Tight-Salary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

443

Trades

826

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-19 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

78% 80% +$2

Crypto

16% 86% +$1

Politics

5% 78% $0

Tech

1% 80% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or higher on July 25?	3	$91	45	45	+0	No	$0	07-24 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C or below on July 31?	3	$72	36	36	+0	No	+$0	07-30 15:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on July 20?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-19 07:28
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-19 19:42
will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 23	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-23 23:19
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	10-12 09:38
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on July 27?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-26 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 93°F or below on July 23?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-23 17:55
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 29?	3	$67	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-29 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 10?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-10 15:02
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 17?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-17 08:55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 20?	3	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-20 11:30
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 23?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-23 08:52
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	10-11 22:24
Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	10-11 22:26
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 30?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-29 19:00
ethereum above 1600 on july 11 2026	3	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	07-10 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 25?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-25 14:38
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on July 21?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-20 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 23?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-22 10:54
will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	3	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-30 05:25
bitcoin above 60k on july 24 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	07-23 23:20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on May 3?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-03 05:29
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 29?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-29 06:55
will googl reach 360 by july 20 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-24 19:30
will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-31 15:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 6?	2	$56	56	0	+56	No	+$0	08-06 03:22
will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 21	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-22 00:04
bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	5	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-21 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 21?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-20 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:01:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb50558…
10-18 20:30:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 19?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa3cc94…
10-16 10:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb7de09…
10-13 18:53:40	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x989856…
10-13 08:56:14	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x86f986…
10-12 09:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x75e16b…
10-12 00:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x8a91bc…
10-11 22:26:42	Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x64dd21…
10-11 22:24:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x25244b…
10-11 20:17:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x5c4139…
10-11 16:49:21	Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x17255a…
10-10 09:22:48	Will Chicago, IL face tornado risk on October 9?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x35cd21…
10-10 04:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x24ab85…
10-05 09:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59509c…
10-02 01:51:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 2?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb9babf…
10-01 22:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x813933…
10-01 05:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 1?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6fc79d…
09-28 02:11:05	bitcoin above 92k on september 28 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe8aa25…
09-27 18:28:32	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x47fa07…
09-23 11:37:23	ethereum above 2500 on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x43b5bc…
09-23 10:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 23?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x48b190…
09-23 00:33:56	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8f69b8…
09-22 21:37:34	Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc50eb5…
09-22 17:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 16°C or below on September 23?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5a4994…
09-22 15:29:00	Will XRP dip to $1.35 on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xe1584e…
09-21 22:28:01	Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc236fe…
09-19 09:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf573bd…
09-18 02:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 18?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3f38fd…
09-17 16:57:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2f7c03…
09-13 03:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3d91e8…
09-11 01:19:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa4aafe…
09-10 19:58:51	Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc86255…
09-07 17:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 91°F or below on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x826039…
09-06 15:26:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x849d3d…
09-06 07:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x83e271…
09-05 23:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x8426ff…
09-05 07:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 5?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1b1ef7…
09-05 02:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on September 5?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x77e828…
09-04 21:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 5?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc42b19…
09-04 16:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa5d911…
09-04 13:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8985c3…
09-04 03:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x25b886…
09-03 22:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x349669…
09-03 05:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 3?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9cd47e…
09-03 03:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1d7028…
09-02 21:04:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xabab34…
09-02 13:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x3957cf…
09-02 09:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8781b1…
09-02 00:42:42	Will Eduardo Camavinga join Manchester United?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x626ee8…
09-01 10:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on September 1?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x36cd04…
09-01 04:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 1?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x4fa025…
08-31 02:44:57	Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7981d9…
08-30 23:06:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7571d1…
08-30 20:09:16	Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5d7303…
08-30 13:22:15	bitcoin above 76k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbec4ef…
08-30 03:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4cf9eb…
08-29 21:52:07	will bitcoin dip to 75k on august 29 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x66043c…
08-29 10:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 29?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x995940…
08-29 09:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd01d6e…
08-29 08:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8b3243…
08-27 09:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x560b73…
08-27 07:24:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x47b3e9…
08-27 02:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0xb0f3be…
08-27 00:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0d7ef4…
08-26 17:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf27d86…
08-26 08:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x53cf55…
08-25 12:26:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xbf2494…
08-25 11:44:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0xb20b10…
08-25 07:13:49	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x54eeea…
08-25 01:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb3452c…
08-25 00:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe48df9…
08-24 09:49:18	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 24?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7194e6…
08-24 07:47:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc681e6…
08-23 22:42:18	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb8a38b…
08-14 17:22:58	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf23221…
08-14 08:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 14?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0d8a9a…
08-13 18:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 14?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x60fec1…
08-13 15:37:04	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x763fbb…
08-13 08:01:13	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x34f3ad…
08-13 07:13:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa5a785…
08-12 21:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 13?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x95ffc4…
08-12 06:45:03	bitcoin above 58k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb1590f…
08-12 01:40:09	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 11	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3dc574…
08-11 23:34:03	xrp above 0pt9 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x193bbe…
08-11 21:52:30	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in July?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb0b184…
08-11 11:37:00	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2af9e4…
08-10 21:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdbcdab…
08-10 19:10:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0bc30c…
08-10 14:15:31	Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7fd277…
08-10 12:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xda1b5b…
08-09 11:41:24	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 26m?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x300bc0…
08-09 11:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 10?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xcef0e8…
08-09 04:35:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe55fb8…
08-09 01:21:42	will ethereum reach 2100 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xec55b2…
08-08 19:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4ba9d4…
08-08 03:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfbf07d…
08-08 00:33:57	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf10993…
08-07 21:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6ac63c…
08-07 17:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x61296f…
08-07 12:59:18	bitcoin above 62k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x83a7ad…