Striking-Retrospectivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.47K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

2,338

Trades

8,955

lifetime

Volume

$85.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 09-03 04:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 195 days

Categories

Other

97% 87% -$1,501

Crypto

2% 85% -$3

Politics

1% 56% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	60	$2.7K	0	5,480	-5,480	Yes	-$2,737	04-10 15:25
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	46	$2.5K	245	5,368	-5,123	Yes	-$3,057	04-17 14:54
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	15	$1.9K	868	1,735	-867	Yes	-$421	03-31 15:52
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	5	$1.2K	449	1,073	-624	Yes	-$276	04-03 15:55
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	60	$1.1K	0	5,480	-5,480	No	+$1,059	04-10 15:01
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	25	$903	0	2,722	-2,722	Yes	-$1,819	04-21 14:29
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	35	$892	0	5,123	-5,123	No	+$892	04-17 02:03
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	10	$815	427	427	+0	Yes	+$18	03-09 15:04
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	43	$789	0	4,585	-4,585	No	+$789	04-09 14:08
Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$783	0	824	-824	Yes	-$41	04-28 14:32
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	19	$779	0	1,337	-1,337	Yes	-$558	04-07 15:53
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	6	$755	0	5,123	-5,123	No	+$755	04-17 14:38
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	2	$738	380	380	+0	Yes	+$21	03-10 16:00
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	15	$728	390	3,125	-2,735	Yes	-$2,367	04-14 15:59
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	11	$693	0	2,735	-2,735	No	+$693	04-13 14:41
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	31	$668	0	893	-893	Yes	-$225	05-01 00:15
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 240 259	3	$633	0	2,735	-2,735	No	+$633	04-12 19:27
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	15	$631	0	1,337	-1,337	No	+$631	04-07 14:14
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	3	$602	601	736	-134	No	+$3	04-07 10:36
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	10	$595	493	493	+0	Yes	+$389	03-03 16:48
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	5	$591	0	2,735	-2,735	No	+$591	04-13 13:59
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 240 259	34	$582	2,295	2,295	+0	No	-$22	03-08 15:44
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 40 64	3	$547	350	200	+150	No	+$2	03-13 18:59
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 65 89	3	$545	0	910	-910	Yes	-$365	04-10 22:48
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 220 239	42	$540	0	2,735	-2,735	No	+$540	04-12 07:21
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	3	$536	536	331	+205	No	+$1	03-30 15:47
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	3	$525	0	2,735	-2,735	No	+$525	04-13 03:40
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	9	$520	258	308	-50	Yes	-$11	03-16 15:19
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 280 299	23	$518	1,692	1,517	+175	No	-$5	03-08 19:51
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	11	$505	467	667	-200	Yes	-$146	03-13 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 04:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x0fb057…
09-03 02:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x945f7b…
09-02 18:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x23e332…
09-02 17:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xd3ebcd…
09-02 13:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x63e83b…
09-02 13:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x8251de…
09-02 13:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x9fb2ea…
09-02 13:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x162501…
09-02 09:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x68ecd7…
09-02 05:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xb2f03c…
09-01 15:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xb0c735…
09-01 13:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x527341…
09-01 13:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xe72241…
09-01 13:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on September 2?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xcae8d8…
09-01 13:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x718578…
09-01 13:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x30a776…
09-01 13:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf4413a…
09-01 08:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xff3a55…
09-01 01:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x0c4e7b…
08-31 20:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xa16bbe…
08-31 17:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xf8fa01…
08-31 12:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xd2b10b…
08-31 12:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x3004d7…
08-31 12:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C or higher on September 1?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x6a1f2d…
08-31 11:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa59a5f…
08-31 06:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x17549b…
08-31 02:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xb57e53…
08-30 20:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x6742e6…
08-30 20:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x9f9f7b…
08-30 20:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x4f5a1c…
08-30 17:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x377751…
08-30 10:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xd91774…
08-30 08:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x4235f5…
08-30 08:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x91bb6f…
08-30 08:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x6975ee…
08-30 08:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xdd05a1…
08-30 08:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x7edd20…
08-29 12:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xb0e5b7…
08-29 12:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xb9c340…
08-29 12:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x170d97…
08-28 20:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa9a246…
08-28 20:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 29?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x753a1b…
08-28 20:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf0a60d…
08-28 19:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5456f7…
08-28 08:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x3878f0…
08-28 08:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xb940ee…
08-28 08:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x3efbec…
08-27 18:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C or higher on August 28?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x08b679…
08-27 18:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x77343d…
08-27 18:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or below on August 28?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa841c5…
08-27 18:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaeebac…
08-27 09:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x51afd8…
08-27 09:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x435d8e…
08-27 09:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x7a17fe…
08-27 09:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x87991c…
08-26 17:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x106208…
08-26 17:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x555ee7…
08-26 17:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or below on August 27?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xe703c8…
08-26 17:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x05653c…
08-26 09:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x367c14…
08-26 09:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x6790f8…
08-26 09:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x6a8e43…
08-26 09:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x39fa39…
08-25 07:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x226612…
08-25 07:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xe1593a…
08-25 07:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xdb6470…
08-25 07:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe83378…
08-25 07:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on August 25?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x927d56…
08-25 07:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc41b1a…
08-25 04:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd0d147…
08-24 21:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xe4d889…
08-24 21:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xa2e821…
08-24 21:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$1	0x847807…
08-24 21:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x3fd8fe…
08-24 19:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C or higher on August 25?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x9855bd…
08-24 19:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xeccd75…
08-24 19:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x4dd08c…
08-24 19:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x301087…
08-24 08:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xedcfe6…
08-23 23:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C or higher on August 24?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xb5fc23…
08-23 18:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0x70cefa…
08-23 16:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x23b4c6…
08-23 16:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x9d45e7…
08-23 08:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xec269b…
08-22 14:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xbff7aa…
08-22 12:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 23?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xe1d783…
08-22 12:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x00c539…
08-22 09:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x4021f4…
08-22 08:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x022892…
08-22 08:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5dc99f…
08-22 05:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x18bd43…
08-22 02:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa9446b…
08-21 20:47:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x2b6cd8…
08-21 18:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x033a71…
08-21 15:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x66e4b0…
08-21 15:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C or below on August 22?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x76db2d…
08-21 15:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfd0f76…
08-21 15:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2f5b28…
08-21 10:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc34425…
08-21 10:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0x7df9ea…