Ornate-Disparity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved

Trades

227

lifetime

Volume

$3.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 08-12 00:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 60% $-0

Other

40% — —

Politics

7% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	3	$90	45	45	+0	open	—	07-27 08:11
will xauusd dip to 3800 by july 20 2026	3	$78	39	39	+0	open	—	07-24 00:53
will mrbeast hit 135pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506503	2	$68	34	34	+0	open	—	07-31 02:34
will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	07-30 18:51
will mishal al ahmad al jaber al sabah sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950083	2	$65	32	32	+0	open	—	07-31 19:15
will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	07-29 17:44
will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 21	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	07-21 16:39
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	07-30 06:09
solana above 90 on july 28 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	07-28 00:10
bitcoin above 68k on july 26 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	07-25 18:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	4	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	05-16 14:01
will bitcoin reach 70k july 20 26 2026	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	07-26 00:51
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	07-30 18:53
bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	07-19 21:37
will wti reach 115 by april 13 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-17 19:53
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 07:03
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	06-01 00:00
will googl reach 360 by july 20 2026	3	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	07-24 18:49
highest temperature in lagos on april 22 2026 39corhigher	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	04-22 18:30
highest temperature in san francisco on april 22 2026 54 55f	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-22 18:32
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	02-11 23:55
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 10?	2	$37	18	18	+0	Yes	$-0	05-09 23:58
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 26?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	05-26 05:05
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	05-28 08:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	05-31 07:57
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 25?	3	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	05-25 06:32
will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 20	3	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	04-19 21:33
will another outcome occur in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	4	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-19 12:50
bitcoin above 64k on august 9 2026	2	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	08-09 11:33
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	05-30 03:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 00:23:03	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x96c84b…
08-10 13:27:45	bitcoin above 60k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ee026…
08-09 11:33:06	bitcoin above 64k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x50c4eb…
08-09 11:25:24	bitcoin above 64k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x28164c…
08-08 17:12:30	will ethereum dip to 1700 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x83d09d…
08-07 20:35:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa958cd…
08-06 01:23:42	bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7ae04c…
08-05 18:51:03	will bitcoin reach 68k on august 5	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d56c0…
07-31 19:15:06	will mishal al ahmad al jaber al sabah sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950083	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x4b7e4e…
07-31 02:34:11	will mrbeast hit 135pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506503	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xf19716…
07-31 02:09:14	will mrbeast hit 135pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506503	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x9df384…
07-30 20:45:27	will mishal al ahmad al jaber al sabah sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950083	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x2779cb…
07-30 18:53:09	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x726629…
07-30 18:51:41	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x27962e…
07-30 17:53:32	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x94bc25…
07-30 17:08:59	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa7dd24…
07-30 06:09:51	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x17c213…
07-30 03:19:18	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7845b0…
07-30 00:49:11	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd4cd42…
07-29 22:35:00	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe66acf…
07-29 17:44:41	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xf534ba…
07-29 16:24:57	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe2dbfd…
07-28 00:10:57	solana above 90 on july 28 2026	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x26e5a6…
07-27 18:09:33	solana above 90 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x820aa6…
07-27 08:11:15	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x0d85c0…
07-26 23:09:39	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x056f0f…
07-26 14:44:16	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xbb1e9b…
07-26 00:51:30	will bitcoin reach 70k july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x4d4d9e…
07-26 00:29:03	will bitcoin reach 70k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfa7045…
07-25 18:23:07	bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x14d51d…
07-25 18:20:04	bitcoin above 68k on july 26 2026	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe84124…
07-25 14:51:43	bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcba403…
07-25 11:46:07	bitcoin above 68k on july 26 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1f796f…
07-24 21:18:49	will wti reach 105 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x474071…
07-24 21:14:34	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa79da1…
07-24 18:49:15	will googl reach 360 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf532af…
07-24 16:50:18	will wti reach 105 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x312681…
07-24 08:44:21	will googl reach 360 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe56247…
07-24 07:13:39	will googl reach 360 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x157e56…
07-24 00:53:52	will xauusd dip to 3800 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x0e4096…
07-23 19:43:21	will xauusd dip to 3800 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0cb74b…
07-23 17:49:49	will xauusd dip to 3800 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe410e9…
07-21 16:39:57	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 21	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x99d4ff…
07-21 08:46:42	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 21	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x85f497…
07-19 21:37:37	bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa8ef64…
07-19 13:41:12	bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa45187…
07-19 00:56:28	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 18	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xa22ccc…
07-18 22:24:48	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 18	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfc8729…
07-11 07:22:01	ethereum above 1700 on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6ed66e…
07-10 22:47:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x88c649…
06-26 13:19:34	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xadb663…
06-08 20:04:58	ethereum above 1400 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3c4d5f…
06-03 13:52:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xabf649…
06-01 21:01:21	Will Éder Militão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7baff1…
06-01 00:12:00	Will Éder Militão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x493342…
06-01 00:00:20	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x903922…
05-31 07:57:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd2aeb8…
05-31 06:56:58	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x27f27d…
05-30 23:35:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4166ab…
05-30 19:51:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0994d6…
05-30 19:50:14	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x98a568…
05-30 15:50:14	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa761c8…
05-30 06:47:37	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xedbe75…
05-30 05:38:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x16924a…
05-30 03:48:53	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0x1dad2b…
05-29 16:49:44	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xc521c7…
05-29 16:35:02	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa52460…
05-28 20:44:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x39dbb5…
05-28 14:59:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x25ad78…
05-28 14:21:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 29?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x16d7af…
05-28 12:56:25	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x60a11a…
05-28 09:48:58	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdb8415…
05-28 08:37:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xba0243…
05-28 05:24:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 29?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf6f758…
05-28 00:35:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7d9f86…
05-27 22:03:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x81c3b7…
05-27 20:05:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa203d8…
05-26 05:05:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 26?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3781ef…
05-26 01:07:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9aba3f…
05-25 23:37:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52ab90…
05-25 21:11:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc58dff…
05-25 20:15:14	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 26?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0b22f7…
05-25 07:06:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xab24c4…
05-25 06:32:44	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 25?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9363d9…
05-25 06:06:08	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 25?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc67a12…
05-25 04:14:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xda1e75…
05-25 03:07:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xa9615d…
05-24 21:35:16	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 25?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcfe7f1…
05-24 19:45:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9f0463…
05-24 16:09:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xed705b…
05-18 14:20:00	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x856c9f…
05-18 03:03:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6257ed…
05-17 10:10:02	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfd8215…
05-16 14:01:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfa6cf2…
05-16 11:17:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x1ee822…
05-16 06:12:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0f6243…
05-16 02:04:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x004ea6…
05-15 07:03:08	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x9e004b…
05-15 06:53:02	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xba2071…
05-14 23:26:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x58d371…