Ornate-Disparity — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

10 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$130

$130 lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$46

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 13:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

72% 60% +$0

Politics

15% 100% +$0

Crypto

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on May 10?	No	+18	$17	100¢	$18	+$0	05-10 00:50
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	No	-16	$-16	100¢	$-16	$-0	05-10 07:53
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	+8	$8	100¢	$8	+$0	05-09 19:07
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	05-10 13:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 13:55:42	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x054796…
05-10 07:53:25	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0667d8…
05-10 00:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xb427e9…
05-09 19:07:35	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97e9e2…
05-09 12:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on May 9?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbb693d…
05-07 21:56:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 8?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xaef313…
05-07 08:59:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on May 8?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3a58b2…
05-06 18:58:44	Will Peter Taylor win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfab52e…
05-06 15:26:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on May 7?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xefecb7…
05-06 09:00:06	Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 6?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xddfba1…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Peter Taylor win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-06 18:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on May 10?	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	05-10 00:50
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	1	$16	0	16	-16	open	—	05-10 07:53
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on May 7?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	05-06 15:26
Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 6?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-06 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 8?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	05-07 21:56
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on May 9?	1	$10	0	10	-10	No	$-0	05-09 12:20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on May 8?	1	$9	0	9	-9	No	$-0	05-07 08:59
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-09 19:07
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-10 13:55