Realized P&L
-$228
Unrealized P&L
-$83
Hit rate
88.3%
Resolved
864
Trades
1,212
lifetime
Volume
$26.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$343
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 18:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 221 days
Categories
Other
68% 82% +$43
Politics
20% 62% -$136
Sports
8% 54% -$107
Crypto
3% 43% -$22
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$3
Tech
0% 67% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +250 $162 66¢ $166 +$4 10-05 16:17
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +150 $130 87¢ $130 +$0 09-22 12:19
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +57 $44 72¢ $41 -$2 10-08 03:14
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +25 $20 20¢ $5 -$15 06-02 16:58
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 05-27 01:20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +0 $70 34¢ $0 -$70 10-06 00:33