Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on May 13?
open
Total volume
$262
$3,792 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$1,264
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 07:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $35 | $35 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $5 | $220 | $215 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $57 | $57 |
| Median | 11 | $5 | $76 | $71 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $101 | $101 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $13 | $13 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lovable-Nail 0xbb2d…455d | Yes | +111 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 01:57 |
| Whirlwind-Milk 0xe022…12c5 | No | +66 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 05-13 07:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x3fb0…611a | Yes | +57 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-12 14:53 |
| Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | +56 | $55 | $55 | 3 | 05-12 22:01 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 05-13 03:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x59ad…0cf2 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 15:58 |
| Blind-Wick 0x5628…0b12 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-11 21:19 |
| Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-13 06:08 |
| Perky-Reason 0x3027…6ff2 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-12 22:01 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 02:23 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 02:27 |
| Drab-Cheque 0x9656…9813 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 03:30 |
| Fumbling-Affect 0xec25…dec6 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 17:16 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 23:08 |
| Itchy-Extreme 0xb038…074b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 01:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 07:21:25 | Whirlwind-Milk 0xe022…12c5 | No | BUY | 66 | 100¢ | $66 | 0x320c62… |
| 05-13 06:08:16 | Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1910e7… |
| 05-13 06:06:31 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdae840… |
| 05-13 06:06:31 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd92e7f… |
| 05-13 06:06:31 | Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x27ed07… |
| 05-13 03:43:39 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x581612… |
| 05-13 02:27:02 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x34adc0… |
| 05-13 02:13:28 | Striking-Retrospectivity 0x4ab6…75b5 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xef3c47… |
| 05-13 01:57:13 | Lovable-Nail 0xbb2d…455d | Yes | BUY | 111 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x63412e… |
| 05-12 23:08:07 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a2c9b… |
| 05-12 23:08:02 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x188d30… |
| 05-12 22:01:14 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 26 | 98¢ | $25 | 0xc92e2a… |
| 05-12 22:01:12 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 26 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x9acb30… |
| 05-12 22:01:09 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x428812… |
| 05-12 22:01:07 | Perky-Reason 0x3027…6ff2 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x50a96e… |
| 05-12 22:01:02 | Perky-Reason 0x3027…6ff2 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8b533e… |
| 05-12 19:52:26 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0xd8d971… |
| 05-12 17:16:27 | Fumbling-Affect 0xec25…dec6 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe2197f… |
| 05-12 15:58:22 | (anonymous) 0x59ad…0cf2 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x8cf988… |
| 05-12 14:53:16 | (anonymous) 0x3fb0…611a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x79bbe7… |
| 05-12 14:48:15 | (anonymous) 0x3fb0…611a | Yes | BUY | 37 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xa524ad… |
| 05-12 03:30:52 | Drab-Cheque 0x9656…9813 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7b6aa1… |
| 05-12 02:23:08 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xcd0212… |
| 05-12 01:13:50 | Itchy-Extreme 0xb038…074b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf83d6f… |
| 05-11 21:19:06 | Blind-Wick 0x5628…0b12 | No | BUY | 19 | 98¢ | $19 | 0x1b731a… |