 13:17
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +600 $102 16¢ $99 -$3 10-16 11:30
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +80 $69 99¢ $78 +$10 10-27 15:06
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +106 $69 66¢ $69 +$1 10-27 13:22
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +53 $51 97¢ $51 +$1 10-27 06:42
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +53 $50 96¢ $51 +$0 10-28 09:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +51 $42 98¢ $50 +$8 10-25 21:55
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +53 $48 85¢ $45 -$3 10-28 09:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +53 $35 68¢ $36 +$1 10-27 00:58