Excellent-Oats — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.22K

Unrealized P&L

-$25

Hit rate

27.2%

Resolved

1,572

Trades

8,834

lifetime

Volume

$29.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

1 position

First seen

2026-02-13

last 10-28 18:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 187 days

Categories

Other

98% 18% +$3,249

Politics

1% 50% +$38

Sports

1% 11% -$64

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+700	$49	4¢	$25	-$25	10-05 17:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$297	918	0	+918	Yes	+$621	09-28 16:15
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 13 2026 28corhigher	59	$207	475	0	+475	No	-$207	04-11 15:16
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 3 2026 29corhigher	27	$199	433	0	+433	Yes	+$234	04-02 09:02
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$189	161	161	+0	No	+$109	03-16 21:07
highest temperature in munich on april 12 2026 15corhigher	10	$169	297	0	+297	No	-$169	04-11 01:02
highest temperature in san francisco on april 4 2026 78forhigher	35	$156	281	0	+281	Yes	+$125	04-01 13:16
highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 32corhigher	9	$145	300	0	+300	Yes	+$155	04-19 19:35
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on April 29?	2	$140	389	0	+389	No	-$140	04-27 06:58
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 16corhigher	31	$132	672	0	+672	No	-$132	04-12 09:40
highest temperature in tokyo on april 11 2026 26corhigher	16	$132	404	0	+404	No	-$132	04-09 14:58
highest temperature in ankara on march 10 2026 12corhigher	13	$131	485	0	+485	No	-$131	03-09 20:04
highest temperature in chicago on march 25 2026 68forhigher	15	$126	955	95	+860	Yes	+$798	03-23 13:02
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or higher on April 30?	4	$125	300	0	+300	Yes	+$175	04-28 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8?	1	$125	500	0	+500	No	-$125	10-06 20:52
highest temperature in seattle on april 12 2026 62forhigher	30	$122	406	0	+406	No	-$122	04-11 21:06
highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 48 49f	9	$117	448	0	+448	No	-$117	03-09 21:40
highest temperature in toronto on april 9 2026 18corhigher	8	$115	235	0	+235	Yes	+$120	04-07 13:16
highest temperature in wellington on march 12 2026 21corhigher	7	$114	300	0	+300	Yes	+$186	03-10 18:25
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on May 17?	19	$114	300	0	+300	No	-$114	05-16 23:12
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 29?	27	$113	300	0	+300	No	-$113	04-29 13:58
highest temperature in london on march 9 2026 11corbelow	65	$112	1,923	0	+1,923	No	-$112	03-09 00:04
highest temperature in london on april 11 2026 13corbelow	11	$112	394	0	+394	No	-$112	04-07 20:51
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 15 2026 19c	15	$110	400	0	+400	No	-$110	04-15 15:27
highest temperature in mexico city on april 8 2026 26corhigher	16	$107	216	0	+216	Yes	+$108	04-07 19:45
highest temperature in helsinki on april 14 2026 15corhigher	21	$106	200	0	+200	No	-$106	04-12 12:21
highest temperature in seattle on march 13 2026 40 41f	42	$105	300	0	+300	No	-$105	03-11 22:40
highest temperature in munich on april 10 2026 12corbelow	14	$103	221	0	+221	Yes	+$118	04-09 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on May 3?	13	$102	400	0	+400	Yes	+$298	05-03 18:52
highest temperature in helsinki on april 9 2026 8corhigher	10	$101	300	0	+300	Yes	+$199	04-09 07:09
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$100	256	0	+256	Yes	-$100	02-20 11:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xb92a1d…
10-28 18:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x69cace…
10-28 17:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	160	4¢	$7	0xba08fb…
10-28 17:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x470e09…
10-28 17:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x86e70c…
10-28 17:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x45e845…
10-23 14:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0xc1f88b…
10-23 14:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9c6781…
10-17 15:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	122	3¢	$4	0xfad928…
10-17 15:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x908d1d…
10-17 15:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x91fe1c…
10-17 15:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x302efd…
10-17 15:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xd12caa…
10-17 15:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0x27318c…
10-17 11:39:14	highest temperature in dallas on october 18 2026 74 75f	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0xc5b5cc…
10-17 11:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$3	0x19d2c3…
10-14 15:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0x97d1ca…
10-14 15:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x35ff3f…
10-14 15:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x127874…
10-14 15:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x2a0e3c…
10-12 19:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4c9a53…
10-12 19:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xcc7fc0…
10-12 17:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x504ff8…
10-12 17:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x1ae004…
10-12 17:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xcbd97e…
10-11 20:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0xcafed9…
10-11 20:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x3c6340…
10-11 17:54:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xd003da…
10-11 17:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x40f36e…
10-11 08:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xe09d44…
10-11 08:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0x045981…
10-10 19:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x66121c…
10-10 19:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x730de4…
10-10 14:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x38a85d…
10-10 14:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0x787181…
10-10 14:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	34	7¢	$2	0xa4bf10…
10-10 14:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x8fc5b6…
10-10 14:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0xa42753…
10-10 11:50:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 72°F or higher on October 10?	Yes	BUY	1,018	0¢	$3	0x6d61df…
10-10 11:50:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 72°F or higher on October 10?	Yes	BUY	382	1¢	$3	0x56a085…
10-09 19:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on October 11?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x83a54d…
10-09 19:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xf2813e…
10-09 16:08:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb6b589…
10-09 16:08:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x3b6bfc…
10-09 16:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on October 10?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x9c5bfd…
10-09 16:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xc36a02…
10-09 16:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x084432…
10-09 16:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x0fbb6d…
10-08 18:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 94°F or higher on October 9?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0xd976e8…
10-08 16:43:11	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	53	7¢	$4	0x5ffc59…
10-08 16:41:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xc0148b…
10-08 16:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	180	24¢	$43	0xf4929c…
10-07 20:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0xf950d3…
10-07 16:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 94°F or higher on October 8?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x7d3a37…
10-07 15:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 94°F or higher on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xbf7104…
10-07 15:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0x00350f…
10-07 15:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	57	5¢	$3	0xd27653…
10-07 15:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 94°F or higher on October 8?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x7a527b…
10-07 15:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 94°F or higher on October 8?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x224e21…
10-07 15:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0x83d46f…
10-07 15:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xa2eda4…
10-07 15:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	80	8¢	$6	0x3dc387…
10-07 15:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0x26c799…
10-07 15:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x5bcd09…
10-07 15:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0x38a65a…
10-06 21:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0xda6267…
10-06 20:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xd06f5b…
10-06 20:59:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x51dcf4…
10-06 20:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	120	10¢	$12	0xdb79b2…
10-06 20:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x078c55…
10-06 20:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x1fad93…
10-06 20:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x40ca0f…
10-06 20:52:32	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	500	25¢	$125	0x0f6396…
10-06 15:49:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	60	14¢	$8	0x2c1926…
10-06 15:49:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x1f8f73…
10-06 15:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x814529…
10-06 15:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x273f87…
10-06 14:12:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 7?	Yes	BUY	87	9¢	$8	0xd36e78…
10-06 14:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0x22e392…
10-05 20:35:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x523f8c…
10-05 20:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	300	9¢	$26	0xf3d492…
10-05 17:59:14	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	7¢	$49	0x1ddde5…
10-05 14:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0x5684fb…
10-05 14:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0xfd693c…
10-05 14:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x396c5d…
10-05 14:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0xab33ec…
10-05 14:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0x3058d1…
10-05 14:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	300	32¢	$97	0x1d4cd4…
10-04 22:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x7058ca…
10-04 19:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	165	3¢	$6	0xc8efbe…
10-04 18:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0xdb20cb…
10-04 18:55:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xc0cdaa…
10-04 18:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	29	11¢	$3	0xdbc90d…
10-04 18:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x3534f8…
10-04 18:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	62	1¢	$1	0xf1f67f…
10-04 18:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf027c4…
10-04 17:39:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	137	1¢	$1	0x4fb2bc…
10-04 16:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x436bd3…
10-04 16:40:19	Spread: Norway (-1.5)	Norway	BUY	90	9¢	$8	0x0b0117…
10-04 15:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x99c926…