Realized P&L (90d)
+$13.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$101
Hit rate
98.7%
Resolved (90d)
5,894
Trades (90d)
10,121
55,188 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$742.7K
$1.83M lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$2.81K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-15 09:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 316 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 90% +$6,454
Other
41% 93% +$14,050
Politics
0% 17% -$64
Tech
0% 20% +$3
Sports
0% 0% -$39
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 303 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +277 $206 100¢ $276 +$70 11-04 02:06
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +148 $144 99¢ $146 +$1 11-09 03:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +148 $142 98¢ $145 +$3 11-08 23:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +142 $126 100¢ $142 +$15 11-05 16:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +144 $140 98¢ $141 +$1 11-08 12:22
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +141 $130 99¢ $139 +$9 11-04 14:38
Trump out as President before 2027? No +141 $135 97¢ $137 +$2 11-05 13:21
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +143 $132 92¢ $132 $0 11-12 19:58
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +138 $126 94¢ $130 +$4 11-04 16:50
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +107 $102 97¢ $103 +$2 10-31 16:15
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +106 $102 97¢ $103 +$1 10-31 04:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +106 $77 94¢ $99 +$22 10-29 01:32
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 November 9-15? No +74 $72 100¢ $74 +$2 11-11 08:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +74 $69 99¢ $73 +$4 11-13 04:05
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 15, 2026? No +73 $71 100¢ $73 +$3 11-12 11:37
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +74 $72 98¢ $72 +$0 11-13 08:44
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? Yes +73 $70 97¢ $71 +$1 11-12 03:10
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +71 $70 99¢ $71 +$1 11-08 01:29
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +71 $70 99¢ $70 +$0 11-08 01:28
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October? Yes +74 $71 96¢ $70 -$1 11-11 11:30
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +106 $69 66¢ $69 +$1 10-27 13:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +71 $69 98¢ $69 +$1 11-05 19:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +74 $69 93¢ $69 $0 11-14 12:51
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +69 $67 100¢ $69 +$2 11-05 08:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +74 $68 90¢ $67 -$1 11-11 15:48
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +69 $59 96¢ $66 +$7 11-03 06:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +71 $62 92¢ $66 +$3 11-05 13:07
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? Yes +38 $35 96¢ $37 +$2 11-11 21:24
Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 30? Yes +37 $35 91¢ $34 -$1 11-14 04:39
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +271 $51 0¢ $0 -$51 11-04 07:49