Serpentine-Maggot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$125

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

3,142

Trades

57,424

lifetime

Volume

$13.8M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$240

Open exposure

$785

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-14 05:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 308 days

Categories

Other

81% 77% +$24,152

Politics

13% 87% -$3,680

Crypto

4% 93% +$930

Tech

1% 98% +$103

Sports

0% 100% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 522 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	+759	$549	83¢	$630	+$81	11-14 07:01
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	+1,062	$125	15¢	$155	+$30	11-14 06:55
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	+521	$238	0¢	$1	-$237	11-14 06:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	22	$252.9K	126,951	126,951	+0	Yes	+$28	04-08 11:03
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	358	$155.6K	96,139	75,593	+20,545	Yes	+$14,443	03-10 18:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	214	$143.2K	96,129	70,890	+25,239	No	+$651	09-01 04:12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	473	$131.4K	95,677	59,312	+36,365	No	+$397	09-11 18:11
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	370	$111.9K	95,934	95,166	+768	Yes	-$17	01-31 07:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	200	$103.5K	72,384	72,384	+0	No	+$713	09-19 15:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	119	$103.1K	66,779	57,923	+8,856	No	+$704	08-16 03:52
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	211	$91.6K	57,551	57,551	+0	Yes	+$698	09-15 18:09
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	168	$87.0K	57,537	29,719	+27,818	No	+$199	05-19 18:14
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	104	$85.0K	62,306	62,306	+0	No	-$6,101	03-10 16:36
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	116	$78.3K	58,033	29,099	+28,934	Yes	+$7,716	02-06 16:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	56	$76.2K	48,075	30,375	+17,700	No	+$201	11-01 05:08
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	31	$69.5K	37,691	37,691	+0	No	+$841	11-12 04:59
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	175	$68.2K	55,169	17,211	+37,958	No	-$1,269	10-07 15:24
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	74	$66.9K	46,477	33,419	+13,059	No	-$2,784	03-21 14:56
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals	40	$66.8K	33,600	33,600	-0	Kolkata Knight Riders	+$302	04-19 17:36
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	32	$63.6K	46,421	17,395	+29,025	No	-$22	04-01 16:20
cricipl mum roy 2026 04 12	22	$58.8K	44,277	15,000	+29,277	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$192	04-12 18:08
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	65	$57.8K	36,339	24,609	+11,730	No	+$33	04-15 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	64	$55.4K	46,185	13,188	+32,997	Yes	+$3,816	06-12 16:00
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	106	$50.8K	27,658	23,953	+3,705	No	-$62	01-10 16:40
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 0 39	32	$49.1K	34,440	18,119	+16,321	No	-$205	02-07 06:18
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 165 189	112	$48.0K	30,199	30,454	-255	Yes	+$8,240	01-17 17:01
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 140 164	120	$44.8K	32,494	20,350	+12,144	No	+$6	01-26 16:39
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	21	$44.4K	33,388	11,447	+21,941	No	+$222	01-15 05:36
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	57	$42.8K	26,963	15,900	+11,063	No	+$57	08-28 13:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	33	$41.1K	31,276	10,351	+20,925	No	+$68	11-03 05:18
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	44	$40.9K	33,299	7,671	+25,628	No	+$52	01-20 11:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	35	$40.1K	22,630	19,359	+3,271	No	+$153	03-31 04:30
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 320 339	55	$38.8K	26,596	26,596	+0	No	-$6,600	03-10 14:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 07:01:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	86¢	$33	0xba39ac…
11-14 06:59:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x0a66e2…
11-14 06:58:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x92236f…
11-14 06:55:59	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,046	12¢	$124	0x6fb562…
11-14 06:50:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	2¢	$2	0xeb1025…
11-14 06:48:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	151	3¢	$5	0x3747e8…
11-14 06:48:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	196	3¢	$6	0x1ab96e…
11-14 06:47:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x50bb73…
11-14 06:47:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x771c1d…
11-14 06:47:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	353	3¢	$11	0x5158c0…
11-14 06:47:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb9a1e5…
11-14 06:46:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0xda7ac6…
11-14 06:46:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x80e5ec…
11-14 06:42:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	11¢	$3	0x40938e…
11-14 06:42:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	493	11¢	$54	0xed1a67…
11-14 06:38:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x6f9708…
11-14 06:35:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x7097b5…
11-14 06:35:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x37c7fb…
11-14 06:35:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xcedd88…
11-14 06:35:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x88a2c2…
11-14 06:34:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xc4b07f…
11-14 06:34:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x2dc795…
11-14 06:34:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x997ca8…
11-14 06:34:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x98a687…
11-14 06:34:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x3c7668…
11-14 06:34:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xb36d55…
11-14 06:33:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	73¢	$11	0xbe5230…
11-14 06:32:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xbd23b1…
11-14 06:31:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x706b25…
11-14 06:30:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	18¢	$36	0x12eb5a…
11-14 06:28:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x00e02a…
11-14 06:28:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	22¢	$37	0x4e0497…
11-14 06:27:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x78ca97…
11-14 06:27:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xfd26ed…
11-14 06:26:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x771a1b…
11-14 06:24:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0xe0c8b4…
11-14 06:23:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xf0e950…
11-14 06:23:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0x47a553…
11-14 06:23:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x02a2bc…
11-14 06:20:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1563c4…
11-14 06:20:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xfca477…
11-14 06:20:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0xb5685a…
11-14 06:19:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xfe643d…
11-14 06:17:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x51ec29…
11-14 05:26:41	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	SELL	454	100¢	$452	0x2139c3…
11-14 04:40:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	SELL	67	97¢	$65	0x35acc6…
11-14 04:38:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x562bd4…
11-14 04:34:13	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xe312a6…
11-14 04:29:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0xb9be02…
11-14 04:25:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	SELL	80	97¢	$77	0x97b9af…
11-14 04:24:55	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 13?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xfd172b…
11-14 04:20:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5dba0d…
11-14 04:19:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5980ae…
11-14 04:15:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x9162ec…
11-14 04:10:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf7797e…
11-14 04:05:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x03bf97…
11-14 04:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	454	99¢	$449	0xd0659a…
11-14 04:00:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc94212…
11-14 04:00:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0x0d4c62…
11-14 03:59:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	206	96¢	$197	0x9c57e6…
11-14 03:59:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x94c7a6…
11-14 03:59:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x0c7011…
11-14 03:55:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	64¢	$15	0xe04d45…
11-14 03:54:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0xc78d74…
11-14 03:54:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	64¢	$43	0x72620e…
11-14 03:54:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x6e5b94…
11-14 03:54:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x48b605…
11-14 03:46:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x930d82…
11-14 03:46:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x156288…
11-14 03:45:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd59809…
11-14 03:45:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0xd95ad5…
11-14 03:45:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xd49e5b…
11-14 03:43:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x46cb01…
11-14 03:42:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	28¢	$36	0x371eba…
11-13 18:53:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xb4d02d…
11-13 18:38:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	520	100¢	$519	0x0e4b10…
11-13 17:54:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60d112…
11-13 17:47:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,842	100¢	$1,841	0xaf46cd…
11-13 16:57:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	282	100¢	$282	0x2f1d66…
11-13 16:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x8e85ad…
11-13 16:53:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0xd08cdd…
11-13 16:53:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,369	100¢	$1,368	0xf84521…
11-13 16:51:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf2b85e…
11-13 16:51:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x12145b…
11-13 16:50:55	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	760	100¢	$759	0xb768fb…
11-13 16:50:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	248	100¢	$247	0x4e1bca…
11-13 16:50:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5071de…
11-13 16:49:15	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	751	100¢	$751	0x26c8c0…
11-13 16:45:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,352	0¢	$1	0x73aa3b…
11-13 16:01:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	4,170	100¢	$4,166	0x5e3031…
11-13 15:39:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,005	100¢	$1,003	0x2d7463…
11-13 15:39:25	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	995	100¢	$993	0xaa1a57…
11-13 15:14:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x7dc0aa…
11-13 15:13:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0xa0106d…
11-13 15:10:01	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xcbc19e…
11-13 15:04:30	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	88¢	$109	0x34033a…
11-13 13:35:03	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0xb4ce99…
11-13 12:25:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0xb39412…
11-13 11:57:01	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xabb4f2…
11-13 10:51:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$0	0xdc28ff…