Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$700

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

72.4%

Resolved

1,887

Trades

4,368

lifetime

Volume

$52.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$21

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 08-14 14:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Other

74% 77% -$340

Crypto

22% 69% -$282

Politics

2% 31% -$113

Sports

2% 67% +$46

Tech

0% 25% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	+20	$7	94¢	$19	+$12	08-05 01:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+15	$4	16¢	$2	-$2	08-11 09:32
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	86¢	$0	$0	07-16 17:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	60	$820	1,399	1,250	+149	No	-$67	07-21 16:12
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	25	$785	1,531	100	+1,431	Up	+$189	08-14 14:20
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-03 16:00 UTC	105	$569	715	710	+4	Up	+$6	08-03 19:29
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-31 00:00 UTC	74	$562	570	569	+1	Down	+$31	07-31 02:40
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	38	$552	1,684	1,277	+408	No	-$43	07-16 14:04
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	29	$537	700	500	+200	Down	-$1	08-14 03:13
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-30 20:00 UTC	46	$360	287	286	+1	Down	+$84	07-30 23:36
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-31 08:00 UTC	56	$334	273	272	+1	Down	+$14	07-31 11:34
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 00:00 UTC	16	$330	600	100	+500	Up	+$8	08-08 01:22
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	38	$328	546	546	+0	Yes	+$2	07-18 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	48	$307	335	288	+48	Down	-$12	08-03 22:47
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-31 04:00 UTC	63	$280	303	161	+142	Down	-$71	07-31 07:17
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 04:00 UTC	14	$238	350	150	+200	Down	+$4	08-08 05:29
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-01 20:00 UTC	49	$232	267	267	+0	Up	-$16	08-01 22:32
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-29 20:00 UTC	42	$225	335	163	+172	Up	-$28	07-29 22:18
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 04:00 UTC	15	$223	352	300	+52	Down	-$5	08-08 07:23
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 16:00 UTC	12	$222	350	150	+200	Down	-$9	08-12 17:21
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 00:00 UTC	29	$221	340	120	+220	Down	+$18	08-07 03:22
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-01 04:00 UTC	35	$213	250	185	+65	Up	-$11	08-01 06:52
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC	17	$208	350	75	+275	Up	-$7	08-11 01:42
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-01 08:00 UTC	49	$190	201	189	+12	Up	+$9	08-01 11:23
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 04:00 UTC	18	$189	296	100	+196	Down	+$3	08-12 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 4?	3	$176	102	102	+0	No	-$24	07-04 06:11
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-31 12:00 UTC	36	$175	192	144	+48	Down	+$18	07-31 13:37
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 04:00 UTC	10	$172	300	100	+200	Down	-$10	08-14 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 23?	1	$172	174	0	+174	No	+$2	06-21 19:31
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 41°C on June 27?	1	$172	173	0	+173	No	+$1	06-25 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 6?	2	$172	102	102	+0	No	-$28	07-06 04:29
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 21?	1	$171	175	0	+175	No	+$4	06-19 16:40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 25?	1	$170	174	0	+174	No	+$3	06-24 08:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 14:20:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0xd82c81…
08-14 14:15:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	46	75¢	$34	0x168898…
08-14 13:14:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0x7b3b7c…
08-14 13:05:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x9aec27…
08-14 13:05:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x2a5911…
08-14 13:04:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x5e737d…
08-14 13:04:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	177	36¢	$64	0x4bd6b8…
08-14 13:03:49	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x0af3a3…
08-14 13:02:04	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xe049d3…
08-14 13:01:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x9cff71…
08-14 13:01:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x97270c…
08-14 13:01:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9be6e3…
08-14 13:01:31	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xb2cfe5…
08-14 13:01:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x30bb3a…
08-14 13:01:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x9a27fe…
08-14 13:01:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xf4e8ae…
08-14 13:01:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x6f880b…
08-14 12:41:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0xcb2bb7…
08-14 12:41:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xb6023a…
08-14 12:40:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x290386…
08-14 12:40:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xb7bda5…
08-14 12:40:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x59c787…
08-14 12:39:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xfb3f3b…
08-14 12:38:52	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe063e6…
08-14 12:33:52	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x42bcb5…
08-14 06:02:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	35¢	$17	0x253b4c…
08-14 05:34:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xb7ea8d…
08-14 05:32:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf3ccf3…
08-14 05:32:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	44¢	$12	0x3f98b0…
08-14 05:30:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x2b0b9a…
08-14 05:10:39	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xadcdd8…
08-14 04:31:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x91a9d2…
08-14 04:01:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x0e4c79…
08-14 04:00:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xd7c7f5…
08-14 04:00:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x003fe5…
08-14 03:13:42	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0xd0030a…
08-14 03:12:49	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	49	44¢	$22	0xf4376b…
08-14 03:01:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xbb2e3a…
08-14 03:01:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x51cc4d…
08-14 03:00:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xd9787d…
08-14 02:57:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x4ee92e…
08-14 02:30:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0xcb9214…
08-14 02:30:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x56512e…
08-14 02:24:46	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x67834e…
08-14 02:20:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x1bb138…
08-14 02:19:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x67b2d8…
08-14 02:06:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xce3e39…
08-14 02:04:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0x818bce…
08-14 02:04:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xc09525…
08-14 01:34:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xb052cb…
08-14 01:31:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0xae13ea…
08-14 01:21:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x6e8173…
08-14 01:19:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	40	49¢	$20	0x2ae97f…
08-14 01:19:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x443f41…
08-14 01:13:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x842a64…
08-14 01:12:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x34ce05…
08-14 01:12:06	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x4838e2…
08-14 00:42:01	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x76513c…
08-14 00:41:52	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0xdbd72b…
08-14 00:28:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x919a8e…
08-14 00:27:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0xb2633c…
08-14 00:04:49	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x59df5c…
08-14 00:03:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xf40297…
08-14 00:00:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xa9f3a9…
08-13 20:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0xd6c0ee…
08-13 20:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x8b9eb4…
08-13 20:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0xce52b4…
08-13 20:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xde6371…
08-13 20:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x613647…
08-13 20:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x1e2b1e…
08-13 20:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x290199…
08-13 20:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x08ca0e…
08-13 20:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x285019…
08-13 20:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xfb35dc…
08-13 19:18:06	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x81ab1c…
08-13 18:29:13	Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xa34a12…
08-13 18:26:16	Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xde9f7e…
08-13 18:10:54	Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x4b881d…
08-13 18:07:12	Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x4b297f…
08-13 16:02:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xe08393…
08-13 16:02:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x13f525…
08-13 16:01:49	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xee0cef…
08-13 16:01:06	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd0f158…
08-13 16:00:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x076a51…
08-13 16:00:34	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9d048e…
08-13 15:53:16	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x35723a…
08-13 15:49:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x53cbdd…
08-13 15:40:31	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x53633a…
08-13 15:39:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xfe40a9…
08-13 15:37:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x2b21cb…
08-13 15:35:49	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0xf1bbad…
08-13 15:29:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x773f97…
08-13 15:29:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x3a70ae…
08-13 15:28:49	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x5139dc…
08-13 14:36:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x6768e7…
08-13 14:36:01	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x56189b…
08-13 14:35:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x915829…
08-13 14:33:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xd17e65…
08-13 14:32:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xa249f7…
08-13 14:32:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x987f84…