Clueless-Timeline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 05-24 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

90% 80% +$21

Politics

8% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	1	$182	365	0	+365	open	—	03-30 12:35
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	1	$115	169	0	+169	open	—	03-26 16:47
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	2	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	03-20 02:27
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	1	$100	201	0	+201	open	—	04-06 18:11
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	1	$100	205	0	+205	open	—	03-28 02:13
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	1	$100	186	0	+186	open	—	04-21 02:31
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	1	$100	182	0	+182	open	—	04-14 02:12
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	1	$100	130	0	+130	open	—	05-02 18:17
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	1	$100	130	0	+130	open	—	05-24 00:15
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	1	$100	188	0	+188	open	—	03-21 14:29
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	1	$85	175	0	+175	open	—	04-25 22:25
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	2	$83	50	50	+0	open	—	04-16 22:19
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	1	$80	100	0	+100	open	—	05-24 22:58
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	1	$67	124	0	+124	open	—	04-19 15:04
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	1	$60	81	0	+81	open	—	03-20 19:19
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	1	$50	64	0	+64	open	—	05-24 15:27
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	1	$43	85	0	+85	open	—	03-24 18:37
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	2	$33	245	245	+0	open	—	03-30 22:35
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	1	$33	664	0	+664	open	—	03-22 01:22
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	1	$33	208	0	+208	open	—	03-22 01:23
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$29	102	0	+102	open	—	04-16 22:21
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	4	$23	200	0	+200	open	—	04-16 07:26
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$22	30	0	+30	9z	+$8	05-10 15:33
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$20	26	0	+26	Aurora Gaming	+$6	05-11 05:30
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$20	35	35	+0	open	—	03-20 15:29
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	03-09 00:32
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$10	403	0	+403	open	—	02-06 19:49
Valorant: Contra vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season	1	$10	62	0	+62	open	—	05-19 02:10
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$10	20	0	+20	MOUZ	+$10	05-10 05:16
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	1	$10	43	0	+43	NRG	$-10	05-11 03:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 22:58:43	LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	LYON	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x0a0565…
05-24 15:27:46	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	LGD Gaming	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x7c1a50…
05-24 00:15:37	Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x1d6722…
05-19 02:10:08	Valorant: Contra vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season	Contra	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xdf5523…
05-14 04:35:25	LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	T1 Academy	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa832c7…
05-14 04:34:58	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x66d972…
05-11 05:30:45	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xed6f37…
05-11 03:36:51	Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	Sentinels	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xf78995…
05-10 15:33:10	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	9z	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x0805ec…
05-10 05:16:53	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa57c12…
05-09 05:44:55	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Heroic	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x91cac3…
05-02 18:17:36	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x12ad99…
04-25 22:25:24	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	Yes	BUY	175	49¢	$85	0xee5585…
04-21 02:31:50	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0xfa1803…
04-19 15:04:18	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	BUY	124	54¢	$67	0x695fda…
04-16 22:21:26	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	102	29¢	$29	0x7ced92…
04-16 22:19:44	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	Yes	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xe6c51b…
04-16 08:37:54	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xc113a8…
04-16 07:26:30	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	103	11¢	$12	0x0a9c96…
04-16 06:54:00	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xb25340…
04-16 06:44:28	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x625db8…
04-16 05:25:04	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0xe6b431…
04-14 02:12:53	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x394cd7…
04-06 18:11:17	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0xa18fe3…
03-30 22:35:05	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	245	0¢	$0	0x5bf1c8…
03-30 12:35:46	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	Yes	BUY	365	50¢	$182	0xa07eb9…
03-28 02:13:47	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	Yes	BUY	205	49¢	$100	0x747e8e…
03-26 16:47:13	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	Yes	BUY	169	68¢	$115	0xde70c9…
03-24 18:37:19	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	Yes	BUY	85	50¢	$43	0x554a19…
03-22 01:23:13	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	208	16¢	$33	0xe12ce1…
03-22 01:22:59	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	245	13¢	$33	0x401d4c…
03-22 01:22:47	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	664	5¢	$33	0xf7d1d0…
03-21 14:29:53	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	Yes	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x6a6903…
03-20 19:19:51	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	81	74¢	$60	0x294e0e…
03-20 15:29:47	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	35	28¢	$10	0x50050b…
03-20 13:22:07	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0xbca19d…
03-20 03:24:03	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xbd1110…
03-20 02:27:27	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x2f52a3…
03-17 01:47:03	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x5c1700…
03-10 17:42:43	will i lied to you sinners win best original song at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0x6942a7…
03-09 00:32:27	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x07fa04…
03-08 21:08:35	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0xcd2c0c…
03-03 22:00:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x51ff82…
03-03 18:23:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xfb5dcb…
03-03 18:11:53	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x04fcf5…
02-27 23:12:11	will sinners win 3 or fewer awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xaf5c03…
02-27 23:11:01	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x5558c9…
02-06 19:49:53	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	403	2¢	$10	0xa632c9…
02-06 19:47:21	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	Yes	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0xa0ec36…
02-04 00:51:44	gpt 5pt3 released by february 14 2026	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1bd64f…
02-02 02:49:20	will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x0b151f…
02-02 02:08:16	will deb tirar ms fotos bad bunny win album of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x68e7d8…