Realized P&L (7d)
+$4.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
99.4%
Resolved (7d)
502
Trades (7d)
916
53,669 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$47.6K
$1.72M lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$2.17K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 11:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 304 days
Categories
Crypto
61% 90% +$6,517
Other
39% 92% +$13,016
Politics
0% 10% -$83
Tech
0% 20% +$3
Sports
0% 0% -$39
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 303 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +280 $266 94¢ $265 -$1 11-01 05:23
Ethereum Up or Down on November 2? Up +210 $209 100¢ $210 +$1 11-02 17:03
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +212 $205 98¢ $208 +$2 10-27 07:03
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +141 $138 98¢ $138 $0 11-02 13:26
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +141 $137 96¢ $136 -$1 11-02 21:48
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +600 $102 20¢ $123 +$21 10-16 11:30
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +122 $114 93¢ $113 -$1 11-01 14:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? Yes +106 $102 100¢ $106 +$4 10-29 14:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +106 $101 99¢ $105 +$4 10-29 15:48
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +106 $103 98¢ $104 +$1 10-29 16:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? Yes +106 $99 98¢ $104 +$5 10-29 15:47
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +106 $102 96¢ $101 -$1 10-31 04:06
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $98 98¢ $98 +$0 10-30 03:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +106 $77 76¢ $80 +$3 10-29 01:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +71 $67 94¢ $67 $0 11-02 13:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? Yes +70 $65 90¢ $63 -$2 11-02 13:22
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +106 $69 58¢ $62 -$7 10-27 13:22
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +69 $59 86¢ $59 $0 11-03 06:49
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +35 $34 96¢ $34 $0 11-02 03:19