Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 13?
open
Total volume
$441
$2,613 in 24h
Trades
44
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$4,969
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 03:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $62 | $62 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 35 | $7 | $363 | $355 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | $1 | $0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $107 | $107 |
| Median | 15 | $1 | $126 | $125 |
| Below median | 9 | $2 | $67 | $65 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | $13 | $12 |
| unranked | 6 | $2 | $111 | $109 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wavy-Parsley 0x101e…d4da | Yes | +167 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 23:31 |
| Sticky-Carol 0x3cec…6515 | Yes | +156 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 12:08 |
| Carefree-Activist 0x05ed…bf70 | No | +103 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 05-12 22:06 |
| Round-Registration 0x3ca0…ded1 | Yes | +91 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:20 |
| Excellent-Oats 0x5264…9a63 | Yes | +64 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 21:11 |
| Charming-Sonnet 0xe68b…dc9e | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 01:56 |
| Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | +45 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-11 14:42 |
| Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | +34 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-12 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x59be…9c3a | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 02:06 |
| Selfish-Redhead 0x33d4…2256 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-11 14:26 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-13 01:41 |
| Usable-Cod 0x0e35…3456 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-12 17:46 |
| Husky-Journalism-Gossip 0x4d9b…70b3 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-12 17:46 |
| Rude-Clavier 0xef5f…f1c9 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-12 17:46 |
| Separate-Solicitation 0x9c48…7dd0 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-12 17:46 |
| Average-Resistance 0x1d72…1e73 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-12 17:46 |
| Rare-Poignance 0x0a42…171b | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-12 17:46 |
| Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-11 05:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c8f…5846 | Yes | +13 | $0 | $2 | 4 | 05-13 01:41 |
| Unsteady-Fridge 0xc6d0…374c | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-12 17:46 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-13 02:03 |
| Sweaty-Track 0x2cde…9c1c | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-12 17:46 |
| Live-Toga 0xf45a…e89d | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-12 17:46 |
| Overdue-Bull 0x1a06…d520 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-12 17:46 |
| Tedious-Locality 0x9b3a…f9c1 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-12 17:46 |
| Handy-Derivation 0x346f…8fcb | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 17:46 |
| Key-Robin 0x3e0d…11af | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 17:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xba4c…bf7e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 19:11 |
| Grave-Tanker 0xb753…0c39 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 03:11 |
| Stormy-Reserve 0x5def…1283 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 05:08 |
| Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 14:38 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 12:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 03:11:20 | Grave-Tanker 0xb753…0c39 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x040151… |
| 05-13 02:06:26 | (anonymous) 0x59be…9c3a | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa19d9c… |
| 05-13 02:03:47 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x9075f8… |
| 05-13 01:56:51 | Irresponsible-Scale 0xa235…2472 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x4adee9… |
| 05-13 01:56:49 | Charming-Sonnet 0xe68b…dc9e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x17d258… |
| 05-13 01:41:11 | (anonymous) 0x0c8f…5846 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x27d0a4… |
| 05-13 01:41:09 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x26e54e… |
| 05-12 23:31:11 | Wavy-Parsley 0x101e…d4da | Yes | BUY | 167 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xdb3102… |
| 05-12 22:06:03 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaf84b5… |
| 05-12 22:06:01 | Carefree-Activist 0x05ed…bf70 | No | BUY | 103 | 99¢ | $102 | 0xbc9a01… |
| 05-12 21:11:32 | (anonymous) 0x0c8f…5846 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x323bc8… |
| 05-12 21:11:30 | Excellent-Oats 0x5264…9a63 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5c1a27… |
| 05-12 20:31:35 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7ff40d… |
| 05-12 20:31:33 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcf9263… |
| 05-12 20:31:33 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd9e846… |
| 05-12 19:52:26 | Spicy-Keep 0x1dbc…d2e1 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf63358… |
| 05-12 19:30:21 | Spicy-Keep 0x1dbc…d2e1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5dc1db… |
| 05-12 19:30:21 | (anonymous) 0x0c8f…5846 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcccbd1… |
| 05-12 19:20:21 | (anonymous) 0x0c8f…5846 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc0031d… |
| 05-12 19:20:19 | Round-Registration 0x3ca0…ded1 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2eddf5… |
| 05-12 19:11:43 | (anonymous) 0xba4c…bf7e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa49168… |
| 05-12 19:01:22 | Heavenly-Monocle 0x5616…61c1 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x06b81e… |
| 05-12 17:46:38 | Sweaty-Track 0x2cde…9c1c | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xd9e908… |
| 05-12 17:46:38 | Average-Resistance 0x1d72…1e73 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xf1f00b… |
| 05-12 17:46:38 | Handy-Derivation 0x346f…8fcb | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x86144f… |
| 05-12 17:46:38 | Key-Robin 0x3e0d…11af | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x08fbdc… |
| 05-12 17:46:38 | Separate-Solicitation 0x9c48…7dd0 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x213ac5… |
| 05-12 17:46:38 | Unsteady-Fridge 0xc6d0…374c | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xcf67c1… |
| 05-12 17:46:38 | Overdue-Bull 0x1a06…d520 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xbb1128… |
| 05-12 17:46:38 | Live-Toga 0xf45a…e89d | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xf82250… |
| 05-12 17:46:38 | Rare-Poignance 0x0a42…171b | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x9b66bc… |
| 05-12 17:46:37 | Rude-Clavier 0xef5f…f1c9 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xa19a5e… |
| 05-12 17:46:37 | Usable-Cod 0x0e35…3456 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x3eeae7… |
| 05-12 17:46:37 | Husky-Journalism-Gossip 0x4d9b…70b3 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x05620e… |
| 05-12 17:46:37 | Tedious-Locality 0x9b3a…f9c1 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xe6e49d… |
| 05-12 14:38:06 | Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x1554c8… |
| 05-12 12:07:38 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0f911c… |
| 05-12 09:27:29 | (anonymous) 0x1d50…5e9c | Yes | SELL | 192 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x06b025… |
| 05-12 02:44:17 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 34 | 99¢ | $33 | 0xaa5ede… |
| 05-11 14:42:31 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | BUY | 45 | 99¢ | $45 | 0xc2ad5a… |
| 05-11 14:26:55 | Selfish-Redhead 0x33d4…2256 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xe3a4ff… |
| 05-11 12:08:51 | Sticky-Carol 0x3cec…6515 | Yes | BUY | 156 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7d08c4… |
| 05-11 05:09:26 | Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x135b95… |
| 05-11 05:08:09 | Stormy-Reserve 0x5def…1283 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x97fa64… |