Realized P&L (90d)
+$13.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$148
Hit rate
98.7%
Resolved (90d)
5,837
Trades (90d)
9,998
55,057 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$725.0K
$1.81M lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$3.07K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 314 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 90% +$6,429
Other
41% 93% +$13,988
Politics
0% 17% -$64
Tech
0% 20% +$3
Sports
0% 0% -$39
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 303 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 14? No +296 $293 100¢ $296 +$3 11-13 21:00
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +277 $206 99¢ $275 +$69 11-04 02:06
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +148 $144 99¢ $146 +$2 11-09 03:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +148 $142 98¢ $144 +$3 11-08 23:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +144 $140 98¢ $142 +$2 11-08 12:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +142 $126 98¢ $140 +$13 11-05 16:36
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +141 $130 99¢ $139 +$9 11-04 14:38
Trump out as President before 2027? No +141 $135 98¢ $138 +$2 11-05 13:21
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +143 $132 92¢ $132 $0 11-12 19:58
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +138 $126 94¢ $130 +$4 11-04 16:50
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +106 $102 97¢ $103 +$1 10-31 04:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +106 $77 92¢ $98 +$21 10-29 01:32
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 November 9-15? No +74 $72 100¢ $73 +$2 11-11 08:37
Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 13? No +73 $70 100¢ $73 +$3 11-12 18:43
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 15, 2026? No +73 $71 99¢ $73 +$2 11-12 11:37
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +74 $72 97¢ $72 $0 11-13 08:44
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? Yes +73 $70 98¢ $72 +$2 11-12 03:10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +74 $69 96¢ $71 +$2 11-13 04:05
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +71 $70 99¢ $71 +$1 11-08 01:29
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +71 $70 99¢ $70 +$0 11-08 01:28
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October? Yes +74 $71 95¢ $70 -$1 11-11 11:30
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +106 $69 66¢ $69 +$1 10-27 13:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +71 $69 98¢ $69 +$1 11-05 19:38
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +69 $67 100¢ $69 +$2 11-05 08:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +74 $68 91¢ $67 -$1 11-11 15:48
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +69 $59 96¢ $66 +$7 11-03 06:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +71 $62 92¢ $65 +$2 11-05 13:07
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on November 13? Up +47 $46 99¢ $46 +$0 11-13 21:00
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on November 13? Down +45 $45 99¢ $45 +$0 11-13 21:00
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on November 13? Down +45 $45 99¢ $45 +$0 11-13 21:00