Ornate-Disparity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.3%

Resolved

443

Trades

799

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-19 16:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

73% 85% +$3

Crypto

22% 84% +$1

Politics

3% 62% +$0

Sports

1% 75% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 50% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 30?	5	$113	57	57	+0	No	$0	07-29 17:46
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	3	$90	45	45	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 08:11
will xauusd dip to 3800 by july 20 2026	3	$78	39	39	+0	No	$0	07-24 00:53
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C or below on July 23?	4	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-22 17:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 28?	4	$69	35	34	+0	No	+$0	07-27 03:17
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-21 22:43
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 24?	4	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-23 16:54
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-26 23:58
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 20?	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-19 19:17
will mrbeast hit 135pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506503	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-31 02:34
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-19 11:02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	10-12 07:46
will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-30 18:51
will mishal al ahmad al jaber al sabah sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950083	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-31 19:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 30?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-30 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C or higher on July 24?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-24 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 23?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-23 09:13
will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-29 17:44
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 20?	8	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-19 13:26
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 71°F or below on July 28?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-27 23:45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on July 10?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-10 11:19
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 26?	5	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-26 10:44
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-25 11:09
will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 21	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-21 16:39
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 29?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-28 20:07
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-30 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C or below on June 27?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-27 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on July 28?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-28 10:56
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-26 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or higher on July 28?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-27 10:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 16:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7ce787…
10-18 21:21:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 19?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x72001a…
10-16 11:09:25	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x53e261…
10-16 07:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 16?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x32ac47…
10-13 05:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 13?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$27	0x364e78…
10-13 00:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 13?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xd3eb5e…
10-12 08:00:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x91a841…
10-12 07:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x7c00b2…
10-12 06:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x28c620…
10-12 04:33:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x20d7b7…
10-12 00:03:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf303a3…
10-11 19:23:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1cf8d4…
10-10 08:55:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x258c61…
10-07 20:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C or below on October 8?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd2c871…
10-05 10:02:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x04004f…
10-02 00:52:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x76d5ca…
10-01 23:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x412be9…
10-01 05:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or below on October 1?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x31b13e…
09-28 03:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb9429f…
09-27 19:18:27	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7962cd…
09-23 21:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 24?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbaf0a5…
09-23 00:45:07	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x7deadd…
09-22 23:10:14	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc9322e…
09-22 17:40:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 23?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x054adf…
09-21 22:20:40	will bitcoin dip to 79k on september 21 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc7867f…
09-19 07:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf8efc1…
09-18 01:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 18?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9e01ea…
09-17 16:12:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x59470d…
09-13 03:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf720b5…
09-11 03:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd9cde4…
09-10 19:41:03	Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 11?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x77c7e1…
09-07 15:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x40602e…
09-06 13:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x857bd1…
09-06 07:36:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 6?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdc97c6…
09-05 23:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4a2845…
09-05 05:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x167678…
09-05 01:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on September 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa51eea…
09-04 21:56:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb18bf5…
09-04 14:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbdad10…
09-04 12:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on September 5?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2d6732…
09-04 09:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x032d23…
09-04 04:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x66acef…
09-03 10:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x01ce9e…
09-03 02:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef13a2…
09-02 21:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 3?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8fc8fe…
09-02 10:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc8f016…
09-02 06:53:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x671959…
09-01 13:29:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x612b80…
09-01 11:29:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7c819e…
09-01 02:41:13	Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x44b542…
08-31 03:43:31	Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3a8430…
08-31 01:27:31	Will MrBeast hit 139.5 billion views by August 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xddaf7d…
08-30 20:02:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2c4ae4…
08-30 11:56:18	bitcoin above 76k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x343492…
08-30 06:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x009cde…
08-29 19:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x2863cd…
08-29 09:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 29?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xfdad67…
08-28 12:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 29?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0xee1157…
08-28 09:54:36	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8b1fd0…
08-27 09:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd477ba…
08-27 04:21:46	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc79da1…
08-27 03:29:16	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa2cd0…
08-26 19:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xafc888…
08-26 16:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x624631…
08-25 13:24:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa28a60…
08-25 10:02:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7d773…
08-25 05:11:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4eab26…
08-24 21:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x9ef39f…
08-24 18:43:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x29f471…
08-24 07:09:06	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 24?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7516cc…
08-24 04:02:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x483eb2…
08-23 20:01:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x198591…
08-14 08:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbb76c4…
08-13 18:13:42	Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be between 200k and 240k?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf68559…
08-13 14:00:27	bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5bda33…
08-13 09:13:19	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbab66d…
08-12 23:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x4c74b9…
08-12 21:55:03	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xd7bcce…
08-12 07:58:34	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd04a0a…
08-12 01:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd76c47…
08-12 00:23:03	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x96c84b…
08-11 22:04:22	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x80ac07…
08-11 12:52:10	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5b97d9…
08-11 00:07:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xa355f7…
08-10 19:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x263a6c…
08-10 13:27:45	bitcoin above 60k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ee026…
08-10 11:03:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 10?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x757ae8…
08-09 11:33:06	bitcoin above 64k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x50c4eb…
08-09 11:25:24	bitcoin above 64k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x28164c…
08-09 05:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 9?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x3be496…
08-09 01:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on August 9?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeb0a16…
08-08 17:12:30	will ethereum dip to 1700 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x83d09d…
08-08 07:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 8?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xde67c1…
08-08 02:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 8?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0xfe24e6…
08-07 20:35:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa958cd…
08-07 18:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on August 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe4d8c5…
08-07 17:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5bd5a3…
08-07 10:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xa9a7cf…
08-06 07:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc9e18…
08-06 01:23:42	bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7ae04c…