Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
open
Total volume
$5,175
$571 in 24h
Trades
65
Unique wallets
46
Liquidity
$1,987
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-17 05:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $55 | $55 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 43 | $865 | $3.6K | $2.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $572 | $12 | +$561 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $30 | $276 | $247 |
| Median | 8 | $80 | $2.5K | $2.4K |
| Below median | 9 | $15 | $57 | $42 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $20 | $20 | $0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| unranked | 18 | $148 | $783 | $634 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accomplished-Context 0x9060…790b | Yes | +1,417 | $542 | $542 | 4 | 05-15 12:41 |
| Major-Staircase 0x0b8d…4b6f | No | +1,177 | $1,126 | $1,126 | 1 | 05-15 11:39 |
| Vital-Gerbil 0x1a09…0383 | No | +742 | $740 | $740 | 1 | 05-16 01:49 |
| Close-Building 0xb2b7…aad2 | No | +500 | $498 | $498 | 1 | 05-15 11:59 |
| Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | +350 | $162 | $180 | 6 | 05-14 17:59 |
| Snappy-Motel 0x8aac…309a | No | +271 | $262 | $262 | 2 | 05-15 11:51 |
| Unwritten-Geography 0xa3e4…ca09 | No | +203 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 05-10 07:57 |
| Mountainous-Bird 0x0955…e141 | No | +130 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-15 11:34 |
| Brief-Loneliness 0xb085…7b32 | No | +106 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-14 17:59 |
| Worse-Downturn 0x929a…5ab4 | Yes | +105 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 12:30 |
| Only-Parking 0x7914…c084 | No | +103 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 05-15 22:45 |
| Earnest-Legacy 0x6995…c072 | Yes | +101 | $78 | $192 | 3 | 05-14 21:14 |
| Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | Yes | +100 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 17:59 |
| Thunderous-Fountain 0x1859…400a | No | +95 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 05-16 11:30 |
| Harmonious-Cure 0x8e9a…e3d5 | No | +91 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 05-17 01:01 |
| Twin-Overhead 0x76c9…3222 | No | +55 | $1 | $199 | 2 | 05-16 11:41 |
| Frivolous-Fiction 0xe74d…22fd | Yes | +48 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 19:06 |
| Scaly-Waterbed 0xd65a…21eb | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-16 15:06 |
| Tan-Messy 0x6734…c3d2 | Yes | +31 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 21:11 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-17 02:13 |
| Opulent-Communicant 0x7f15…52f1 | No | +25 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-10 00:31 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-17 02:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xff36…d5b7 | No | +20 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-09 20:55 |
| Gracious-Chainstay 0x1399…0483 | Yes | +17 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 04:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x4414…518a | Yes | +15 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 01:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-15 11:40 |
| Overcooked-Plowman 0x3373…3716 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-15 11:40 |
| Sour-Astrakhan 0xf4fe…f6e7 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 11:34 |
| Every-Sensitivity 0x2480…3c00 | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 01:07 |
| Charming-Sensitivity 0x2df5…57c8 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 19:47 |
| Flickering-Cousin 0x1643…6ec8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 02:13 |
| Knotty-Webinar 0x90dd…c435 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 11:40 |
| Barren-Warlord 0x37c7…100c | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 11:41 |
| Thin-Workout 0xe293…d3ed | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:28 |
| Grumpy-Beetle-Hovel 0x37da…d2db | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 23:06 |
| Humming-Stretch 0x56fe…55ff | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 03:47 |
| Reflecting-Arrest 0x878f…08fd | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 05:39:57 | Different-Windshield 0xb220…5f71 | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x0bcb0e… |
| 05-17 02:13:32 | Flickering-Cousin 0x1643…6ec8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x86dea8… |
| 05-17 02:13:30 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x596940… |
| 05-17 02:13:30 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xe08d9a… |
| 05-17 01:01:24 | Harmonious-Cure 0x8e9a…e3d5 | No | BUY | 91 | 100¢ | $91 | 0x7dcf54… |
| 05-16 15:06:26 | Scaly-Waterbed 0xd65a…21eb | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x6ec707… |
| 05-16 12:51:36 | Different-Windshield 0xb220…5f71 | No | SELL | 300 | 99¢ | $297 | 0xf1288c… |
| 05-16 11:41:25 | Twin-Overhead 0x76c9…3222 | No | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xe350f7… |
| 05-16 11:30:43 | Thunderous-Fountain 0x1859…400a | No | BUY | 95 | 100¢ | $95 | 0x75e4e4… |
| 05-16 04:09:13 | Different-Windshield 0xb220…5f71 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x29912a… |
| 05-16 01:49:20 | Vital-Gerbil 0x1a09…0383 | No | BUY | 742 | 100¢ | $740 | 0x6c8dad… |
| 05-15 22:45:44 | Only-Parking 0x7914…c084 | No | BUY | 103 | 100¢ | $103 | 0x10b049… |
| 05-15 14:14:28 | Cloudy-Elephant 0xc554…efff | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x13f741… |
| 05-15 13:20:47 | Several-Bondsman 0xb089…9816 | Yes | SELL | 721 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xef2241… |
| 05-15 12:49:43 | Aggravating-Ranch 0x9611…1c01 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc19249… |
| 05-15 12:41:31 | Accomplished-Context 0x9060…790b | Yes | BUY | 445 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x08b41d… |
| 05-15 12:30:44 | Worse-Downturn 0x929a…5ab4 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5d2bc5… |
| 05-15 12:02:16 | Clueless-Timeline 0x633b…2c2e | Yes | SELL | 142 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xceb421… |
| 05-15 11:59:26 | Close-Building 0xb2b7…aad2 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $498 | 0xefdb10… |
| 05-15 11:51:00 | Snappy-Motel 0x8aac…309a | No | BUY | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0xbd7cfe… |
| 05-15 11:41:05 | Snappy-Motel 0x8aac…309a | No | BUY | 257 | 97¢ | $248 | 0xd4e101… |
| 05-15 11:41:00 | Barren-Warlord 0x37c7…100c | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x7f991a… |
| 05-15 11:40:53 | Knotty-Webinar 0x90dd…c435 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0075de… |
| 05-15 11:40:53 | (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | No | BUY | 12 | 95¢ | $12 | 0x5c0b83… |
| 05-15 11:40:51 | Overcooked-Plowman 0x3373…3716 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $11 | 0xd73eee… |
| 05-15 11:39:39 | Major-Staircase 0x0b8d…4b6f | No | BUY | 1,177 | 96¢ | $1,126 | 0x71e3b0… |
| 05-15 11:34:38 | Mountainous-Bird 0x0955…e141 | No | BUY | 130 | 77¢ | $100 | 0xa32e36… |
| 05-15 11:34:38 | Twin-Overhead 0x76c9…3222 | No | BUY | 155 | 65¢ | $100 | 0xdc4587… |
| 05-15 11:34:35 | Sour-Astrakhan 0xf4fe…f6e7 | No | BUY | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0xb6ed0b… |
| 05-15 10:27:02 | Mealy-Disparity 0xbb96…9545 | No | SELL | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x9f120f… |
| 05-15 05:28:59 | Thin-Workout 0xe293…d3ed | No | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xfdeb40… |
| 05-15 05:28:57 | Reflecting-Arrest 0x878f…08fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x25a60a… |
| 05-14 21:42:24 | Motionless-Something 0x233b…1f2c | No | SELL | 230 | 27¢ | $61 | 0xef2e08… |
| 05-14 21:14:48 | Earnest-Legacy 0x6995…c072 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 57¢ | $57 | 0x4b0315… |
| 05-14 21:11:55 | Tan-Messy 0x6734…c3d2 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 65¢ | $20 | 0x02844a… |
| 05-14 20:37:00 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 65¢ | $0 | 0xd74ff1… |
| 05-14 19:58:37 | Earnest-Legacy 0x6995…c072 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 67¢ | $67 | 0x5a5c35… |
| 05-14 19:47:20 | Charming-Sensitivity 0x2df5…57c8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x12930f… |
| 05-14 19:06:25 | Frivolous-Fiction 0xe74d…22fd | Yes | BUY | 48 | 62¢ | $30 | 0xba2655… |
| 05-14 17:59:34 | Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | SELL | 13 | 70¢ | $9 | 0x9bb412… |
| 05-14 17:59:34 | Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 30¢ | $30 | 0x08c7d0… |
| 05-14 17:59:27 | Brief-Loneliness 0xb085…7b32 | No | BUY | 106 | 94¢ | $100 | 0x7655b0… |
| 05-14 16:08:35 | Earnest-Legacy 0x6995…c072 | Yes | BUY | 101 | 67¢ | $68 | 0x149bf9… |
| 05-14 06:38:56 | Productive-Intentionality 0x41a4…4187 | No | SELL | 49 | 36¢ | $18 | 0x9b7e2d… |
| 05-13 03:47:35 | Humming-Stretch 0x56fe…55ff | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xdcf54b… |
| 05-12 18:21:44 | Abandoned-Addition 0x4c90…cd7b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0xecee5c… |
| 05-12 04:04:12 | Gracious-Chainstay 0x1399…0483 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 59¢ | $10 | 0x03017c… |
| 05-12 01:07:55 | Every-Sensitivity 0x2480…3c00 | No | BUY | 6 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xcadeec… |
| 05-11 23:06:00 | Grumpy-Beetle-Hovel 0x37da…d2db | No | BUY | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0xd8e461… |
| 05-11 10:35:52 | Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | BUY | 8 | 50¢ | $4 | 0xe2a56c… |
| 05-11 10:21:11 | Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | BUY | 23 | 49¢ | $11 | 0x12cab7… |
| 05-11 10:21:11 | Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x21f87c… |
| 05-11 08:44:18 | Several-Bondsman 0xb089…9816 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 53¢ | $4 | 0x621780… |
| 05-11 04:53:25 | Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | BUY | 200 | 47¢ | $94 | 0xda28b0… |
| 05-11 04:43:53 | Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | BUY | 112 | 46¢ | $52 | 0xe9b309… |
| 05-11 01:25:41 | Accomplished-Context 0x9060…790b | Yes | BUY | 400 | 55¢ | $220 | 0x5a2cea… |
| 05-11 01:25:27 | Accomplished-Context 0x9060…790b | Yes | BUY | 197 | 54¢ | $106 | 0xee8633… |
| 05-11 01:09:48 | (anonymous) 0x4414…518a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 54¢ | $8 | 0x21d887… |
| 05-10 22:40:59 | Accomplished-Context 0x9060…790b | Yes | BUY | 375 | 56¢ | $212 | 0x92e9ec… |
| 05-10 15:46:44 | Clueless-Timeline 0x633b…2c2e | Yes | BUY | 142 | 56¢ | $80 | 0x12c243… |
| 05-10 14:52:06 | Harmless-Limit 0xa7d5…7e6e | No | SELL | 16 | 45¢ | $7 | 0xed5c81… |
| 05-10 14:51:08 | Harmless-Limit 0xa7d5…7e6e | No | BUY | 16 | 49¢ | $8 | 0xfd47d8… |
| 05-10 07:57:44 | Unwritten-Geography 0xa3e4…ca09 | No | BUY | 203 | 52¢ | $106 | 0xa8eb30… |
| 05-10 00:31:03 | Opulent-Communicant 0x7f15…52f1 | No | BUY | 25 | 51¢ | $13 | 0xc2e774… |
| 05-09 20:55:04 | (anonymous) 0xff36…d5b7 | No | BUY | 20 | 56¢ | $11 | 0x40babe… |