Serpentine-Maggot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

3,141

Trades

57,411

lifetime

Volume

$13.8M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$240

Open exposure

$714

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-14 04:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 307 days

Categories

Other

81% 77% +$24,152

Politics

13% 87% -$3,680

Crypto

4% 93% +$930

Tech

1% 98% +$103

Sports

0% 100% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 522 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	+454	$449	100¢	$451	+$2	11-14 04:00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	+251	$159	57¢	$143	-$16	11-14 04:34
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	+251	$74	38¢	$95	+$21	11-14 04:20
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 13?	No	+56	$55	44¢	$24	-$31	11-14 04:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	22	$252.9K	126,951	126,951	+0	Yes	+$28	04-08 11:03
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	358	$155.6K	96,139	75,593	+20,545	Yes	+$14,443	03-10 18:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	214	$143.2K	96,129	70,890	+25,239	No	+$651	09-01 04:12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	473	$131.4K	95,677	59,312	+36,365	No	+$397	09-11 18:11
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	370	$111.9K	95,934	95,166	+768	Yes	-$17	01-31 07:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	200	$103.5K	72,384	72,384	+0	No	+$713	09-19 15:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	119	$103.1K	66,779	57,923	+8,856	No	+$704	08-16 03:52
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	211	$91.6K	57,551	57,551	+0	Yes	+$698	09-15 18:09
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	168	$87.0K	57,537	29,719	+27,818	No	+$199	05-19 18:14
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	104	$85.0K	62,306	62,306	+0	No	-$6,101	03-10 16:36
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	116	$78.3K	58,033	29,099	+28,934	Yes	+$7,716	02-06 16:45
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	56	$76.2K	48,075	30,375	+17,700	No	+$201	11-01 05:08
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	31	$69.5K	37,691	37,691	+0	No	+$841	11-12 04:59
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	175	$68.2K	55,169	17,211	+37,958	No	-$1,269	10-07 15:24
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	74	$66.9K	46,477	33,419	+13,059	No	-$2,784	03-21 14:56
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals	40	$66.8K	33,600	33,600	-0	Kolkata Knight Riders	+$302	04-19 17:36
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	32	$63.6K	46,421	17,395	+29,025	No	-$22	04-01 16:20
cricipl mum roy 2026 04 12	22	$58.8K	44,277	15,000	+29,277	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$192	04-12 18:08
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	65	$57.8K	36,339	24,609	+11,730	No	+$33	04-15 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	64	$55.4K	46,185	13,188	+32,997	Yes	+$3,816	06-12 16:00
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	106	$50.8K	27,658	23,953	+3,705	No	-$62	01-10 16:40
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 0 39	32	$49.1K	34,440	18,119	+16,321	No	-$205	02-07 06:18
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 165 189	112	$48.0K	30,199	30,454	-255	Yes	+$8,240	01-17 17:01
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 140 164	120	$44.8K	32,494	20,350	+12,144	No	+$6	01-26 16:39
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	21	$44.4K	33,388	11,447	+21,941	No	+$222	01-15 05:36
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	57	$42.8K	26,963	15,900	+11,063	No	+$57	08-28 13:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	33	$41.1K	31,276	10,351	+20,925	No	+$68	11-03 05:18
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	44	$40.9K	33,299	7,671	+25,628	No	+$52	01-20 11:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	35	$40.1K	22,630	19,359	+3,271	No	+$153	03-31 04:30
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 320 339	55	$38.8K	26,596	26,596	+0	No	-$6,600	03-10 14:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 04:40:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	SELL	67	97¢	$65	0x35acc6…
11-14 04:38:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x562bd4…
11-14 04:34:13	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xe312a6…
11-14 04:29:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0xb9be02…
11-14 04:25:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	SELL	80	97¢	$77	0x97b9af…
11-14 04:24:55	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 13?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xfd172b…
11-14 04:20:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5dba0d…
11-14 04:19:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5980ae…
11-14 04:15:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x9162ec…
11-14 04:10:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf7797e…
11-14 04:05:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x03bf97…
11-14 04:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	454	99¢	$449	0xd0659a…
11-14 04:00:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc94212…
11-14 04:00:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0x0d4c62…
11-14 03:59:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	206	96¢	$197	0x9c57e6…
11-14 03:59:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x94c7a6…
11-14 03:59:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x0c7011…
11-14 03:55:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	64¢	$15	0xe04d45…
11-14 03:54:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0xc78d74…
11-14 03:54:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	64¢	$43	0x72620e…
11-14 03:54:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x6e5b94…
11-14 03:54:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x48b605…
11-14 03:46:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x930d82…
11-14 03:46:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x156288…
11-14 03:45:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd59809…
11-14 03:45:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0xd95ad5…
11-14 03:45:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xd49e5b…
11-14 03:43:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x46cb01…
11-14 03:42:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	28¢	$36	0x371eba…
11-13 18:53:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xb4d02d…
11-13 18:38:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	520	100¢	$519	0x0e4b10…
11-13 17:54:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60d112…
11-13 17:47:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,842	100¢	$1,841	0xaf46cd…
11-13 16:57:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	282	100¢	$282	0x2f1d66…
11-13 16:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x8e85ad…
11-13 16:53:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0xd08cdd…
11-13 16:53:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,369	100¢	$1,368	0xf84521…
11-13 16:51:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf2b85e…
11-13 16:51:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x12145b…
11-13 16:50:55	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	760	100¢	$759	0xb768fb…
11-13 16:50:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	248	100¢	$247	0x4e1bca…
11-13 16:50:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5071de…
11-13 16:49:15	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	751	100¢	$751	0x26c8c0…
11-13 16:45:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,352	0¢	$1	0x73aa3b…
11-13 16:01:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	4,170	100¢	$4,166	0x5e3031…
11-13 15:39:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,005	100¢	$1,003	0x2d7463…
11-13 15:39:25	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	995	100¢	$993	0xaa1a57…
11-13 15:14:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x7dc0aa…
11-13 15:13:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0xa0106d…
11-13 15:10:01	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xcbc19e…
11-13 15:04:30	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	88¢	$109	0x34033a…
11-13 13:35:03	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0xb4ce99…
11-13 12:25:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0xb39412…
11-13 11:57:01	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xabb4f2…
11-13 10:51:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$0	0xdc28ff…
11-13 10:41:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xf69d2d…
11-13 10:39:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$0	0xed310c…
11-13 10:34:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd95d10…
11-13 10:30:55	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	215	1¢	$1	0xeffc0e…
11-13 10:30:07	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xd299e8…
11-13 10:30:07	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$0	0x8024dc…
11-13 10:30:07	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x4e78d2…
11-13 10:16:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x67d649…
11-13 10:15:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x997fb1…
11-13 10:10:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$0	0x9cce5a…
11-13 10:10:15	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x7edd3a…
11-13 10:10:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	1¢	$1	0xfc1592…
11-13 10:10:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xf2d2be…
11-13 10:10:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xefcf63…
11-13 10:10:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	1¢	$0	0x2c11e5…
11-13 10:10:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x19d862…
11-13 10:01:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x778702…
11-13 09:58:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x2f6b7f…
11-13 09:58:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xad04c8…
11-13 09:56:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	26¢	$7	0x10b470…
11-13 09:55:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xa05686…
11-13 07:37:22	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x909f5a…
11-13 07:00:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	163	99¢	$161	0x4c6952…
11-13 06:50:31	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	12¢	$25	0x6b70c9…
11-13 06:50:22	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x694c8a…
11-13 06:42:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x4b0cc1…
11-13 06:37:19	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x56684d…
11-13 06:35:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x37f0a7…
11-13 06:33:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xa34915…
11-13 06:25:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1e5eff…
11-13 06:25:21	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xa2a903…
11-13 06:25:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x8d8045…
11-13 06:23:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0xd67381…
11-13 06:23:07	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0x5e49a5…
11-13 06:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	169	15¢	$26	0xea6114…
11-13 06:21:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	12¢	$11	0xe9d7d7…
11-13 06:20:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	67¢	$36	0xfb99e3…
11-13 06:20:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	67¢	$64	0xe87421…
11-13 06:20:28	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$14	0xbdf2bc…
11-13 06:19:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	67¢	$21	0x147c0e…
11-13 06:19:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	10¢	$8	0x526a68…
11-13 06:17:55	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	16¢	$66	0x3e5f2b…
11-13 06:16:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x2f5b14…
11-13 06:15:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x197324…
11-13 06:14:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	14¢	$31	0x350e73…