Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$214
$1,080 in 24h
Trades
22
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$3,082
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 15:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $3 | $173 | $170 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $28 | $28 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $1 | $100 | $99 |
| Median | 3 | — | $12 | $12 |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | $6 | $5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $53 | $53 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x2b0f…75e5 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 01:00 |
| Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | +65 | $64 | $64 | 2 | 05-11 02:30 |
| Loving-Onset 0x6a8a…3176 | No | +56 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 05-10 07:12 |
| Tiny-Smuggling 0x6a80…386f | Yes | +32 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 12:30 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-11 02:30 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-11 02:30 |
| Petty-Fritter 0x514f…5d84 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:33 |
| Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 04:12 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 07:23 |
| Rusty-Tiger 0xb6d3…bc0a | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 15:06 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 09:19 |
| Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 15:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x63a1…d974 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 15:17 |
| Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 06:34 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 12:56 |
| Incompatible-Brunch 0x1fe1…191d | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 10:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 15:17:35 | (anonymous) 0x63a1…d974 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x74f7fe… |
| 05-11 15:17:31 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x540f28… |
| 05-11 15:06:44 | Rusty-Tiger 0xb6d3…bc0a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb1e287… |
| 05-11 10:56:46 | Incompatible-Brunch 0x1fe1…191d | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xf24339… |
| 05-11 06:34:16 | Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xfbcbdb… |
| 05-11 06:04:44 | Thirsty-Client 0x7085…11ed | Yes | SELL | 216 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0f56de… |
| 05-11 05:43:23 | Thirsty-Client 0x7085…11ed | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x56fc88… |
| 05-11 04:12:49 | Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x79a84c… |
| 05-11 02:30:58 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x41d704… |
| 05-11 02:30:56 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xf9c553… |
| 05-11 02:30:21 | Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x2f7e21… |
| 05-11 02:04:50 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5e2728… |
| 05-11 01:45:33 | Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x544ef3… |
| 05-11 01:00:12 | (anonymous) 0x2b0f…75e5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8acf12… |
| 05-10 12:56:52 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x26ba77… |
| 05-10 12:30:33 | Tiny-Smuggling 0x6a80…386f | Yes | BUY | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xaad782… |
| 05-10 09:19:05 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xb7f22a… |
| 05-10 07:23:17 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x902503… |
| 05-10 07:12:31 | Loving-Onset 0x6a8a…3176 | No | BUY | 56 | 95¢ | $53 | 0xc9e518… |
| 05-10 04:33:50 | Petty-Fritter 0x514f…5d84 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xf09c8c… |
| 05-10 04:31:54 | Repentant-Spelling 0x0675…1ec0 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x6b0527… |
| 05-10 04:25:54 | Repentant-Spelling 0x0675…1ec0 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x9b197b… |