Serpentine-Maggot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

3,135

Trades

57,272

lifetime

Volume

$13.8M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$240

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-12 08:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 306 days

Categories

Other

81% 77% +$24,074

Politics

13% 87% -$3,699

Crypto

4% 93% +$930

Tech

1% 98% +$103

Sports

0% 100% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 522 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 11?	Yes		+5	$5	78¢	$4	-$1	11-12 08:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	22	$252.9K	126,951	126,951	+0	Yes	+$28	04-08 11:03
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	358	$155.6K	96,139	75,593	+20,545	Yes	+$14,443	03-10 18:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	214	$143.2K	96,129	70,890	+25,239	No	+$651	09-01 04:12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	473	$131.4K	95,677	59,312	+36,365	No	+$397	09-11 18:11
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	370	$111.9K	95,934	95,166	+768	Yes	-$17	01-31 07:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	200	$103.5K	72,384	72,384	+0	No	+$713	09-19 15:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	119	$103.1K	66,779	57,923	+8,856	No	+$704	08-16 03:52
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	211	$91.6K	57,551	57,551	+0	Yes	+$698	09-15 18:09
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	168	$87.0K	57,537	29,719	+27,818	No	+$199	05-19 18:14
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	104	$85.0K	62,306	62,306	+0	No	-$6,101	03-10 16:36
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	116	$78.3K	58,033	29,099	+28,934	Yes	+$7,716	02-06 16:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	56	$76.2K	48,075	30,375	+17,700	No	+$201	11-01 05:08
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	31	$69.5K	37,691	37,691	+0	No	+$841	11-12 04:59
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	175	$68.2K	55,169	17,211	+37,958	No	-$1,269	10-07 15:24
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	74	$66.9K	46,477	33,419	+13,059	No	-$2,784	03-21 14:56
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals	40	$66.8K	33,600	33,600	-0	Kolkata Knight Riders	+$302	04-19 17:36
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	32	$63.6K	46,421	17,395	+29,025	No	-$22	04-01 16:20
cricipl mum roy 2026 04 12	22	$58.8K	44,277	15,000	+29,277	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$192	04-12 18:08
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	65	$57.8K	36,339	24,609	+11,730	No	+$33	04-15 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	64	$55.4K	46,185	13,188	+32,997	Yes	+$3,816	06-12 16:00
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	106	$50.8K	27,658	23,953	+3,705	No	-$62	01-10 16:40
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 0 39	32	$49.1K	34,440	18,119	+16,321	No	-$205	02-07 06:18
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 165 189	112	$48.0K	30,199	30,454	-255	Yes	+$8,240	01-17 17:01
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 140 164	120	$44.8K	32,494	20,350	+12,144	No	+$6	01-26 16:39
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	21	$44.4K	33,388	11,447	+21,941	No	+$222	01-15 05:36
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	57	$42.8K	26,963	15,900	+11,063	No	+$57	08-28 13:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	33	$41.1K	31,276	10,351	+20,925	No	+$68	11-03 05:18
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	44	$40.9K	33,299	7,671	+25,628	No	+$52	01-20 11:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	35	$40.1K	22,630	19,359	+3,271	No	+$153	03-31 04:30
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 320 339	55	$38.8K	26,596	26,596	+0	No	-$6,600	03-10 14:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 08:48:34	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xad1419…
11-12 04:59:39	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	15,387	99¢	$15,259	0x993e15…
11-12 04:59:39	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0x782294…
11-12 04:59:22	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x105dad…
11-12 04:57:22	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10,179	99¢	$10,077	0x56585e…
11-12 04:54:54	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5,004	98¢	$4,914	0x4de178…
11-12 04:51:12	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	3,485	97¢	$3,377	0x7f14bc…
11-12 04:50:57	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	1,001	97¢	$970	0x8883a3…
11-12 04:50:52	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	264	97¢	$256	0x46e45d…
11-12 04:28:12	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1,067	91¢	$971	0xd96698…
11-12 04:20:52	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	671	90¢	$604	0x6d1f0f…
11-12 04:20:48	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3,012	90¢	$2,711	0x3235ac…
11-12 04:20:15	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	8,681	89¢	$7,726	0x6435b1…
11-12 04:14:57	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	18	87¢	$15	0xaaa0e1…
11-12 04:14:55	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1,960	87¢	$1,705	0xeb21b3…
11-12 04:09:00	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	4,504	86¢	$3,874	0xbdd11f…
11-12 04:07:42	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	86¢	$860	0xd53200…
11-12 04:00:52	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	83¢	$830	0x1b1f84…
11-12 03:59:12	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	131	82¢	$107	0x8ec045…
11-12 03:53:42	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	2,776	85¢	$2,359	0x3abd03…
11-12 03:53:34	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x96730b…
11-12 03:53:34	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	646	85¢	$549	0x646d46…
11-12 03:53:33	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x5227a6…
11-12 03:53:33	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10,300	85¢	$8,755	0x33ce94…
11-12 03:50:57	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xc1d4f3…
11-12 03:50:55	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3,021	83¢	$2,507	0x8522b4…
11-12 03:47:54	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xcd745e…
11-12 03:47:48	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	56	81¢	$46	0xb44f44…
11-12 03:47:42	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	271	81¢	$220	0x9bb6ad…
11-12 03:47:30	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	33	81¢	$26	0xbdd050…
11-12 03:46:43	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	360	79¢	$284	0xacb11f…
11-11 17:30:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	0¢	$0	0x73ff2f…
11-11 17:23:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xb9fa17…
11-11 17:08:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x82bffe…
11-11 16:44:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x448fcb…
11-11 16:43:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$3	0x343620…
11-11 16:43:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x06f3e1…
11-11 16:43:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$159	0xf03db6…
11-11 15:56:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x553f5e…
11-11 15:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	7,487	100¢	$7,479	0x77fa47…
11-11 15:14:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	604	0¢	$2	0xb2861d…
11-11 15:14:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x92da64…
11-11 15:14:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3b90c2…
11-11 15:13:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	188	66¢	$124	0x4874d6…
11-11 15:05:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	66¢	$18	0x59d0f2…
11-11 14:46:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	958	66¢	$634	0xe1cd25…
11-11 14:45:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	220	65¢	$144	0xeacc04…
11-11 14:26:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	240	66¢	$158	0x690625…
11-11 14:05:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x0bf0a5…
11-11 13:47:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	434	100¢	$434	0x87c224…
11-11 13:44:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	278	100¢	$277	0xf4bac7…
11-11 13:30:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$221	0xd25bad…
11-11 12:36:43	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0xa75ed9…
11-11 12:36:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x2fb9cd…
11-11 12:05:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	1¢	$0	0x83c51c…
11-11 12:00:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xa509ba…
11-11 12:00:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x2a2a0e…
11-11 11:54:52	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x9645f7…
11-11 11:31:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xbc547a…
11-11 11:30:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x705c88…
11-11 11:30:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x23b647…
11-11 11:29:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x923749…
11-11 11:29:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2a9c56…
11-11 11:03:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x08a5e3…
11-11 11:02:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xf78619…
11-11 11:01:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0x6330b2…
11-11 10:57:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xe9b958…
11-11 10:57:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x5ed361…
11-11 10:57:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	480	99¢	$476	0x46a752…
11-11 10:49:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0xa5a494…
11-11 10:45:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	136	99¢	$134	0xf86ddb…
11-11 10:29:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0xf0d29e…
11-11 10:28:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x60f711…
11-11 10:04:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	124	99¢	$122	0x107fd0…
11-11 10:02:55	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	718	66¢	$475	0x60201c…
11-11 10:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1,162	98¢	$1,143	0xad0b4d…
11-11 09:59:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xe27b8b…
11-11 09:47:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0x7fd275…
11-11 09:46:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x76085e…
11-11 09:42:13	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xdde85a…
11-11 09:26:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x6226cd…
11-11 09:24:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	39¢	$19	0xb3e019…
11-11 09:23:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x60d562…
11-11 09:10:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xad0b42…
11-11 09:10:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x4bce91…
11-11 09:10:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x0f0f5a…
11-11 09:09:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x098647…
11-11 09:08:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe00e86…
11-11 09:08:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0659bf…
11-11 09:06:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x283a2b…
11-11 09:06:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc4c955…
11-11 09:05:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x72bb2d…
11-11 09:05:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	42¢	$15	0x94b7ac…
11-11 09:05:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x97c2d7…
11-11 09:04:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xf295f8…
11-11 09:04:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x59fb6e…
11-11 09:03:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd25326…
11-11 09:02:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0xe30936…
11-11 09:02:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xe2ede6…
11-11 09:02:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xcb5360…